2421 S 370th Pl #63 · Lakeland South, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable Homeownership Opportunity with Huge Potential! Spacious and full of character, this home offers gleaming hardwood floors throughout much of the home, soaring cathedral ceilings, skylights, and a bright open layout that feels warm and inviting from the moment you walk in. The oversized kitchen features abundant cabinet space and flows into a large dining area — perfect for gatherings, entertaining, or everyday comfort. The expansive primary suite includes a walk-in closet and relaxing 5-piece bath, while the second bathroom has already been tastefully updated. Additional upgrades include a newer roof and newer 50-gallon hot water tank. Cozy electric fireplace stays! Enjoy
Key facts
- Cathedral ceilings
- Oversized kitchen
- Open layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Buyer to verify schools; Bus route nearby (402)
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in Killarney Woods park with about 75 homes; Land lease: $1,400
Exterior
- Parking: 2 open/unenclosed parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (PSE); Cable and internet connected (Comcast)
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Dartmouth model 28x60; One level; Northeast facing; Good condition; Mobile home remains in park; Manufactured home park approved for sale
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof; Wood skirting; Pillar/post/pier foundation with tie downs; Manufactured after 6/15/1976
- Exterior features: Wood products siding; Patio/porch/deck; Landscaped; 2 storage sheds located on back side of property; Located on a cul-de-sac; Paved access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 bathtubs; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (electric); Water heater
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Water heater located in laundry room (electric, 50 gallon)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $112k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 2.9% in Lakeland South — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#113 in WA, #2,299 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Federal Way School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #207 of 291 in WA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,838/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 2895% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $774 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $112k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.17%
- DSCR
- 3.50
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,920
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2500 S 370th St #227 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (0%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $101 | 88 |
| 2500 S 370th St #131 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (0%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $95 | 86 |
| 2500 S 370th St #138 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+7%) | 6mo | $104,000 | $58 | 79 |
| 2500 S 370th St #161 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-11%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $117 | 77 |
| 2500 S 370th St #225 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-11%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $107 | 77 |
| 2500 370th St #183 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+7%) | 4mo | $167,000 | $93 | 77 |
| 2500 S 370th St #190 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,809 (+8%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $64 | 74 |
| 2500 S 370th St #142 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (+10%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $43 | 73 |
| 2500 Alder St #312 | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (-3%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $64 | 54 |
| 2500 Alder St #63 | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (-7%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $99 | 50 |
| 2500 Alder St #52 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-9%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $94 | 47 |
| 2500 Alder St #33 | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $90 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $73,490
- Equity at exit
- $16,700
- IRR
- 58.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.64×
- Total profit
- $176,866
- Equity at exit
- $9,684
Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98003
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,838 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$587
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$140 /mo · $1,680/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$596
- Net cashflow
- $1,468
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,000
- Closing costs
- $3,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1926 S 368th Pl #206 Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1176 | $2,995 | $2.55 | 1d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2750 S 374th Pl Federal Way, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2210 | $3,250 | $1.47 | 1d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2020 S 360th St Federal Way, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $2,305 | $2.37 | 1d | 24 | 0.76mi |
| 35726 30th Ave S Federal Way, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1990 | $3,450 | $1.73 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1211 S 376th St Milton, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $3,350 | $3.52 | 1d | 63 | 0.87mi |
| 35703 16th Ave S Federal Way, WA | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1098 | $2,217 | $2.02 | 1d | 28 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $112,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $112,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $112,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $112,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $112,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $112,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$112,000 Active
-
2002-07-01soldstatus $62,000
-
2002-06-27soldstatus $62,000
-
2002-03-29$59,950
-
2002-03-29$69,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,056
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,274
- − Property taxes
- −$1,680
- − Insurance
- −$560
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,724
- − Management
- −$2,724
- − Depreciation
- −$3,258
- Taxable income
- $16,835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,040
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,576/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home offers a good starting point with a spacious layout and hardwood floors, but requires minor repairs and maintenance to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — existing cabinets in good condition
- Minor bathroom fixtures — existing fixtures in good condition
- Minor HVAC system — existing appliances in good condition
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both HVAC system — upgraded HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · existing cabinets in good condition | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · existing fixtures in good condition | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| HVAC system · existing appliances in good condition | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both HVAC system — upgraded HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Federal Way School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302820
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,594
- Composite
- 38.79/100
- National rank
- #8361
- State rank
- #207 of 291 in WA
Livability — Lakeland South
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #2299
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakeland South, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,619
- Household income
- $75,319
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2895.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Swedish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -623.87%
- Current HPI
- 327.5371
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+86.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $112,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-07-01 Sold (MLS) $62,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-06-27 Sold (MLS) $62,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-03-29 Listed $69,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-03-29 Listed $59,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…