4812 Morton · Jonesboro, AR
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Fully fenced
- Storage building
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Nettleton School District (urban): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #199 of 238 in AR (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.56%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,050
- List price
- $94,900
- Delta
- -27.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4601 E Highland | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-2%) | 4mo | $134,900 | $104 | 70 |
| 2012 Cotton St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,382 (+5%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $83 | 58 |
| 2014 Kathleen St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,181 (-10%) | 22mo | $96,000 | $81 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $5,896
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $34,657
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72401
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 295
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,169 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $764/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1504 Kathleen St Unit 2703 Jonesboro, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,025 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1504 Kathleen St Unit 6403 Jonesboro, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $975 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 4850 E Highland Dr Unit HPA 419 Jonesboro, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2008 Cotton St Unit 7 Jonesboro, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $925 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2102 Clark St Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $925 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5408 Mariposa Grove Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,595 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2017 Fairfield Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1180 | $1,250 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 259 Wolf Den Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 337 Wolf Den Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $94,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $94,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $94,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Price Change 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Price Change 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Price Change 116 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricestatusdays on market $94,900 Price Change 113 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 109 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-03-31price $99,900 760-char remark
Show marketing remark (760 chars)
This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!
-
2026-03-30price $99,900 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!
-
2026-03-05price $104,900 760-char remark
Show marketing remark (760 chars)
This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!
-
2026-03-04price $104,900 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (761 chars)
This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!
-
2026-02-11$109,900 Active 761-char remark
Show marketing remark (760 chars)
This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!
-
2026-02-11$109,900 New Listing 760-char remark
Show marketing remark (760 chars)
This property is priced below appraisal and would be a great home for a first time home buyer or investor with equity from day 1 of ownership! Fully fenced in, spacious lot with a number of shade trees. There is also a storm cellar in the back yard for those stormy nights. House boast 1320 square feet which features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The master closet is exceptionally large with plenty of space. Utility room has plenty of space as well. The front porch is fully screened in and there is a storage building in the back of the property. Kitchen countertops/cabinets, flooring, bathroom vanity are all 2 years old. Most furnishings are negotiable, kitchen table, dresser, & chest will not stay. Call today and make an investment for your future!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $764 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $764 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$764
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,122
- − Management
- −$1,122
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $2,465
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$592
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nettleton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0510440
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,754
- Composite
- 19.0/100
- National rank
- #8846
- State rank
- #199 of 238 in AR
Livability — Jonesboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #12692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jonesboro, AR
- County
- Craighead County · 97,185 people
- City population
- 91,245
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,602
- Household income
- $45,329
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2606.0
Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,235 people
- By 2030
- 131,338 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 149,862 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 168,034 · +37.5%
- By 2075
- 208,094 · +70.2%
- By 2100
- 233,251 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Craighead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.25%
- Current HPI
- 208.2079
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.64%
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $99,900 CARMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $99,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $104,900 CARMLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $104,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $109,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $109,900 CARMLS
Property tax history
+14.3%/yrLatest (2025): $764 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…