840 Center Ave #88 · Holly Hill, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.26%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bright and Airy 2/2 Condo in Well Maintained and Managed Holly Square Condominiums. Snowbird Owners have kept impeccable care of Unit. Clean as a whistle and ready for Starting out, Students or Snowbirds. Enjoy the Huge Pool, Clubhouse, Tennis and more. Entire Complex has new roofs and looks great. Pets under 20 Lb. are ok. Shows Well, Won't last.
Key facts
- $350 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1983
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-710/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $110k (7.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#325 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Holly Hill School (math 27% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 1,149 students, 79% FRL); Mainland High School (math 30% / reading 37%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,855 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 51% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Volusia average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 332 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask is 8400% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $119k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.13%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-25,581
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- -26.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-37,076
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32117
- Home prices YoY
- -8.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 332
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,409 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$350
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $-59
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $23 | -5% $-18 | +0% $-59 | +5% $-100 | +10% $-141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-170 | -5% $-115 | +0% $-59 | +5% $-4 | +10% $52 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1 | -0.5pp $-29 | base $-59 | +0.5pp $-90 | +1.0pp $-121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 840 Center Ave Apt 75 Holly Hill, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 660 8th St Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 638 LPGA Blvd Unit B Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,490 | $2.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 430 Dorothy Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 820 State Ave Apt 1 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 841 | $1,470 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 820 State Ave Unit 2 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,250 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 820 State Ave Unit 3 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,370 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 851 State Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $1,495 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1229 Kennedy Rd Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1229 Kennedy Rd #43 Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $900 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1225 Kennedy Rd Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1221 Kennedy Rd Unit 48 Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 900 LPGA Blvd Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,495 | $1.69 | 15d | 14 | 0.67mi |
| 1221 Kennedy Rd Unit 43 Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $775 | $1.24 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1217 Kennedy Rd Unit 44 Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 12d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1217 Kennedy Rd Unit 56 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1216 Kennedy Rd Unit 4 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1216 Kennedy Rd Unit 10 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $975 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 100 Navigator DR Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $1,458 | $1.42 | 12d | 25 | 0.75mi |
| 921 Daytona Ave Unit A Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,775 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 464 Brentwood Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,365 | $1.61 | 12d | 8 | 0.86mi |
| 155 5th St Unit B Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1290 9th St #106 Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,195 | $1.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1290 9th St Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,060 | $1.74 | 24d | 3 | 0.99mi |
| 875 Derbyshire Rd Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,141 | $1.37 | 12d | 11 | 1.03mi |
| 119 Thomasson Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 851 | $1,199 | $1.41 | 12d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 946 15th St Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1563 Hancock Ln Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,475 | $1.62 | 12d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1559 Hammock Dr Unit B Holly Hill, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1355 Hiawatha Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,675 | $2.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 171 Daytona Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 835 | $1,650 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 100 Windflower LN Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1021 | $2,014 | $1.97 | 12d | 63 | 1.22mi |
| 101 Claysburg LN Holly Hill, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1163 | $2,322 | $2.00 | 15d | 25 | 1.22mi |
| 1540 Espanola Ave Unit 9 Daytona Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 922 Lewis Dr Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,750 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1521 Moravia Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $2,000 | $2.86 | 20d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 625 Holmes Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $995 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 601 Vera St Unit 601 Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,700 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 138 Kingston Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $1,900 | $1.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 550 Ruth St Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,995 | $1.79 | 12d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $350 · $4,200/yr
- Likely covers
- cablepool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $119,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,999 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$124,999 Active 993-char remark
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-03-11price $124,900
-
2025-11-12price $129,500
-
2025-10-10$134,500 Active
-
2018-03-16soldstatus $66,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Bright and Airy 2/2 Condo in Well Maintained and Managed Holly Square Condominiums. Snowbird Owners have kept impeccable care of Unit. Clean as a whistle and ready for Starting out, Students or Snowbirds. Enjoy the Huge Pool, Clubhouse, Tennis and more. Entire Complex has new roofs and looks great. Pets under 20 Lb. are ok. Shows Well, Won't last.
-
2018-01-31historical Contingent
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Bright and Airy 2/2 Condo in Well Maintained and Managed Holly Square Condominiums. Snowbird Owners have kept impeccable care of Unit. Clean as a whistle and ready for Starting out, Students or Snowbirds. Enjoy the Huge Pool, Clubhouse, Tennis and more. Entire Complex has new roofs and looks great. Pets under 20 Lb. are ok. Shows Well, Won't last.
-
2018-01-03$68,900 Active
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Bright and Airy 2/2 Condo in Well Maintained and Managed Holly Square Condominiums. Snowbird Owners have kept impeccable care of Unit. Clean as a whistle and ready for Starting out, Students or Snowbirds. Enjoy the Huge Pool, Clubhouse, Tennis and more. Entire Complex has new roofs and looks great. Pets under 20 Lb. are ok. Shows Well, Won't last.
-
2000-02-29soldstatus $34,100
-
1999-10-26$36,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,910
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,353
- − Management
- −$1,353
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$2,504
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$601
- After-tax cash flow
- $-109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Holly Hill
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #325
- US rank
- #5737
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Holly Hill, FL
- County
- Volusia County · 556,871 people
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,955
- Household income
- $56,419
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1781.0
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.62%
- Current HPI
- 1084.54
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.01%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+222.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $119,000 Daytona MLS
- 2026-05-28 Listed for Rent $1,400 DMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $124,999 Daytona MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — Daytona MLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $124,900 Daytona MLS
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $129,500 Daytona MLS
- 2025-10-10 Listed $134,500 Daytona MLS
- 2018-03-16 Sold (MLS) $66,000 Daytona MLS
- 2018-01-31 Contingent — Daytona MLS
- 2018-01-03 Listed $68,900 Daytona MLS
- 2000-02-29 Sold (MLS) $34,100 Daytona MLS
- 1999-10-26 Listed $36,900 Daytona MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…