7328 Aaron Jordan Dr · San Antonio, TX 78252

$229,900

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,446 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market

Built 2022 6,926 sqft lot Est $224k · at est. $40/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 20% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.7/30.0
• ARV discount +6.3/15.0
• Appreciation +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.4/10.0
• 1% rule +2.3/10.0
• Rent growth +2.1/5.0

Listing remarks

This inviting home in Luckey Ranch combines modern comfort, energy efficiency, and unbeatable convenience. Featuring SOLAR PANELS, this property offers long-term savings and ecofriendly living. Step inside to an open-concept floor plan with granite countertops throughout. A layout that flows effortlessly with Home office down for convivence. Upstairs, the spacious primary suite includes a large walk-in closet, accompanied by two additional bedrooms and a conveniently located utility room. Enjoy outdoor living on the large covered patio, complete with a storage shed A 2-car garage adds even more functionality.

Key facts

• Storage shed
• Large covered patio
• Solar panels

Tags

• SOLAR PANELS
• OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLAN
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• HOME OFFICE
• LARGE COVERED PATIO
• STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Subdivision: Luckey Ranch
• HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; HOA dues $480 annually; Association transfer fee $275

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Utilities: City water; City sewer
• Home design: Pre-owned single-family home; Approximately 4 years old; Slab entry (single level entry)
• Construction: Siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built about 4 years ago
• Exterior features: Community pool; Park/playground; Jogging trails; Lot in Luckey Ranch subdivision

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen — 14 x 11
• Bedrooms: Master bedroom (upper level) — 16 x 12; Bedroom 2 — 13 x 9; Bedroom 3 — 10 x 9
• Flooring: Carpeting; Laminate flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom; Master bath with tub/shower combination — 9 x 8
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living/dining room combination; Study/library; One living area

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-193 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (14.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (26.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $168k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
• Medina Valley ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #148 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 537 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-4 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
• Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 10 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $168,251 (26.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.73% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.28%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.61%
• DSCR: 0.84
• GRM: 11.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $224,130
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7318 Calypso Cyn	0.20mi	3/2.0	1,516 (+5%)	3mo	$280,000	$185	78
12255 Stratsburg	0.29mi	3/2.0	1,404 (-3%)	3mo	$217,999	$155	77
11920 Stroud Dr	0.32mi	3/2.0	1,525 (+6%)	3mo	$289,900	$190	72
6935 Luckey	0.43mi	3/2.0	1,404 (-3%)	3mo	$239,990	$171	71
12254 Stratsburg	0.29mi	3/2.0	1,562 (+8%)	1mo	$218,000	$140	70
6507 Chevler	0.67mi	3/2.5	1,477 (+2%)	0mo	$214,900	$145	65
6512 Sabinal	0.62mi	3/2.0	1,477 (+2%)	1mo	$210,000	$142	65
12318 Carlson Vly	0.66mi	3/2.5	1,417 (-2%)	3mo	$224,000	$158	64
11620 Claudette	0.41mi	3/2.5	1,300 (-10%)	2mo	$197,899	$152	62
12355 Mahoney Ml	0.51mi	3/2.5	1,290 (-11%)	0mo	$197,000	$153	58
12323 Commander Dr	0.58mi	3/2.5	1,290 (-11%)	1mo	$205,000	$159	54
11423 Luckey Ledge	0.70mi	3/2.0	1,562 (+8%)	1mo	$224,000	$143	51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.63×
• Total profit: $-24,012
• Equity at exit: $66,735

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.60×
• Total profit: $-25,753
• Equity at exit: $80,202

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78252

• Home prices YoY: -0.0%
• Rents YoY: -1.7%
• Active inventory: 537
• Price-to-rent: 11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,683 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,206
• Tax from tax record: −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
• Insurance: −$96
• HOA: −$40
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$353
• Net cashflow: $-193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,927

Max offer price $195,726

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $57,475
• Closing costs: $6,897
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7247 Calypso Cyn San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1446	$1,550	$1.07	24d	1	0.11mi
12118 Stratsburg San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1597	$1,750	$1.10	44d	1	0.15mi
11922 Lake Parker San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1428	$3,500	$2.45	2d	1	0.15mi
7318 Calypso Cyn San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1516	$1,575	$1.04	44d	1	0.17mi
7318 Sharma Vly San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1428	$1,395	$0.98	24d	1	0.21mi
12014 Latour Vly San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1428	$1,469	$1.03	3d	1	0.24mi
7318 Anchor Cyn San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1525	$1,495	$0.98	15d	1	0.26mi
11803 Claudette St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1420	$1,595	$1.12	44d	1	0.29mi
11934 Luckey Villa San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	996	$1,500	$1.51	20d	1	0.30mi
12251 Siragusa San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1822	$2,050	$1.13	3d	1	0.31mi
11753 Alcoser Ct San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1792	$1,589	$0.89	22d	1	0.32mi
11742 Davalos Ln San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1525	$1,600	$1.05	44d	1	0.35mi
11737 Davalos Ln San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1514	$1,625	$1.07	44d	1	0.39mi
7551 Bowdre San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1209	$1,650	$1.36	24d	1	0.40mi
12324 Claiborne San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1404	$1,445	$1.03	44d	1	0.40mi
7322 Bowdre San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1381	$1,600	$1.16	44d	1	0.41mi
6843 Luckey Path San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1404	$1,450	$1.03	44d	1	0.41mi
6747 Sabinal San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1455	$1,395	$0.96	22d	1	0.43mi
6747 Sabinal San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1455	$1,395	$0.96	3d	1	0.43mi
11806 Luckey Flower San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1188	$1,495	$1.26	24d	1	0.56mi
12118 Luckey Vw San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1404	$1,545	$1.10	44d	1	0.57mi
12119 Luckey Vw San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1652	$1,595	$0.97	2d	1	0.57mi
6550 Fledgely Way San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1562	$1,700	$1.09	44d	1	0.60mi
7007 Calle Aleman San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,050	$1.05	44d	1	0.61mi
7007 Calle Aleman San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	1000	$850	$0.85	24d	1	0.61mi
6528 Dodger Vly San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1822	$1,800	$0.99	44d	1	0.62mi
6519 Luckey Sq San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1404	$1,550	$1.10	4d	1	0.65mi
6528 Chevler Pass San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1455	$1,345	$0.92	44d	1	0.65mi
11543 Luckey Ledge San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1793	$1,615	$0.90	44d	1	0.72mi
6525 Underwood Way San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1525	$1,649	$1.08	24d	1	0.73mi
11803 Luckey Vis San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1778	$1,826	$1.03	4d	1	0.75mi
10829 Emerick St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1344	$1,700	$1.26	24d	1	1.00mi
10834 Quinn Ct San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1344	$1,800	$1.34	44d	1	1.03mi
10858 Quinn Ct San Antonio, TX	2.0–5.0	2.0–3.5	1733	$2,067	$1.19	2d	1	1.04mi
12136 W US Highway 90 San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0–2.0	867	$1,580	$1.82	2d	21	1.08mi
12136 U.S. 90 Unit 710 San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	967	$1,658	$1.71	3d	1	1.09mi
11347 Buck Cyn San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1572	$1,650	$1.05	44d	1	1.33mi
6175 Texas Cyn San Antonio, TX	1.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1056	$1,357	$1.28	24d	1	1.37mi
6023 Macdona Rdg San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1474	$1,695	$1.15	44d	1	1.39mi
12127 Straus Medina San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1451	$1,775	$1.22	2d	1	1.40mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $40 · $480/yr

Listing history 36 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $229,900 Active 30 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $229,900 Active 29 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $229,900 Active 28 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $229,900 Active 27 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $229,900 Active 25 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $229,900 Active 21 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $229,900 Active 20 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $229,900 Active 19 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $229,900 Active 16 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,900 Active 15 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,900 Active 14 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,900 Active 13 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,900 Active 12 DOM
14. 2026-05-19
    listed $229,900 New
15. 2025-11-06
    historical
16. 2025-10-24
    status Active
17. 2025-09-15
    status Pending
18. 2025-09-03
    status Active
19. 2025-08-29
    historical
20. 2025-08-04
    listed $199,000 Active
21. 2025-04-18
    historical
22. 2025-01-17
    listed $285,000 New
23. 2022-06-14
    soldstatus Sold
24. 2022-05-12
    price $299,900
25. 2022-05-12
    status Back on Market
26. 2022-04-27
    historical
27. 2022-03-29
    price $298,900
28. 2022-03-28
    status Back on Market
29. 2022-03-23
    price $293,900
30. 2022-03-23
    status Pending
31. 2022-03-23
    status Back on Market
32. 2022-03-17
    status Pending
33. 2022-02-26
    price $290,900
34. 2022-02-25
    status Back on Market
35. 2022-02-18
    status Pending
36. 2022-02-07
    listed $288,900 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,175 · $181/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,207 · $351/mo
• Expected delta: +$2,032/yr (+$169/mo · 93.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,190
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,878
• − Property taxes: −$2,175
• − Insurance: −$1,150
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,615
• − Management: −$1,615
• − HOA: −$480
• − Depreciation: −$6,688
• Taxable loss: −$6,410
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,539
• After-tax cash flow: $-783/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Medina Valley ISD
• NCES district ID: 4830060
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $60,596
• Composite: 44.2/100
• National rank: #2851
• State rank: #148 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #31
• US rank: #1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
• City population: 1,806,925
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• Population (ZIP): 21,790
• Household income: $85,518
• Rent vs Own: 14.0% rent · 86.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 152.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,336,851 people
• By 2030: 2,560,728 · +9.6%
• By 2040: 3,020,569 · +29.3%
• By 2050: 3,493,522 · +49.5%
• By 2075: 4,668,459 · +99.8%
• By 2100: 5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 29% White 17% Black 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 61% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 2% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 58% English-only · Spanish 38% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▬ -0.00%
• Current HPI: 183.6413
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.67%
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-20.4% since first listed

23 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Listed $229,900 LERA
• 2025-11-06 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-10-24 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2025-09-15 Pending — HARMLS
• 2025-09-03 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2025-08-29 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2025-08-04 Listed $199,000 HARMLS
• 2025-04-18 Listing Removed — LERA
• 2025-01-17 Listed $285,000 LERA
• 2022-06-14 Sold (MLS) — LERA
• 2022-05-12 Price Changed $299,900 LERA
• 2022-05-12 Relisted — LERA
• 2022-04-27 Listing Removed — LERA
• 2022-03-29 Price Changed $298,900 LERA
• 2022-03-28 Relisted — LERA
• 2022-03-23 Price Changed $293,900 LERA
• 2022-03-23 Pending — LERA
• 2022-03-23 Relisted — LERA
• 2022-03-17 Pending — LERA
• 2022-02-26 Price Changed $290,900 LERA
• 2022-02-25 Relisted — LERA
• 2022-02-18 Pending — LERA
• 2022-02-07 Listed $288,900 LERA

Property tax history

+36.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,175 · -56.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.