4810 Lenox St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention First time home owners and Investors ! Welcome to this beautifully updated 1,300+ sqft home, featuring 5 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Freshly painted and with brand-new flooring, this residence offers a modern and inviting atmosphere. Whether entertaining guests or enjoying quiet family moments, this home provides ample space and comfort
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1926
- Listed 52 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 20 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $100k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.15%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,711
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 23.77%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5517 Drexel St | 0.38mi | 5/2.0 | 1,425 (+2%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $46 | 72 |
| 5764 Lenox St | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,401 (+1%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $61 | 52 |
| 5550 Lenox St | 0.41mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,508 (+8%) | 11mo | $179,900 | $119 | 44 |
| 5568 Manistique St | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,373 (-1%) | 14mo | $145,000 | $106 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $25,621
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $76,208
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48215
- Home prices YoY
- -24.1%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,697 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,431/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $656
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4667 Beniteau St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,700 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 13395 Maiden St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4487 French Rd Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-08price $99,900 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Attention First time home owners and Investors ! Welcome to this beautifully updated 1,300+ sqft home, featuring 5 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Freshly painted and with brand-new flooring, this residence offers a modern and inviting atmosphere. Whether entertaining guests or enjoying quiet family moments, this home provides ample space and comfort
-
2026-05-07price $99,900 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Attention First time home owners and Investors ! Welcome to this beautifully updated 1,300+ sqft home, featuring 5 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Freshly painted and with brand-new flooring, this residence offers a modern and inviting atmosphere. Whether entertaining guests or enjoying quiet family moments, this home provides ample space and comfort
-
2026-04-25price $104,900 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Attention First time home owners and Investors ! Welcome to this beautifully updated 1,300+ sqft home, featuring 5 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Freshly painted and with brand-new flooring, this residence offers a modern and inviting atmosphere. Whether entertaining guests or enjoying quiet family moments, this home provides ample space and comfort
-
2026-04-24price $104,900 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Attention First time home owners and Investors ! Welcome to this beautifully updated 1,300+ sqft home, featuring 5 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Freshly painted and with brand-new flooring, this residence offers a modern and inviting atmosphere. Whether entertaining guests or enjoying quiet family moments, this home provides ample space and comfort
-
2026-04-16$114,900 Active 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Attention First time home owners and Investors ! Welcome to this beautifully updated 1,300+ sqft home, featuring 5 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Freshly painted and with brand-new flooring, this residence offers a modern and inviting atmosphere. Whether entertaining guests or enjoying quiet family moments, this home provides ample space and comfort
-
2026-04-16$114,900 Active 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Attention First time home owners and Investors ! Welcome to this beautifully updated 1,300+ sqft home, featuring 5 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Freshly painted and with brand-new flooring, this residence offers a modern and inviting atmosphere. Whether entertaining guests or enjoying quiet family moments, this home provides ample space and comfort
-
2025-12-18historical
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2025-09-03price $109,900
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2025-09-02price $109,900
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2025-06-20price $114,900
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2025-06-19price $114,900
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2025-05-27$124,900 Active
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2025-05-27$124,900 Active
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2024-11-15historical
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2024-11-15historical
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2024-10-14price $135,000
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2024-10-14price $135,000
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2024-09-19$140,000 Active
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2024-09-19$140,000 Active
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2024-09-16historical
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2024-09-16historical
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2024-02-28soldstatus $46,500
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2024-02-21soldstatus $46,500 Sold
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2024-02-21soldstatus $46,500 Closed
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2024-01-18status Pending
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2024-01-18status Pending
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2023-11-21price $47,900
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2023-11-20price $47,900
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2023-11-15status Active
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2023-11-15status Active
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2023-11-01status Pending
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2023-11-01status Pending
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2023-10-12$50,000 Active
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2023-10-12$50,000 Active
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2018-09-10soldstatus $47,000
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2012-04-23historical
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2012-04-23historical
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2012-03-03historical
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2012-01-23$25,000
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2012-01-23$25,000
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2011-10-03$870
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2011-02-07historical
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2011-02-07historical
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2010-10-07$22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,431 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,485 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$54/yr (+$4/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,431
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,629
- − Management
- −$1,629
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $6,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,602
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- City population
- 572,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,238
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 87% White 9% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.84%
- Current HPI
- 191.0405
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+38.8% since first listed56 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $104,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $104,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Listed $114,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Listed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $114,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-27 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-05-27 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-10-14 Price Changed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-14 Price Changed $135,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-09-19 Listed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-19 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-09-16 Coming Soon — REALCOMP
- 2024-09-16 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records
- 2024-02-21 Sold (MLS) $46,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-02-21 Sold (MLS) $46,500 REALCOMP
- 2024-01-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-11-21 Price Changed $47,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-20 Price Changed $47,900 REALCOMP
- 2023-11-15 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-15 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2023-11-01 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-01 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-10-12 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-12 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2012-04-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2012-04-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-03-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-01-23 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-01-23 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-10-03 Listed $870 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-02-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2011-02-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-10-07 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-10-07 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-04-29 Sold (MLS) $8,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-04-11 Listed $9,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-04-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-04-02 Listed $9,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-02-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-12-28 Listed $9,000 REALCOMP
- 2007-09-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-09-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-05-16 Listed $23,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-05-16 Listed $23,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,431 · +16.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…