45 E Cumberland · Allentown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
South Allentown row home featuring 3 bedrooms (including one walk-through), 1 full bath, and 1 toilet room, a walk-up attic for additional storage, and a traditional floor plan. The property requires updates and renovation, providing an opportunity to improve and customize. Conveniently located near local amenities, including shopping, dining, parks, and schools. Property requires repairs and is being sold AS-IS. Good opportunity for investors or buyers looking to renovate. The City of Allentown Pre-sale inspection has been completed; the buyer is responsible for all required repairs and for city requirements to obtain a clear Certificate of Occupancy. The owner is a licensed PA Realtor.
Key facts
- Shopping
- Local amenities
- Parks
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Curbs; Sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers; Gas water heater
- Home design: 2 stories; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Block foundation; Built with aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Porch; Flat lot; Paved public road frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 17.29 x 107 (irregular)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6; Has basement (lower level bedrooms possible)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Attic; Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Storage; Storm door(s); Screens on windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (lower level); Dryer hookup (lower level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
- Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $160k implies a 788% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.88%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,212
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1324 S 2nd St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,298 (-1%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $189 | 82 |
| 939 S Filmore St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+3%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $174 | 80 |
| 701 S Front St | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,272 (-3%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $193 | 68 |
| 141 Lynnwood St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,288 (-2%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $210 | 65 |
| 431 E Susquehanna St | 0.38mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,255 (-4%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $163 | 64 |
| 38 Pittston St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,208 (-8%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $203 | 64 |
| 313 W Susquehanna St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-10%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $187 | 64 |
| 740 Genesee St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,430 (+9%) | 8mo | $233,000 | $163 | 63 |
| 329 W Brookdale St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,316 (+1%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $217 | 62 |
| 1865 Chapel Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,370 (+5%) | 5mo | $192,000 | $140 | 56 |
| 102 W Brookdale St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,220 (-7%) | 3mo | $242,000 | $198 | 54 |
| 203 Brookdale St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,501 (+15%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $187 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $8,060
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $76,493
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18103
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,907 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,341/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $406
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1012 Constitution Dr Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,495 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 146 W Susquehanna St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1509 S Albert St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,750 | $1.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 717 S Filmore St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,745 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1701 S Albert St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,450 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 605 E Susquehanna St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,500 | $2.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 520 W Cumberland St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $2,293 | $2.47 | 2d | 13 | 0.68mi |
| 314 Barber St Lot 35 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1525 | $2,450 | $1.61 | 18d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1848 S Wood St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 18d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 520 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 524 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 514 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 503 A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 517 A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 702 Saint John St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 644 Lehigh St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1714 | $2,250 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 748 S Hall St Unit 1 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1183 | $2,000 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 230 E Fairview St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $2,300 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 830 W Susquehanna St #814 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,625 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 519 Vine St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,400 | $2.18 | 2d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 333 River Dr Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $2,025 | $2.33 | 2d | 13 | 1.04mi |
| 303 E Union St Unit 1st Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,550 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2307 S 5th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2013 S 6th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $2,300 | $2.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2402 S 2nd St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1316 S Fountain St Unit 1st floor Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1324 S Fountain St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,550 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 111 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1658 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 101 W Mountain Rd Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,795 | $1.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 101 W Mountain Rd Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,795 | $1.85 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1324 S 10th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,995 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1332 S 10th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,995 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1340 S 10th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,895 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,700 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1014 Hoe St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $1,850 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 45 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $3,616 | $3.61 | 2d | 13 | 1.30mi |
| 2074 Baker Dr Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1462 | $2,195 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 201 N 3rd St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $2,128 | $1.86 | 2d | 4 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-23$159,900 Active
-
1984-08-29soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,341 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,434 · $203/mo
- Expected delta
- +$93/yr (+$8/mo · 4.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,880
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,341
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,830
- − Management
- −$1,830
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $2,470
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$593
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,279/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allentown City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,337
- Composite
- 12.43/100
- National rank
- #9630
- State rank
- #513 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allentown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #1440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allentown, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 172,996
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,746
- Household income
- $72,895
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1792.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 15% Black 9% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Polish 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -358.28%
- Current HPI
- 298.1512
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.05%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+788.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $159,900 GLVRMLS
- 1984-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,341 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…