3029 Jonquil Dr · Shreveport, LA 71107

$80,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 997 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 177 Days on market

Built 1970 7,492 sqft lot $80/sqft · 71% above area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Part of a 40 property rental package. Contact Agent for details!

Key facts

• 7,492 sq ft lot
• Parking
• Built 1970

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 262 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.60% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.83%
• DSCR: 2.28
• GRM: 5.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $46,818
• List price: $80,000
• Delta: 70.88%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 10 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3052 Yorktown Dr	0.18mi	3/1.5	1,057 (+6%)	3mo	$68,000	$64	79
3032 Gordonia St	0.05mi	3/1.0	979 (-2%)	20mo	$210,000	$215	76
2808 Hersey D Wilson Dr	0.63mi	3/1.0	1,053 (+6%)	2mo	$115,000	$109	58
2832 Round Grove Ln	0.71mi	3/1.5	1,096 (+10%)	2mo	$24,000	$22	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 23.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.95×
• Total profit: $21,283
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 31.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.79×
• Total profit: $62,552
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71107

• Home prices YoY: -34.5%
• Active inventory: 262
• Price-to-rent: 5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,283 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$23 /mo · $271/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$269
• Net cashflow: $538

Break-even live

Break-even rent $602

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $583	-5% $561	+0% $538	+5% $515	+10% $493
Rent	-10% $437	-5% $487	+0% $538	+5% $589	+10% $640
Rate	-1.0pp $578	-0.5pp $558	base $538	+0.5pp $517	+1.0pp $496

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4321 Ridgeway St Shreveport, LA	2.0	1.0	890	$800	$0.90	44d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $80,000 Active 177 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $80,000 Active 176 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $80,000 Active 175 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $80,000 Active 174 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $80,000 Active 172 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $80,000 Active 171 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $80,000 Active 169 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $80,000 Active 168 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $80,000 Active 167 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 166 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 163 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 162 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 161 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 160 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 159 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 158 DOM
17. 2025-12-23
    listed $80,000 Active 64-char remark

    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Part of a 40 property rental package. Contact Agent for details!

18. 2023-12-15
    historical $800
19. 2023-11-11
    listed $800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $271 · $23/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $440 · $37/mo
• Expected delta: +$169/yr (+$14/mo · 62.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,397
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$271
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,232
• − Management: −$1,232
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $5,453
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,309
• After-tax cash flow: $5,149/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Caddo Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200300
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -33.00%
• Reading proficiency: 32% ▼ -30.00%
• Median HH income: $39,227
• Composite: 22.23/100
• National rank: #8148
• State rank: #53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #270
• US rank: #19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Shreveport, LA
• County: Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
• City population: 95
• Metro: Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
• Population (ZIP): 31,734
• Household income: $48,365
• Rent vs Own: 36.4% rent · 63.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 1346.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 243,190 people
• By 2030: 237,231 · -2.5%
• By 2040: 222,502 · -8.5%
• By 2050: 206,516 · -15.1%
• By 2075: 165,706 · -31.9%
• By 2100: 122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 51% White 43% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -62.11%
• Current HPI: 117.801
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2025-12-23 Listed $80,000 NTREIS
• 2023-12-15 Rental Removed $800 APPFOLIO
• 2023-11-11 Listed for Rent $800 APPFOLIO

Property tax history

+12.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $271 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.