2215 E Hazeltine Way · Gilbert, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.1/10.0
$510,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this beautiful single-level home in the desirable Adora Trails community! Well designed floor plan with an open concept - great for entertaining! Fridge included. This three bedroom, two bath, PLUS office/den has vaulted ceilings in the primary bedroom and great room areas. Office/den includes a closet for additional storage. Primary 3/4 bathroom features a large walk-in shower with a spacious walk-in closet attached. New interior paint! You'll be surprised by the ample storage space provided by two linen/coat closets in the main hallway. The backyard boasts unobstructed mountain views, Turf lawn and a drip system with mature plants make for a low maintenance, relaxing space. Extended garage upgraded with epoxy flooring, built-in cabinets and counter, utility sink, and tankless water heater. The beautiful community of Adora Trails includes a clubhouse, fitness center, parks, over 12 miles of walking trails, basketball court, and playgrounds. Patterson elementary school is conveniently located within the community!
Key facts
- Oversized closet
- Vaulted ceilings
- Large walk-in shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Non-assumable financing
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $104; Community pool; Playground; Biking/walking paths
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener and attached garage cabinets; 2 covered parking spaces; 4 open parking spaces
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership; Asphalt road access
- Construction: Tile roof; Stucco and wood-frame construction
- Exterior features: Stucco and painted wood-frame exterior; Block fencing; Tile roof; Mountain views; Gravel/stone front yard; Synthetic grass in back yard; Automatic front and back irrigation timers; City-maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Up to 4 possible bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; Granite counters; Eat-in kitchen; Vaulted ceilings; Pantry; Master bedroom with 3/4 bath; Dual-pane windows; Tankless hot water heater
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $510k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $328k (35.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (47.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $268k (47.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 3.2% in Gilbert — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in AZ, #240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242) (suburban): math 49% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #31 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Charlotte Patterson Elementary (math 60% / reading 71%, grade B+, #92 of 1,109 statewide, top 9%, 851 students, 8% FRL); Willie & Coy Payne Jr. High (math 47% / reading 53%, grade C, #26 of 218 statewide, top 12%, 1,143 students, 11% FRL); Basha High School (math 61% / reading 61%, grade C+, #17 of 381 statewide, top 4%, 2,814 students, 11% FRL) — zoned schools average 10% FRL vs 25% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $46k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $43k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$74k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($502k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 99900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.52% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.66%
- DSCR
- 0.61
- GRM
- 15.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $487,152
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2315 E Hazeltine Way | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,734 (+9%) | 3mo | $507,500 | $293 | 72 |
| 2177 E Gillcrest Rd | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,731 (+9%) | 0mo | $505,000 | $292 | 63 |
| 2445 E Flintlock Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,759 (+10%) | 2mo | $550,000 | $313 | 63 |
| 2009 E Lindrick Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,734 (+9%) | 10mo | $517,500 | $298 | 63 |
| 2169 E Hazeltine Way | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,734 (+9%) | 20mo | $530,000 | $306 | 61 |
| 2108 E Lindrick Dr | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,734 (+9%) | 14mo | $550,000 | $317 | 58 |
| 7764 S Abbey Ln | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,759 (+10%) | 10mo | $570,000 | $324 | 55 |
| 7761 S Abbey Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,759 (+10%) | 19mo | $505,000 | $287 | 51 |
| 2218 E Gillcrest Rd | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,731 (+9%) | 15mo | $525,000 | $303 | 49 |
| 7665 S Stuart Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,759 (+10%) | 6mo | $510,000 | $290 | 44 |
| 7738 S Reseda St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,731 (+9%) | 19mo | $600,000 | $347 | 36 |
| 2327 E Runaway Bay Pl | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,759 (+10%) | 17mo | $545,000 | $310 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.36% appreciation · 4.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $159,748
- Equity at exit
- $400,120
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.64×
- Total profit
- $520,386
- Equity at exit
- $806,623
Cash invested: $142,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85298
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 329
- Price-to-rent
- 15.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,676 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,674
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,842/yr
- Insurance
- −$212
- HOA
- −$104
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$562
- Net cashflow
- $-1,030
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-742 | -5% $-886 | +0% $-1,030 | +5% $-1,175 | +10% $-1,319 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,242 | -5% $-1,136 | +0% $-1,030 | +5% $-925 | +10% $-819 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-774 | -0.5pp $-901 | base $-1,030 | +0.5pp $-1,163 | +1.0pp $-1,297 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $127,500
- Closing costs
- $15,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2223 E Hazeltine Way Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $2,549 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2227 E Stacey Rd Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $2,499 | $1.59 | 19d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 6718 S Garnet Way Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2723 E Mews Rd Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $2,495 | $1.42 | 19d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2723 E Mews Rd Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $2,395 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1673 E Lafayette Ave Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,500 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4588 E Indian Wells Dr Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2134 | $2,495 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4424 E Peach Tree Dr Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2082 | $2,550 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4649 E Augusta Ave Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2192 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4649 E Augusta Ave Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2192 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $104 · $1,248/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscapinggym
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $510,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $510,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $510,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $510,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $510,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $510,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $510,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $510,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $510,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $510,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $510,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $510,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $510,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $510,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $510,000
-
2026-05-21$510 Active
-
2024-04-09soldstatus $510,000 Closed 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Come see this beautiful single-level home in the desirable Adora Trails community! Well designed floor plan with an open concept - great for entertaining! Fridge included. This three bedroom, two bath, PLUS office/den has vaulted ceilings in the primary bedroom and great room areas. Office/den includes a closet for additional storage. Primary 3/4 bathroom features a large walk-in shower with a spacious walk-in closet attached. New interior paint! You'll be surprised by the ample storage space provided by two linen/coat closets in the main hallway. The backyard boasts unobstructed mountain views, Turf lawn and a drip system with mature plants make for a low maintenance, relaxing space. Extended garage upgraded with epoxy flooring, built-in cabinets and counter, utility sink, and tankless water heater. The beautiful community of Adora Trails includes a clubhouse, fitness center, parks, over 12 miles of walking trails, basketball court, and playgrounds. Patterson elementary school is conveniently located within the community!
-
2024-04-09soldstatus $510,000
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Come see this beautiful single-level home in the desirable Adora Trails community! Well designed floor plan with an open concept - great for entertaining! Fridge included. This three bedroom, two bath, PLUS office/den has vaulted ceilings in the primary bedroom and great room areas. Office/den includes a closet for additional storage. Primary 3/4 bathroom features a large walk-in shower with a spacious walk-in closet attached. New interior paint! You'll be surprised by the ample storage space provided by two linen/coat closets in the main hallway. The backyard boasts unobstructed mountain views, Turf lawn and a drip system with mature plants make for a low maintenance, relaxing space. Extended garage upgraded with epoxy flooring, built-in cabinets and counter, utility sink, and tankless water heater. The beautiful community of Adora Trails includes a clubhouse, fitness center, parks, over 12 miles of walking trails, basketball court, and playgrounds. Patterson elementary school is conveniently located within the community!
-
2024-03-08status Pending 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Come see this beautiful single-level home in the desirable Adora Trails community! Well designed floor plan with an open concept - great for entertaining! Fridge included. This three bedroom, two bath, PLUS office/den has vaulted ceilings in the primary bedroom and great room areas. Office/den includes a closet for additional storage. Primary 3/4 bathroom features a large walk-in shower with a spacious walk-in closet attached. New interior paint! You'll be surprised by the ample storage space provided by two linen/coat closets in the main hallway. The backyard boasts unobstructed mountain views, Turf lawn and a drip system with mature plants make for a low maintenance, relaxing space. Extended garage upgraded with epoxy flooring, built-in cabinets and counter, utility sink, and tankless water heater. The beautiful community of Adora Trails includes a clubhouse, fitness center, parks, over 12 miles of walking trails, basketball court, and playgrounds. Patterson elementary school is conveniently located within the community!
-
2024-03-02price $510,000 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Come see this beautiful single-level home in the desirable Adora Trails community! Well designed floor plan with an open concept - great for entertaining! Fridge included. This three bedroom, two bath, PLUS office/den has vaulted ceilings in the primary bedroom and great room areas. Office/den includes a closet for additional storage. Primary 3/4 bathroom features a large walk-in shower with a spacious walk-in closet attached. New interior paint! You'll be surprised by the ample storage space provided by two linen/coat closets in the main hallway. The backyard boasts unobstructed mountain views, Turf lawn and a drip system with mature plants make for a low maintenance, relaxing space. Extended garage upgraded with epoxy flooring, built-in cabinets and counter, utility sink, and tankless water heater. The beautiful community of Adora Trails includes a clubhouse, fitness center, parks, over 12 miles of walking trails, basketball court, and playgrounds. Patterson elementary school is conveniently located within the community!
-
2024-02-16$520,000 Active 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Come see this beautiful single-level home in the desirable Adora Trails community! Well designed floor plan with an open concept - great for entertaining! Fridge included. This three bedroom, two bath, PLUS office/den has vaulted ceilings in the primary bedroom and great room areas. Office/den includes a closet for additional storage. Primary 3/4 bathroom features a large walk-in shower with a spacious walk-in closet attached. New interior paint! You'll be surprised by the ample storage space provided by two linen/coat closets in the main hallway. The backyard boasts unobstructed mountain views, Turf lawn and a drip system with mature plants make for a low maintenance, relaxing space. Extended garage upgraded with epoxy flooring, built-in cabinets and counter, utility sink, and tankless water heater. The beautiful community of Adora Trails includes a clubhouse, fitness center, parks, over 12 miles of walking trails, basketball court, and playgrounds. Patterson elementary school is conveniently located within the community!
-
2023-11-07soldstatus $499,000 Closed 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful single-level home in the highly sought after Adora Trails community! This popular floor plan, loaded with builder upgrades, features 3 bedrooms, plus an office/den, and a generously sized great room with vaulted ceilings and recessed lighting. The kitchen features dark wood cabinetry, complemented by granite countertops and a comfortable breakfast nook. In the primary suite, you'll discover a spacious closet and an oversized walk-in shower. The backyard is the perfect spot to enjoy beautiful Arizona evenings, with fresh artificial turf and landscaping throughout, plus desirable north/south exposure. Bordered by a desert preserve, you'll have ultimate privacy and a stunning backdrop of mountain views. Welcome home!
-
2023-09-30historical Contract Contingent on Buyer Sale 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful single-level home in the highly sought after Adora Trails community! This popular floor plan, loaded with builder upgrades, features 3 bedrooms, plus an office/den, and a generously sized great room with vaulted ceilings and recessed lighting. The kitchen features dark wood cabinetry, complemented by granite countertops and a comfortable breakfast nook. In the primary suite, you'll discover a spacious closet and an oversized walk-in shower. The backyard is the perfect spot to enjoy beautiful Arizona evenings, with fresh artificial turf and landscaping throughout, plus desirable north/south exposure. Bordered by a desert preserve, you'll have ultimate privacy and a stunning backdrop of mountain views. Welcome home!
-
2023-09-26$489,900 Active 749-char remark
Show marketing remark (749 chars)
Welcome to this beautiful single-level home in the highly sought after Adora Trails community! This popular floor plan, loaded with builder upgrades, features 3 bedrooms, plus an office/den, and a generously sized great room with vaulted ceilings and recessed lighting. The kitchen features dark wood cabinetry, complemented by granite countertops and a comfortable breakfast nook. In the primary suite, you'll discover a spacious closet and an oversized walk-in shower. The backyard is the perfect spot to enjoy beautiful Arizona evenings, with fresh artificial turf and landscaping throughout, plus desirable north/south exposure. Bordered by a desert preserve, you'll have ultimate privacy and a stunning backdrop of mountain views. Welcome home!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,842 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,366 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,524/yr (+$127/mo · 82.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,113
- − Mortgage interest
- −$28,568
- − Property taxes
- −$1,842
- − Insurance
- −$2,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,569
- − Management
- −$2,569
- − HOA
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$14,836
- Taxable loss
- −$22,069
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,297
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,068/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242)
- NCES district ID
- 0401870
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,048
- Composite
- 47.54/100
- National rank
- #2268
- State rank
- #31 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Gilbert
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gilbert, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 281,769
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,114
- Household income
- $156,425
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 173.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.36%
- Current HPI
- 343.6932
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.31%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+4.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $510,000 ARMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $510 ARMLS
- 2024-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $510,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-09 Sold (MLS) $510,000 ARMLS
- 2024-03-08 Pending — ARMLS
- 2024-03-02 Price Changed $510,000 ARMLS
- 2024-02-16 Listed $520,000 ARMLS
- 2023-11-07 Sold (MLS) $499,000 ARMLS
- 2023-09-30 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2023-09-26 Listed $489,900 ARMLS
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,842 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…