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436 Maddie Ln
D Composite 40.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

436 Maddie Ln · Tiffin, IA 52340
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,951 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 2000 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Huge opportunity to flip this house in highly sought after and well-established Tiffin neighborhood. Light filled home with 3 skylights in the vaulted ceiling - priced to sell, and price is based on the condition of the home. You won’t find another deal like this anywhere in Johnson County! Fantastic bones with 1556 sq ft above and 1344 lower level so the sq footage is 2900. Lower level has 1 bedroom with a large family room, two other rooms with no egress and a walk out from 5th bedroom or utility/hobby space. Property sold as-is. Kitchen doesn’t have kitchen sink and appliances may or may not work. Just blocks away from parks, walking trails and schools. Property needs the right owner to come in and give it some love! Water heater new in 2022. Roof, siding, master bedrooms ceiling, all plank flooring new in 2021. Furnace new in 2020. Water softener doesn't work-sold as is. Blank slate yard is ready for its makeover.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 2000

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $257k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (14.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.2% in Tiffin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#220 in IA, #4,085 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clear Creek Amana Community School District (rural): math 73% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #72 of 289 in IA (top 25%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Tiffin Elementary (math 67% / reading 52%, grade B-, #390 of 616 statewide, top 69%, 400 students, 30% FRL); Clear Creek Amana Middle School (math 76% / reading 76%, grade A, #59 of 246 statewide, top 26%, 640 students, 29% FRL); Clear Creek Amana High School (math 71% / reading 85%, grade A-, #53 of 336 statewide, top 16%, 728 students, 23% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 714 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (158 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Johnson County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $217k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $235,414 (14.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.61%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$572,494
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
436 Maddie Ln 0.00mi 4/3.0 2,900 (-2%) 1mo $225,000 $78 97
432 Rolling Hills Dr 0.19mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,796 (-5%) 2mo $543,000 $194 76
623 Ponds Ct 0.24mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,901 (-2%) 4mo $462,000 $159 76
1005 Iris Ave 0.26mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,988 (+1%) 6mo $590,000 $197 76
1003 Croell Ave 0.28mi 4/3.0 2,785 (-6%) 3mo $515,000 $185 75
1002 Croell Ave 0.30mi 4/3.0 2,597 (-12%) 4mo $555,000 $214 63
517 Elizabeth Ln 0.66mi 5/3.0 (+1) 3,040 (+3%) 1mo $668,000 $220 58
700 Lakeview Ct 0.65mi 4/3.0 3,182 (+8%) 3mo $925,744 $291 54
707 Rolling Hills Dr 0.40mi 4/3.5 2,593 (-12%) 8mo $329,900 $127 53
1205 Croell Ave 0.38mi 5/3.5 (+1) 3,296 (+12%) 6mo $815,000 $247 51
717 E Goldfinch Dr 0.38mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,556 (-13%) 6mo $429,990 $168 48
571 Fawn Ave 0.61mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,532 (-14%) 2mo $454,900 $180 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-51,076
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-52,659
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52340

Home prices YoY
-8.8%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,354 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$406 /mo · $4,878/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$-103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,485
Max offer price $256,726
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $52 -5% $-26 +0% $-103 +5% $-181 +10% $-259
Rent -10% $-289 -5% $-196 +0% $-103 +5% $-10 +10% $83
Rate -1.0pp $35 -0.5pp $-33 base $-103 +0.5pp $-175 +1.0pp $-247

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 943-char remark
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    Huge opportunity to flip this house in highly sought after and well-established Tiffin neighborhood. Light filled home with 3 skylights in the vaulted ceiling - priced to sell, and price is based on the condition of the home. You won’t find another deal like this anywhere in Johnson County! Fantastic bones with 1556 sq ft above and 1344 lower level so the sq footage is 2900. Lower level has 1 bedroom with a large family room, two other rooms with no egress and a walk out from 5th bedroom or utility/hobby space. Property sold as-is. Kitchen doesn’t have kitchen sink and appliances may or may not work. Just blocks away from parks, walking trails and schools. Property needs the right owner to come in and give it some love! Water heater new in 2022. Roof, siding, master bedrooms ceiling, all plank flooring new in 2021. Furnace new in 2020. Water softener doesn't work-sold as is. Blank slate yard is ready for its makeover.

  2. 2026-04-26
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-08
    listed $275,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    Huge opportunity to flip this house in highly sought after and well-established Tiffin neighborhood. Light filled home with 3 skylights in the vaulted ceiling - priced to sell, and price is based on the condition of the home. You won’t find another deal like this anywhere in Johnson County! Fantastic bones with 1556 sq ft above and 1344 lower level so the sq footage is 2900. Lower level has 1 bedroom with a large family room, two other rooms with no egress and a walk out from 5th bedroom or utility/hobby space. Property sold as-is. Kitchen doesn’t have kitchen sink and appliances may or may not work. Just blocks away from parks, walking trails and schools. Property needs the right owner to come in and give it some love! Water heater new in 2022. Roof, siding, master bedrooms ceiling, all plank flooring new in 2021. Furnace new in 2020. Water softener doesn't work-sold as is. Blank slate yard is ready for its makeover.

  4. 2026-04-08
    listed $275,000 Active 943-char remark
    Show marketing remark (943 chars)

    Huge opportunity to flip this house in highly sought after and well-established Tiffin neighborhood. Light filled home with 3 skylights in the vaulted ceiling - priced to sell, and price is based on the condition of the home. You won’t find another deal like this anywhere in Johnson County! Fantastic bones with 1556 sq ft above and 1344 lower level so the sq footage is 2900. Lower level has 1 bedroom with a large family room, two other rooms with no egress and a walk out from 5th bedroom or utility/hobby space. Property sold as-is. Kitchen doesn’t have kitchen sink and appliances may or may not work. Just blocks away from parks, walking trails and schools. Property needs the right owner to come in and give it some love! Water heater new in 2022. Roof, siding, master bedrooms ceiling, all plank flooring new in 2021. Furnace new in 2020. Water softener doesn't work-sold as is. Blank slate yard is ready for its makeover.

  5. 2018-01-03
    soldstatus $217,000
  6. 2017-11-28
    soldstatus $217,000 563-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    This wonderful 4 bedroom/2 bathroom ranch is too good to pass up! Located near Marengo Rd, you have quick access to Coralville and Iowa City. Enjoy the 3 skylights in the large, main level living area. Lower level is partially finished and features a large rec room, shop area with outside access, and a bonus room. Newer appliances include: Dishwasher (2017), Water heater (2016), and Samsung high efficiency Washer and Dryer (2017). Owner is offering a HSA Home Warranty. All square footage is per Assessor's website, 2 rooms in lower level partially finished.

  7. 2017-11-28
    soldstatus $217,000
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    This wonderful 4 bedroom/2 bathroom ranch is too good to pass up! Located near Marengo Rd, you have quick access to Coralville and Iowa City. Enjoy the 3 skylights in the large, main level living area. Lower level is partially finished and features a large rec room, shop area with outside access, and a bonus room. Newer appliances include: Dishwasher (2017), Water heater (2016), and Samsung high efficiency Washer and Dryer (2017). Owner is offering a HSA Home Warranty. All square footage is per Assessor's website, 2 rooms in lower level partially finished.

  8. 2017-11-20
    price $229,900
  9. 2017-06-03
    listed $229,900 563-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    This wonderful 4 bedroom/2 bathroom ranch is too good to pass up! Located near Marengo Rd, you have quick access to Coralville and Iowa City. Enjoy the 3 skylights in the large, main level living area. Lower level is partially finished and features a large rec room, shop area with outside access, and a bonus room. Newer appliances include: Dishwasher (2017), Water heater (2016), and Samsung high efficiency Washer and Dryer (2017). Owner is offering a HSA Home Warranty. All square footage is per Assessor's website, 2 rooms in lower level partially finished.

  10. 2017-06-03
    listed $217,000
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    This wonderful 4 bedroom/2 bathroom ranch is too good to pass up! Located near Marengo Rd, you have quick access to Coralville and Iowa City. Enjoy the 3 skylights in the large, main level living area. Lower level is partially finished and features a large rec room, shop area with outside access, and a bonus room. Newer appliances include: Dishwasher (2017), Water heater (2016), and Samsung high efficiency Washer and Dryer (2017). Owner is offering a HSA Home Warranty. All square footage is per Assessor's website, 2 rooms in lower level partially finished.

  11. 2008-03-14
    soldstatus $162,000
  12. 2006-08-17
    soldstatus $161,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,878 · $406/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,878 · $406/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,250
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$4,878
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,260
− Management
−$2,260
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$5,928
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,423
After-tax cash flow
$181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clear Creek Amana Community School District
NCES district ID
1907590
Math proficiency
73% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$62,915
Composite
63.92/100
National rank
#586
State rank
#72 of 289 in IA

Livability — Tiffin

Score
75/100
State rank
#220
US rank
#4085

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tiffin, IA
County
Johnson County · 132,710 people
City population
6,128
Metro
Iowa City, IA
Population (ZIP)
6,128
Household income
$98,393
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
149.0

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,405 people
By 2030
200,014 · +10.9%
By 2040
241,428 · +33.8%
By 2050
288,144 · +59.7%
By 2075
420,009 · +132.8%
By 2100
546,596 · +203.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Portuguese 5% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · China, United Kingdom, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.1) · D 68.4% · R 30.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.5pp · 2024: 38.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.1 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+35.4 2008: D+41.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.59%
Current HPI
172.251
Rent YoY
Metro
Iowa City, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+70.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending CRAAR, CDRMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Pending ICAARMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $275,000 ICAARMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $275,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
  • 2018-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $217,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-28 Sold (MLS) $217,000 ICAARMLS
  • 2017-11-28 Sold (MLS) $217,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
  • 2017-11-20 Price Changed $229,900 ICAARMLS
  • 2017-06-03 Listed $217,000 ICAARMLS
  • 2017-06-03 Listed $229,900 CRAAR, CDRMLS
  • 2008-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $162,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $161,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,878 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…