65 Asbury St · Trenton, NJ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bedroom brick row home on quiet street in close proximity to major highways and public transportation. 1st floor is comprised of living Room, dining room and eat-in kitchen. 2nd floor has two spacious Bedrooms, a sitting room that could be used as a 3rd bedroom and a full bathroom. This home also offers a newer furnace and water heater. Located near a public pool and Steamboat play ground, perfect for any investor or first time buyer. Property is being sold strictly "AS IS"
Key facts
- New heater
- Flexible bonus room
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Natural gas heating fuel; 60+ gallon hot water tank
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Year built estimated
- Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 12.26 x 100.00; Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed (cats and dogs)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level; 1 full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas cooling fuel
- Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.3% in Trenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#133 in NJ, #3,533 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Trenton Public School District (urban): math 2% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #471 of 472 in NJ (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,256 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (1,303 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mercer County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $175k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.30%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,792
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82 Central Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,126 (+7%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $169 | 59 |
| 73 Central Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 | 1,175 (+12%) | 11mo | $328,000 | $279 | 42 |
| 22 Watson St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 940 (-11%) | 20mo | $167,000 | $178 | 38 |
| 554 Centre St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,169 (+11%) | 23mo | $225,000 | $192 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,282
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $41,990
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08611
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,988 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,914/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$418
- Net cashflow
- $354
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 547 Centre St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,850 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 71 Clark St Trenton, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,350 | $2.41 | 13d | 4 | 0.46mi |
| 203 Genesee St Unit 2 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 117 Park Ave Morrisville, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $3,200 | $2.29 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 225 Home Ave Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,750 | $2.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 216 E State St Trenton, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 811 | $1,895 | $2.34 | 13d | 2 | 0.81mi |
| 313 Home Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 244 Jersey St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1368 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 202 E Hanover St Unit 5G Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 27 E Palmer St Unit 5 Morrisville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,750 | $2.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 27 E Palmer St Unit 6 Morrisville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 130 Harper Ave Morrisville, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $3,500 | $2.74 | 12d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 176 Division St Apt 106 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,700 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 125 Olive St Trenton, NJ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 896 | $1,220 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 720 Monmouth St Unit 111 Trenton, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 720 Monmouth St Unit 103 Trenton, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,450 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 720 Monmouth St Unit 204 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $1,750 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 34 E Hendrickson Ave Morrisville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1360 | $2,650 | $1.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 435 Tyler St Unit 115 Trenton, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,600 | $1.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 705 Anderson St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1132 | $1,800 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 400 W Bridge St Unit A Morrisville, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,495 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 105 Walnut Ave Unit 1 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 233 Virginia Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1302 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 12d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 27 Passaic St Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 12 Belvidere St Trenton, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8 Belvidere St Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,900 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 837 Genesee St Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 121 Columbus Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,900 | $1.81 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1049 Genesee St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1270 | $2,300 | $1.81 | 21d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 186 Passaic St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 4d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1132 Genesee St Unit 1132 Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $2,500 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 311 Spring St Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 339 Tioga St #339 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,850 | $2.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1078 Lalor St Unit 1 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,895 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1078 Lalor St Unit 2 Trenton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,785 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 417 Walnut Ave Trenton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $2,050 | $2.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-02-04$175,000 Active
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-10-02price $199,900
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2025-08-26$175,000 Active
-
2024-05-23soldstatus $80,000
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2024-04-23soldstatus $80,000 Closed 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
2 Bedroom brick row home on quiet street in close proximity to major highways and public transportation. 1st floor is comprised of living Room, dining room and eat-in kitchen. 2nd floor has two spacious Bedrooms, a sitting room that could be used as a 3rd bedroom and a full bathroom. This home also offers a newer furnace and water heater. Located near a public pool and Steamboat play ground, perfect for any investor or first time buyer. Property is being sold strictly "AS IS"
-
2024-01-17status Pending 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
2 Bedroom brick row home on quiet street in close proximity to major highways and public transportation. 1st floor is comprised of living Room, dining room and eat-in kitchen. 2nd floor has two spacious Bedrooms, a sitting room that could be used as a 3rd bedroom and a full bathroom. This home also offers a newer furnace and water heater. Located near a public pool and Steamboat play ground, perfect for any investor or first time buyer. Property is being sold strictly "AS IS"
-
2023-11-22$64,900 Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
2 Bedroom brick row home on quiet street in close proximity to major highways and public transportation. 1st floor is comprised of living Room, dining room and eat-in kitchen. 2nd floor has two spacious Bedrooms, a sitting room that could be used as a 3rd bedroom and a full bathroom. This home also offers a newer furnace and water heater. Located near a public pool and Steamboat play ground, perfect for any investor or first time buyer. Property is being sold strictly "AS IS"
-
1995-11-20soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,914 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,136 · $261/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,222/yr (+$102/mo · 63.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,861
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,914
- − Insurance
- −$1,672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,909
- − Management
- −$1,909
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $1,563
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$375
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trenton Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416290
- Math proficiency
- 2% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,078
- Composite
- 7.31/100
- National rank
- #9956
- State rank
- #471 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Trenton
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #3533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trenton, NJ
- County
- Mercer County · 327,655 people
- City population
- 177,819
- Metro
- Trenton-Princeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,995
- Household income
- $56,788
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2147.0
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,395 people
- By 2030
- 384,640 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 391,431 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 397,845 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 417,281 · +9.4%
- By 2100
- 420,327 · +10.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Black 20% Two or more races 18% White 14% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Swiss 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 37% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Spanish 57% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+33.9) · D 65.9% · R 32.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.2pp toward R · 2008: 36.1pp · 2024: 33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+33.9 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.2 2012: D+36.8 2008: D+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -267.62%
- Current HPI
- 276.5427
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.71%
- Metro
- Trenton-Princeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+1358.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-04 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-26 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-23 Sold (MLS) $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-01-17 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-22 Listed $64,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1995-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,914 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…