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142 Hope Ln
C Composite 55.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

142 Hope Ln · Mocksville, NC 27028
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,624 sqft · Manufactured public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1995 2.22 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity knocks in Mocksville on over 2 Acres of Land! This doublewide trailer has a metal roof and sits on a permanent foundation. There are 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, a spacious living room and a dining room just off the kitchen. Offer Instructions are in the Agent Only Section.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Permanent foundation
  • Over 2 acres of land

Tags

OVER 2 ACRES OF LANDMETAL ROOFPERMANENT FOUNDATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is on a privately maintained road; Lot size approximately 2.22 acres; Building area approximately 1,566 (total); No fireplaces
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (see remarks)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Built in 1995; Existing structure
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; See remarks for additional construction details; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: See remarks for exterior features; No pool; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric water heater; See remarks for additional kitchen details
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; See remarks
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Electric heating (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level; See remarks for additional interior details
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (1.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Mocksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#68 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Davie County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #57 of 178 in NC (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: William R Davie Elementary (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #574 of 1,410 statewide, top 43%, 369 students, 53% FRL); North Davie Middle (math 54% / reading 56%, grade B-, #80 of 475 statewide, top 17%, 439 students, 47% FRL); Davie County High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 1,770 students, 42% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 250 units permitted in Davie County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Davie County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.19%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.3%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-10,550
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$16,693
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27028

Home prices YoY
-23.8%
Active inventory
219
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,874 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,038/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$319

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,471
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $190,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $200,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    listed $200,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,038 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,558 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$520/yr (+$43/mo · 50.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,494
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$1,038
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,800
− Management
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$736
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$177
After-tax cash flow
$3,648/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Davie County Schools
NCES district ID
3701170
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$51,331
Composite
44.16/100
National rank
#2860
State rank
#57 of 178 in NC

Livability — Mocksville

Score
73/100
State rank
#68
US rank
#5153

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Davie County · 42,813 people
City population
26,566
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
Population (ZIP)
26,566
Household income
$69,137
Rent vs Own
21.5% rent · 78.5% own
Severe rent burden
512.0

Population outlook (Davie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,613 people
By 2030
42,691 · +0.2%
By 2040
42,137 · -1.1%
By 2050
40,445 · -5.1%
By 2075
35,939 · -15.7%
By 2100
29,103 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Davie

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.2% · R 72.6% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -46.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.5 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+43.7 2008: R+38.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.58%
Current HPI
191.2464
Rent YoY
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $200,000 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,038 · +83.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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