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45 E Cumberland
B- Composite 68.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

45 E Cumberland · Allentown, PA 18103
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,308 sqft · Townhouse public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1890 1,925 sqft lot Est $247k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

South Allentown row home featuring 3 bedrooms (including one walk-through), 1 full bath, and 1 toilet room, a walk-up attic for additional storage, and a traditional floor plan. The property requires updates and renovation, providing an opportunity to improve and customize. Conveniently located near local amenities, including shopping, dining, parks, and schools. Property requires repairs and is being sold AS-IS. Good opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate. The City of Allentown Pre-sale inspection has been completed; the buyer is responsible for all required repairs and for city requirements to obtain a clear Certificate of Occupancy. The owner is a licensed PA Realtor.

Key facts

  • Shopping
  • Local amenities
  • Parks

Tags

WALK-UP ATTICTRADITIONAL FLOOR PLANLOCAL AMENITIESSHOPPINGDININGPARKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Curbs; Sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers; Gas water heater
  • Home design: 2 stories; Aluminum siding
  • Construction: Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Block foundation; Built with aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Porch; Flat lot; Paved public road frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 17.29 x 107 (irregular)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6; Has basement (lower level bedrooms possible)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
  • Interior features: Attic; Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Storage; Storm door(s); Screens on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (lower level); Dryer hookup (lower level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
  • Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $160k implies a 788% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.34%
Cash-on-cash
10.88%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$247,212
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1324 S 2nd St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,298 (-1%) 1mo $245,000 $189 82
939 S Filmore St 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,352 (+3%) 6mo $235,000 $174 80
701 S Front St 0.33mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,272 (-3%) 6mo $245,000 $193 68
141 Lynnwood St 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,288 (-2%) 5mo $270,000 $210 65
431 E Susquehanna St 0.38mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,255 (-4%) 7mo $205,000 $163 64
38 Pittston St 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,208 (-8%) 6mo $245,000 $203 64
313 W Susquehanna St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-10%) 5mo $220,000 $187 64
740 Genesee St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,430 (+9%) 8mo $233,000 $163 63
329 W Brookdale St 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,316 (+1%) 2mo $285,000 $217 62
1865 Chapel Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,370 (+5%) 5mo $192,000 $140 56
102 W Brookdale St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,220 (-7%) 3mo $242,000 $198 54
203 Brookdale St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,501 (+15%) 6mo $280,000 $187 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$8,060
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$76,493
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18103

Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,907 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,341/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$406

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,393
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1012 Constitution Dr Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,495 $1.07 23d 1 0.05mi
146 W Susquehanna St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,995 $1.66 14d 1 0.24mi
1509 S Albert St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 920 $1,750 $1.90 21d 1 0.31mi
717 S Filmore St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,745 $1.84 2d 1 0.35mi
1701 S Albert St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,450 $1.48 43d 1 0.52mi
605 E Susquehanna St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,500 $2.29 14d 1 0.55mi
520 W Cumberland St Allentown, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 929 $2,293 $2.47 2d 13 0.68mi
314 Barber St Lot 35 Allentown, PA 3.0 2.5 1525 $2,450 $1.61 18d 1 0.68mi
1848 S Wood St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,650 $1.83 18d 1 0.72mi
503 S Austin St Unit 520 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 14d 1 0.79mi
503 S Austin St Unit 524 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 23d 1 0.79mi
503 S Austin St Unit 514 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 14d 1 0.79mi
503 S Austin St Unit A Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 2d 1 0.79mi
503 S Austin St Unit 503 A Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 14d 1 0.81mi
503 S Austin St Unit 517 A Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 14d 1 0.81mi
702 Saint John St Apt 3 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 896 $1,400 $1.56 2d 1 0.82mi
644 Lehigh St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1714 $2,250 $1.31 43d 1 0.86mi
748 S Hall St Unit 1 Allentown, PA 3.0 1.5 1183 $2,000 $1.69 23d 1 0.92mi
230 E Fairview St Allentown, PA 3.0 2.0 1414 $2,300 $1.63 23d 1 0.94mi
830 W Susquehanna St #814 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,625 $1.35 2d 1 0.96mi
519 Vine St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 2d 1 1.04mi
333 River Dr Allentown, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 869 $2,025 $2.33 2d 13 1.04mi
303 E Union St Unit 1st Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 977 $1,550 $1.59 43d 1 1.09mi
2307 S 5th St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.5 1296 $2,300 $1.77 14d 1 1.09mi
2013 S 6th St Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1080 $2,300 $2.13 14d 1 1.10mi
2402 S 2nd St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,895 $1.90 2d 1 1.11mi
1316 S Fountain St Unit 1st floor Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 2d 1 1.13mi
1324 S Fountain St Unit 2 Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 43d 1 1.13mi
111 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1658 $1,650 $1.00 43d 1 1.17mi
101 W Mountain Rd Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 972 $1,795 $1.85 43d 1 1.17mi
101 W Mountain Rd Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 972 $1,795 $1.85 2d 1 1.17mi
1324 S 10th St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,995 $1.73 2d 1 1.20mi
1332 S 10th St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,995 $1.73 2d 1 1.21mi
1340 S 10th St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,895 $1.65 21d 1 1.21mi
208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1396 $1,600 $1.15 2d 1 1.26mi
208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1396 $1,700 $1.22 23d 1 1.26mi
1014 Hoe St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0 1016 $1,850 $1.82 43d 1 1.26mi
45 N 6th St Allentown, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $3,616 $3.61 2d 13 1.30mi
2074 Baker Dr Allentown, PA 3.0 1.0 1462 $2,195 $1.50 43d 1 1.30mi
201 N 3rd St Allentown, PA 2.0 2.0 1145 $2,128 $1.86 2d 4 1.30mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    listed $159,900 Active
  2. 1984-08-29
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,341 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,434 · $203/mo
Expected delta
+$93/yr (+$8/mo · 4.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,880
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,341
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,830
− Management
−$1,830
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$2,470
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$593
After-tax cash flow
$4,279/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allentown City SD
NCES district ID
4202280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,337
Composite
12.43/100
National rank
#9630
State rank
#513 of 539 in PA

Livability — Allentown

Score
81/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#1440

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Allentown, PA
County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
City population
172,996
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
48,746
Household income
$72,895
Rent vs Own
36.9% rent · 63.1% own
Severe rent burden
1792.0

Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,957 people
By 2030
408,319 · +3.9%
By 2040
440,007 · +12.0%
By 2050
475,940 · +21.1%
By 2075
590,448 · +50.3%
By 2100
690,314 · +75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 15% Black 9% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 13%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Polish 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -358.28%
Current HPI
298.1512
Rent YoY
▲ 7.05%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+788.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $159,900 GLVRMLS
  • 1984-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,341 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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