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4812 Morton
B Composite 72.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

4812 Morton · Jonesboro, AR 72401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
0.46 ac lot $72/sqft · 27% below area Est $130k · 27% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!

Key facts

  • Screened in porch
  • Fully fenced
  • Storage building

Tags

FULLY FENCEDSTORM CELLARSCREENED IN PORCHSTORAGE BUILDINGKITCHEN COUNTERTOPSKITCHEN CABINETS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Nettleton School District (urban): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #199 of 238 in AR (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.37%
Cash-on-cash
14.56%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,050
List price
$94,900
Delta
-27.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4601 E Highland 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-2%) 4mo $134,900 $104 70
2012 Cotton St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,382 (+5%) 3mo $115,000 $83 58
2014 Kathleen St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,181 (-10%) 22mo $96,000 $81 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$5,896
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$34,657
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72401

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
295
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,169 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $764/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $761
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1504 Kathleen St Unit 2703 Jonesboro, AR 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,025 $1.02 43d 1 0.18mi
1504 Kathleen St Unit 6403 Jonesboro, AR 2.0 1.0 875 $975 $1.11 43d 1 0.18mi
4850 E Highland Dr Unit HPA 419 Jonesboro, AR 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 0.21mi
2008 Cotton St Unit 7 Jonesboro, AR 2.0 1.0 875 $925 $1.06 43d 1 0.46mi
2102 Clark St Jonesboro, AR 3.0 1.0 1000 $925 $0.93 43d 1 0.80mi
5408 Mariposa Grove Dr Jonesboro, AR 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,595 $1.32 43d 1 0.97mi
2017 Fairfield Dr Jonesboro, AR 3.0 1.5 1180 $1,250 $1.06 43d 1 1.31mi
259 Wolf Den Dr Jonesboro, AR 3.0 2.0 1419 $1,550 $1.09 43d 1 1.32mi
337 Wolf Den Dr Jonesboro, AR 3.0 2.0 1419 $1,600 $1.13 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $94,900 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,900 Active 122 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 121 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    statusdays on market $94,900 Active 119 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Price Change 118 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Price Change 117 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Price Change 116 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    pricestatusdays on market $94,900 Price Change 113 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 112 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 111 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 110 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 109 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 108 DOM
  18. 2026-03-31
    price $99,900 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!

  19. 2026-03-30
    price $99,900 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!

  20. 2026-03-05
    price $104,900 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!

  21. 2026-03-04
    price $104,900 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (761 chars)

    This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!

  22. 2026-02-11
    listed $109,900 Active 761-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!

  23. 2026-02-11
    listed $109,900 New Listing 760-char remark
    Show marketing remark (760 chars)

    This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$764 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$764 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,025
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$764
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,122
− Management
−$1,122
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$2,465
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$592
After-tax cash flow
$3,277/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nettleton School District
NCES district ID
0510440
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$39,754
Composite
19.0/100
National rank
#8846
State rank
#199 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jonesboro

Score
65/100
State rank
#145
US rank
#12692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jonesboro, AR
County
Craighead County · 97,185 people
City population
91,245
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
Population (ZIP)
42,602
Household income
$45,329
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2606.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,235 people
By 2030
131,338 · +7.4%
By 2040
149,862 · +22.6%
By 2050
168,034 · +37.5%
By 2075
208,094 · +70.2%
By 2100
233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
208.2079
Rent YoY
▲ 3.64%
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $99,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $99,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $104,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $104,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $109,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $109,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

+14.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $764 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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