436 Maddie Ln · Tiffin, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Huge opportunity to flip this house in highly sought after and well-established Tiffin neighborhood. Light filled home with 3 skylights in the vaulted ceiling - priced to sell, and price is based on the condition of the home. You won’t find another deal like this anywhere in Johnson County! Fantastic bones with 1556 sq ft above and 1344 lower level so the sq footage is 2900. Lower level has 1 bedroom with a large family room, two other rooms with no egress and a walk out from 5th bedroom or utility/hobby space. Property sold as-is. Kitchen doesn’t have kitchen sink and appliances may or may not work. Just blocks away from parks, walking trails and schools. Property needs the right owner to come in and give it some love! Water heater new in 2022. Roof, siding, master bedrooms ceiling, all plank flooring new in 2021. Furnace new in 2020. Water softener doesn't work-sold as is. Blank slate yard is ready for its makeover.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2000
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $257k (6.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (14.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $235k (14.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.2% in Tiffin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#220 in IA, #4,085 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Clear Creek Amana Community School District (rural): math 73% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #72 of 289 in IA (top 25%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Tiffin Elementary (math 67% / reading 52%, grade B-, #390 of 616 statewide, top 69%, 400 students, 30% FRL); Clear Creek Amana Middle School (math 76% / reading 76%, grade A, #59 of 246 statewide, top 26%, 640 students, 29% FRL); Clear Creek Amana High School (math 71% / reading 85%, grade A-, #53 of 336 statewide, top 16%, 728 students, 23% FRL).
- Market conditions: 216 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 714 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (158 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $217k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.61%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $572,494
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 436 Maddie Ln | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 | 2,900 (-2%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $78 | 97 |
| 432 Rolling Hills Dr | 0.19mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,796 (-5%) | 2mo | $543,000 | $194 | 76 |
| 623 Ponds Ct | 0.24mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,901 (-2%) | 4mo | $462,000 | $159 | 76 |
| 1005 Iris Ave | 0.26mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,988 (+1%) | 6mo | $590,000 | $197 | 76 |
| 1003 Croell Ave | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 | 2,785 (-6%) | 3mo | $515,000 | $185 | 75 |
| 1002 Croell Ave | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 | 2,597 (-12%) | 4mo | $555,000 | $214 | 63 |
| 517 Elizabeth Ln | 0.66mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,040 (+3%) | 1mo | $668,000 | $220 | 58 |
| 700 Lakeview Ct | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 | 3,182 (+8%) | 3mo | $925,744 | $291 | 54 |
| 707 Rolling Hills Dr | 0.40mi | 4/3.5 | 2,593 (-12%) | 8mo | $329,900 | $127 | 53 |
| 1205 Croell Ave | 0.38mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 3,296 (+12%) | 6mo | $815,000 | $247 | 51 |
| 717 E Goldfinch Dr | 0.38mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,556 (-13%) | 6mo | $429,990 | $168 | 48 |
| 571 Fawn Ave | 0.61mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,532 (-14%) | 2mo | $454,900 | $180 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-51,076
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-52,659
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52340
- Home prices YoY
- -8.8%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,354 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$406 /mo · $4,878/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$494
- Net cashflow
- $-103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $52 | -5% $-26 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-181 | +10% $-259 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-289 | -5% $-196 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-10 | +10% $83 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $35 | -0.5pp $-33 | base $-103 | +0.5pp $-175 | +1.0pp $-247 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
Huge opportunity to flip this house in highly sought after and well-established Tiffin neighborhood. Light filled home with 3 skylights in the vaulted ceiling - priced to sell, and price is based on the condition of the home. You won’t find another deal like this anywhere in Johnson County! Fantastic bones with 1556 sq ft above and 1344 lower level so the sq footage is 2900. Lower level has 1 bedroom with a large family room, two other rooms with no egress and a walk out from 5th bedroom or utility/hobby space. Property sold as-is. Kitchen doesn’t have kitchen sink and appliances may or may not work. Just blocks away from parks, walking trails and schools. Property needs the right owner to come in and give it some love! Water heater new in 2022. Roof, siding, master bedrooms ceiling, all plank flooring new in 2021. Furnace new in 2020. Water softener doesn't work-sold as is. Blank slate yard is ready for its makeover.
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-08$275,000 Active
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
Huge opportunity to flip this house in highly sought after and well-established Tiffin neighborhood. Light filled home with 3 skylights in the vaulted ceiling - priced to sell, and price is based on the condition of the home. You won’t find another deal like this anywhere in Johnson County! Fantastic bones with 1556 sq ft above and 1344 lower level so the sq footage is 2900. Lower level has 1 bedroom with a large family room, two other rooms with no egress and a walk out from 5th bedroom or utility/hobby space. Property sold as-is. Kitchen doesn’t have kitchen sink and appliances may or may not work. Just blocks away from parks, walking trails and schools. Property needs the right owner to come in and give it some love! Water heater new in 2022. Roof, siding, master bedrooms ceiling, all plank flooring new in 2021. Furnace new in 2020. Water softener doesn't work-sold as is. Blank slate yard is ready for its makeover.
-
2026-04-08$275,000 Active 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
Huge opportunity to flip this house in highly sought after and well-established Tiffin neighborhood. Light filled home with 3 skylights in the vaulted ceiling - priced to sell, and price is based on the condition of the home. You won’t find another deal like this anywhere in Johnson County! Fantastic bones with 1556 sq ft above and 1344 lower level so the sq footage is 2900. Lower level has 1 bedroom with a large family room, two other rooms with no egress and a walk out from 5th bedroom or utility/hobby space. Property sold as-is. Kitchen doesn’t have kitchen sink and appliances may or may not work. Just blocks away from parks, walking trails and schools. Property needs the right owner to come in and give it some love! Water heater new in 2022. Roof, siding, master bedrooms ceiling, all plank flooring new in 2021. Furnace new in 2020. Water softener doesn't work-sold as is. Blank slate yard is ready for its makeover.
-
2018-01-03soldstatus $217,000
-
2017-11-28soldstatus $217,000 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
This wonderful 4 bedroom/2 bathroom ranch is too good to pass up! Located near Marengo Rd, you have quick access to Coralville and Iowa City. Enjoy the 3 skylights in the large, main level living area. Lower level is partially finished and features a large rec room, shop area with outside access, and a bonus room. Newer appliances include: Dishwasher (2017), Water heater (2016), and Samsung high efficiency Washer and Dryer (2017). Owner is offering a HSA Home Warranty. All square footage is per Assessor's website, 2 rooms in lower level partially finished.
-
2017-11-28soldstatus $217,000
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
This wonderful 4 bedroom/2 bathroom ranch is too good to pass up! Located near Marengo Rd, you have quick access to Coralville and Iowa City. Enjoy the 3 skylights in the large, main level living area. Lower level is partially finished and features a large rec room, shop area with outside access, and a bonus room. Newer appliances include: Dishwasher (2017), Water heater (2016), and Samsung high efficiency Washer and Dryer (2017). Owner is offering a HSA Home Warranty. All square footage is per Assessor's website, 2 rooms in lower level partially finished.
-
2017-11-20price $229,900
-
2017-06-03$229,900 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
This wonderful 4 bedroom/2 bathroom ranch is too good to pass up! Located near Marengo Rd, you have quick access to Coralville and Iowa City. Enjoy the 3 skylights in the large, main level living area. Lower level is partially finished and features a large rec room, shop area with outside access, and a bonus room. Newer appliances include: Dishwasher (2017), Water heater (2016), and Samsung high efficiency Washer and Dryer (2017). Owner is offering a HSA Home Warranty. All square footage is per Assessor's website, 2 rooms in lower level partially finished.
-
2017-06-03$217,000
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
This wonderful 4 bedroom/2 bathroom ranch is too good to pass up! Located near Marengo Rd, you have quick access to Coralville and Iowa City. Enjoy the 3 skylights in the large, main level living area. Lower level is partially finished and features a large rec room, shop area with outside access, and a bonus room. Newer appliances include: Dishwasher (2017), Water heater (2016), and Samsung high efficiency Washer and Dryer (2017). Owner is offering a HSA Home Warranty. All square footage is per Assessor's website, 2 rooms in lower level partially finished.
-
2008-03-14soldstatus $162,000
-
2006-08-17soldstatus $161,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,878 · $406/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,878 · $406/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,250
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,878
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,260
- − Management
- −$2,260
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$5,928
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,423
- After-tax cash flow
- $181/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clear Creek Amana Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907590
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,915
- Composite
- 63.92/100
- National rank
- #586
- State rank
- #72 of 289 in IA
Livability — Tiffin
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #4085
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tiffin, IA
- County
- Johnson County · 132,710 people
- City population
- 6,128
- Metro
- Iowa City, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,128
- Household income
- $98,393
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 149.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,405 people
- By 2030
- 200,014 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 241,428 · +33.8%
- By 2050
- 288,144 · +59.7%
- By 2075
- 420,009 · +132.8%
- By 2100
- 546,596 · +203.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Portuguese 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China, United Kingdom, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.1) · D 68.4% · R 30.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.4pp toward R · 2008: 41.5pp · 2024: 38.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.1 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+35.4 2008: D+41.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.59%
- Current HPI
- 172.251
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Iowa City, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+70.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-04-26 Pending — ICAARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $275,000 ICAARMLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $275,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2018-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $217,000 Public Records
- 2017-11-28 Sold (MLS) $217,000 ICAARMLS
- 2017-11-28 Sold (MLS) $217,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2017-11-20 Price Changed $229,900 ICAARMLS
- 2017-06-03 Listed $217,000 ICAARMLS
- 2017-06-03 Listed $229,900 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2008-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $162,000 Public Records
- 2006-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $161,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,878 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…