9435 Hunter Rills Rd · Tyrone, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Home has it All! Fenton schools Fireplace, 1450 sq ft 2 bedroom 2 full baths. Just pack your bags full furnished Open floor plan featuring Livingroom with fireplace for a cozy evening. Modern kitchen with new high end stainless steel appliances ample cournter space and loads of cabinets for the inner chef in you. Kitchen open to dining room area with plenty of room for entertaining. Extra Large Master suite with full wall of closets and full updated bath, This community is Tucked in the woods yet cloose to expressways and highways for commuting. Home comes with 12 X 06 shed extra large corner lot ready to move into!mm.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Modern kitchen
- Full wall of closets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Linden Community Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #119 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.90%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $176,983
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -71.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8346 Whitehorn Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+10%) | 4mo | $39,900 | $25 | 69 |
| 8304 Hidden Holw | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+0%) | 21mo | $68,000 | $47 | 68 |
| 8285 Feather Holw | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+8%) | 19mo | $54,900 | $35 | 57 |
| 8448 Barkwood Cir | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,664 (+15%) | 24mo | $45,000 | $27 | 48 |
| 8464 Turner Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,401 (-3%) | 21mo | $305,000 | $218 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $18,987
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 39.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.61×
- Total profit
- $50,488
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48430
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,615 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$500
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $431
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $465 | -5% $448 | +0% $431 | +5% $413 | +10% $396 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $303 | -5% $367 | +0% $431 | +5% $494 | +10% $558 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $456 | -0.5pp $443 | base $431 | +0.5pp $418 | +1.0pp $404 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $500 · $6,000/yr
Listing history 10 events
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2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $50,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-03-03$50,000 Active 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
This Home has it All! Fenton schools Fireplace, 1450 sq ft 2 bedroom 2 full baths. Just pack your bags full furnished Open floor plan featuring Livingroom with fireplace for a cozy evening. Modern kitchen with new high end stainless steel appliances ample cournter space and loads of cabinets for the inner chef in you. Kitchen open to dining room area with plenty of room for entertaining. Extra Large Master suite with full wall of closets and full updated bath, This community is Tucked in the woods yet cloose to expressways and highways for commuting. Home comes with 12 X 06 shed extra large corner lot ready to move into!mm.
-
2026-03-03$50,000 Active 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
This Home has it All! Fenton schools Fireplace, 1450 sq ft 2 bedroom 2 full baths. Just pack your bags full furnished Open floor plan featuring Livingroom with fireplace for a cozy evening. Modern kitchen with new high end stainless steel appliances ample cournter space and loads of cabinets for the inner chef in you. Kitchen open to dining room area with plenty of room for entertaining. Extra Large Master suite with full wall of closets and full updated bath, This community is Tucked in the woods yet cloose to expressways and highways for commuting. Home comes with 12 X 06 shed extra large corner lot ready to move into!mm.
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2026-01-27historical
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2026-01-27historical
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2025-09-19$41,000 Active
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2025-09-19$41,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,383
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,551
- − Management
- −$1,551
- − HOA
- −$6,000
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $5,027
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,206
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,960/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Key areas for improvement include the kitchen, bathroom, exterior, and flooring.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Moderate Bathtub and fixtures — Signs of wear
- Moderate Deck and siding — Weathered appearance
- Moderate Hardwood flooring — Signs of wear
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale Replace worn hardwood flooring — New flooring enhances overall appearance
- Resale Replace worn bathtub and fixtures — Fresh fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics
- Resale Replace weathered deck and siding — Fresh exterior enhances curb appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathtub and fixtures · Signs of wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Deck and siding · Weathered appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Hardwood flooring · Signs of wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $12,000–60,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace worn hardwood flooring — New flooring enhances overall appearance ↑
- Resale Replace worn bathtub and fixtures — Fresh fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace weathered deck and siding — Fresh exterior enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Linden Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2621690
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,129
- Composite
- 41.24/100
- National rank
- #3532
- State rank
- #119 of 540 in MI
Livability — Tyrone
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Livingston County · 121,626 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,309
- Household income
- $100,193
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 642.0
Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,920 people
- By 2030
- 209,173 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 216,878 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 217,485 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 217,590 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 197,095 · -2.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Livingston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -298.66%
- Current HPI
- 238.8371
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.59%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+22.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-19 Listed $41,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-19 Listed $41,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…