1362 W Princeton Ave · Mount Morris, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$17,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special. Full rehab needed. Make offer!
Key facts
- 0.49 acre lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 39 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property type; Subdivision: FAIRHAVEN; Cross streets: Chestnut / Detroit
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Lot approximately 0.49 acres; Lot size dimensions reported as 21344
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Has basement; Three total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $17k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $695 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $17k).
- Recommended offer: $16k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 55.4% vs local median 5.5% in Mount Morris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#357 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Beecher Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #722 of 760 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $573 of equity ($118 loan paydown + $455 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($16k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $17k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 55.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 175.30%
- DSCR
- 8.80
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $37,944
- List price
- $17,000
- Delta
- -55.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1395 W Yale Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (-3%) | 3mo | $8,800 | $9 | 87 |
| 1199 Peachtree Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (-3%) | 10mo | $54,000 | $54 | 62 |
| 5444 Mendel Berger Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-3%) | 0mo | $42,500 | $43 | 61 |
| 1061 Harvard Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-7%) | 2mo | $57,500 | $60 | 60 |
| 5516 Mendel Berger Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,035 (+0%) | 9mo | $15,250 | $15 | 58 |
| 6069 Natchez Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-13%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $72 | 57 |
| 5395 Stiffler Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 912 (-12%) | 6mo | $10,000 | $11 | 53 |
| 5428 Farmhill Rd | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 923 (-11%) | 9mo | $45,000 | $49 | 50 |
| 6117 Penwood Rd | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 985 (-5%) | 12mo | $79,900 | $81 | 49 |
| 1050 W Kurtz Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-7%) | 11mo | $82,500 | $86 | 49 |
| 1148 N Cornell Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-13%) | 10mo | $24,250 | $27 | 45 |
| 2162 W Coldwater Rd | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 888 (-14%) | 9mo | $101,000 | $114 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.68×
- Total profit
- $46,060
- Equity at exit
- $7,334
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 22.49×
- Total profit
- $102,293
- Equity at exit
- $11,067
Cash invested: $4,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48505
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,029 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$89
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$21 /mo · $255/yr
- Insurance
- −$7
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $695
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $4,250
- Closing costs
- $510
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6113 Natchez Dr Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $990 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 6230 Natchez Dr Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2216 Obrien Rd Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1 Sunny Ln Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6203 Hilton Ln Mount Morris, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $900 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 514 W Alma Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $925 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 246 E York Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $895 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6802 DuPont St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5280 Cedar Shores Ct Flint, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,148 | $1.00 | 13d | 6 | 1.18mi |
| 7028 Rosewood Dr Mt Morris, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $1,020 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $899 | $0.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 100 Rosewood Mnr Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $947 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 33 events
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2026-06-18days on market $17,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $17,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $17,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $17,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $17,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $17,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $17,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $17,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $17,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $17,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $17,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $17,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $17,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $17,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $17,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-11$17,000 Active 48-char remark
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2026-05-10$17,000 Active 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Investor Special. Full rehab needed. Make offer!
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2020-11-06soldstatus $10,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-11-06soldstatus $10,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-11-05status Pending
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-11-05status Pending
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-11-02price $9,999
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-11-02price $9,999
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-10-21price $11,000
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-10-21price $11,000
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-10-20status Active
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-10-20status Active
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-09-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-09-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-09-24price $14,500
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2020-09-23price $14,500
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-09-22$22,500 Active
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
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2020-09-22$22,500 Active
Show marketing remark (9 chars)
To Follow
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,347
- − Mortgage interest
- −$952
- − Property taxes
- −$255
- − Insurance
- −$85
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$988
- − Management
- −$988
- − Depreciation
- −$495
- Taxable income
- $8,585
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,060
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beecher Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 2604500
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,719
- Composite
- 9.96/100
- National rank
- #14685
- State rank
- #722 of 760 in MI
Livability — Mount Morris
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #357
- US rank
- #9095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beecher, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 19,519
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,032
- Household income
- $33,283
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.67%
- Current HPI
- 202.4878
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-24.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $17,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-10 Listed $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-06 Sold (MLS) $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-06 Sold (MLS) $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-11-05 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-11-02 Price Changed $9,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-02 Price Changed $9,999 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-21 Price Changed $11,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-21 Price Changed $11,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-20 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-20 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2020-09-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-09-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-09-24 Price Changed $14,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-09-23 Price Changed $14,500 REALCOMP
- 2020-09-22 Listed $22,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-09-22 Listed $22,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,287 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…