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36 Bogey Run 🌊 Lakefront
C- Composite 50.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,999

36 Bogey Run · Sparta, IL 62286
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 684 sqft · SingleFamily · 58 Days on market
Built 1950 26 ac lot $110/sqft · waterfront premium

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for that perfect spot to get away for a weekend or enjoy it year round? This is it! Lake frontage for fishing and paddle boating, golf course within a short walk from cabin. Home comes with Golf cart, Paddle boat and most everything you see inside. All furniture appliances etc. Your large 1 bedroom overlooks the lake. The screened in patio can also store your golf cart, designed with double door access, new screens, roof and framing. Enjoy fishing, golf, tennis, swimming all available in walking distance. The kitchen and bath have had a total rehab, new windows, waterproof flooring, roof, and newer appliances, and more. New A/C in 2019. A country club membership is mandatory to own this home and the lot is leased. Come enjoy your soon to be summer at this charming lakefront cabin.

Key facts

  • Lakefront cabin
  • Newer windows
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

LAKEFRONT CABINFISHING AND WATER ACCESSFULLY FURNISHEDUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHROOMNEWER WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 25.84 acres
  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: Community clubhouse; Community fishing; Golf course access; Community lake; Community pool; Tennis courts

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected (single phase)
  • Home design: Residential cabin; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered, screened porch/patio; Lake privileges; On golf course

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (located on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood burning stove fireplace; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Stacked washer/dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($799 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.7% in Sparta — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,090 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sparta CUSD 140 (town): math 13% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #535 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Sparta Lincoln School (math 14% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,346 of 2,056 statewide, top 66%, 732 students, 0% FRL); Sparta High School (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 327 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randolph County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,749 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.45%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$41,761
List price
$74,999
Delta
79.59%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10 Fairway 0.21mi 1/1.0 680 (-1%) 22mo $15,000 $22 71
617 W 1st St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (+1) 750 (+10%) 12mo $30,000 $40 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-4,948
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$5,002
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62286

Home prices YoY
-31.0%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$799 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$168
Net cashflow
$113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $74,999
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $165 -5% $139 +0% $113 +5% $87 +10% $61
Rent -10% $50 -5% $81 +0% $113 +5% $144 +10% $176
Rate -1.0pp $151 -0.5pp $132 base $113 +0.5pp $93 +1.0pp $74

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,999 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,999 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,999 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,999 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,999 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,999 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,999 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $74,999 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,999 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,999 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,999 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,999 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $74,999 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,999 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,999 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,999 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,999 Active 36 DOM
  18. 2026-04-24
    listed $74,999 Active 680-char remark
  19. 2020-07-15
    soldstatus Closed 805-char remark
    Show marketing remark (805 chars)

    Looking for that perfect spot to get away for a weekend or enjoy it year round? This is it! Lake frontage for fishing and paddle boating, golf course within a short walk from cabin. Home comes with Golf cart, Paddle boat and most everything you see inside. All furniture appliances etc. Your large 1 bedroom overlooks the lake. The screened in patio can also store your golf cart, designed with double door access, new screens, roof and framing. Enjoy fishing, golf, tennis, swimming all available in walking distance. The kitchen and bath have had a total rehab, new windows, waterproof flooring, roof, and newer appliances, and more. New A/C in 2019. A country club membership is mandatory to own this home and the lot is leased. Come enjoy your soon to be summer at this charming lakefront cabin.

  20. 2020-06-24
    status Pending 805-char remark
    Show marketing remark (805 chars)

    Looking for that perfect spot to get away for a weekend or enjoy it year round? This is it! Lake frontage for fishing and paddle boating, golf course within a short walk from cabin. Home comes with Golf cart, Paddle boat and most everything you see inside. All furniture appliances etc. Your large 1 bedroom overlooks the lake. The screened in patio can also store your golf cart, designed with double door access, new screens, roof and framing. Enjoy fishing, golf, tennis, swimming all available in walking distance. The kitchen and bath have had a total rehab, new windows, waterproof flooring, roof, and newer appliances, and more. New A/C in 2019. A country club membership is mandatory to own this home and the lot is leased. Come enjoy your soon to be summer at this charming lakefront cabin.

  21. 2020-05-28
    price $57,500 805-char remark
    Show marketing remark (805 chars)

    Looking for that perfect spot to get away for a weekend or enjoy it year round? This is it! Lake frontage for fishing and paddle boating, golf course within a short walk from cabin. Home comes with Golf cart, Paddle boat and most everything you see inside. All furniture appliances etc. Your large 1 bedroom overlooks the lake. The screened in patio can also store your golf cart, designed with double door access, new screens, roof and framing. Enjoy fishing, golf, tennis, swimming all available in walking distance. The kitchen and bath have had a total rehab, new windows, waterproof flooring, roof, and newer appliances, and more. New A/C in 2019. A country club membership is mandatory to own this home and the lot is leased. Come enjoy your soon to be summer at this charming lakefront cabin.

  22. 2020-03-07
    listed $61,000 Active 805-char remark
    Show marketing remark (805 chars)

    Looking for that perfect spot to get away for a weekend or enjoy it year round? This is it! Lake frontage for fishing and paddle boating, golf course within a short walk from cabin. Home comes with Golf cart, Paddle boat and most everything you see inside. All furniture appliances etc. Your large 1 bedroom overlooks the lake. The screened in patio can also store your golf cart, designed with double door access, new screens, roof and framing. Enjoy fishing, golf, tennis, swimming all available in walking distance. The kitchen and bath have had a total rehab, new windows, waterproof flooring, roof, and newer appliances, and more. New A/C in 2019. A country club membership is mandatory to own this home and the lot is leased. Come enjoy your soon to be summer at this charming lakefront cabin.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,588
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$767
− Management
−$767
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$171
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$41
After-tax cash flow
$1,314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sparta CUSD 140
NCES district ID
1736900
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$43,992
Composite
11.95/100
National rank
#9668
State rank
#535 of 620 in IL

Livability — Sparta

Score
58/100
State rank
#1090
US rank
#20732

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sparta, IL
City population
5,482
Population (ZIP)
5,482

Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,417 people
By 2030
30,519 · -2.9%
By 2040
28,841 · -8.2%
By 2050
27,150 · -13.6%
By 2075
22,569 · -28.2%
By 2100
16,584 · -47.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 9% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randolph

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.0) · D 24.1% · R 74.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-49.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.9pp · 2024: -50.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.0 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+46.8 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.47%
Current HPI
116.6798
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $74,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-15 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-24 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-28 Price Changed $57,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-07 Listed $61,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…