9263 Rosemont Ave · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1947
- Listed 5 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $731 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Cap rate 28.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,274/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 78.48%
- DSCR
- 4.49
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,928
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18126 Cathedral St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,486 (+2%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $67 | 85 |
| 9549 Rutland St | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,493 (+3%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $30 | 64 |
| 9536 Artesian St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,467 (+1%) | 20mo | $103,500 | $71 | 62 |
| 8836 Artesian St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,444 (-1%) | 20mo | $48,000 | $33 | 56 |
| 8865 Greenview Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,575 (+8%) | 14mo | $42,000 | $27 | 54 |
| 9030 Grandville Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (-4%) | 9mo | $109,000 | $78 | 53 |
| 18712 W Chicago St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,263 (-13%) | 8mo | $35,000 | $28 | 53 |
| 9583 Rutland St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,579 (+9%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $101 | 53 |
| 8867 Ashton Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,643 (+13%) | 18mo | $140,000 | $85 | 50 |
| 9983 Grandville Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,543 (+6%) | 15mo | $90,000 | $58 | 45 |
| 9603 Memorial St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (-14%) | 16mo | $53,500 | $43 | 42 |
| 9609 Warwick St | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,634 (+12%) | 18mo | $104,000 | $64 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 75.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $36,358
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 78.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.91×
- Total profit
- $77,234
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 369
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $731
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $758 | -5% $744 | +0% $731 | +5% $717 | +10% $703 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $630 | -5% $680 | +0% $731 | +5% $781 | +10% $831 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $751 | -0.5pp $741 | base $731 | +0.5pp $720 | +1.0pp $710 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 10030 Abington Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,475 | $1.09 | 11d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 19440 W Chicago St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,225 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 19440 W Chicago St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,225 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 11704 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,300 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 9220 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9589 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 963 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8283 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,294 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 9401 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20529 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20522 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20541 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9410 Patton St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 20545 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 20547 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 20550 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 9404 Patton St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 20619 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 12084 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 11393 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7794 Vaughan St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8604 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11652 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,386 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8331 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1342 | $1,350 | $1.01 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 12711 Grandmont Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 20431 Tireman St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 9059 Burt Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,400 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 20921 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 20935 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 20937 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2025-02-10status Pending
-
2025-02-10status Pending
-
2025-02-05$39,900 Active
-
2025-02-05$39,900 Active
-
2013-04-22soldstatus $47,000
-
2009-01-14historical
-
2009-01-08historical
-
2008-12-31historical
-
2008-08-05$14,900
-
2008-08-05historical
-
2008-06-25$14,900
-
2008-06-25$14,900
-
2008-06-25$14,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,287
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,223
- − Management
- −$1,223
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $8,648
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,075
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,693/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+167.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2025-02-10 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-02-10 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-02-05 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-02-05 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2009-01-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-01-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2008-08-05 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-08-05 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-06-25 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-06-25 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-06-25 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,373 · -54.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…