801 Hubbard Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.2/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Updated 2-Bedroom Home in a Convenient Location Move-in ready and beautifully updated! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home features a fresh modern feel with a new kitchen, updated bathroom, new flooring, and fresh paint throughout. Enjoy extra storage and with a full basement, plus a detached garage for added convenience. Perfectly located close to shopping, hospitals, restaurants, and expressway access, making commuting and daily errands quick and easy. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment opportunity, this home offers comfort, convenience, and value all in one package.
Key facts
- New kitchen
- Full basement
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.13 acres (63.54 x 88.43)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $55k implies a 510% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.40%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $61,236
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 874 Tacken St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,126 (-1%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $27 | 78 |
| 3709 Brentwood Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+4%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $111 | 71 |
| 2710 Mansfield Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+6%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $96 | 65 |
| 3018 Fielding St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 993 (-12%) | 1mo | $21,000 | $21 | 59 |
| 1010 Hughes Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 996 (-12%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $50 | 58 |
| 1114 Clancy Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,009 (-11%) | 3mo | $36,000 | $36 | 55 |
| 2621 Swayze St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,043 (-8%) | 3mo | $76,950 | $74 | 54 |
| 1202 Knapp Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,255 (+11%) | 3mo | $49,900 | $40 | 53 |
| 3119 Sherwood Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 995 (-12%) | 7mo | $77,000 | $77 | 52 |
| 1205 Stocker Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,024 (-10%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $54 | 51 |
| 1409 Stocker Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 1,290 (+14%) | 1mo | $50,250 | $39 | 49 |
| 3631 Ridgecliffe Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,260 (+11%) | 6mo | $173,000 | $137 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $21,500
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.95×
- Total profit
- $76,093
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48503
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 12.3%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,049 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,539/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $389
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 Barney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,250 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3701 Whitney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2610 Swayze St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1194 | $950 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3901 Herrick St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $995 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2428 Norbert St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3929 Larchmont St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2544 Tyrone St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $825 | $0.57 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2198 Utley Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 33 events
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2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $54,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $54,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $54,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $54,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-03price $54,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $59,500 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $59,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,500 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $59,500 Active 15 DOM
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2026-05-15$59,500 Active
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Charming Updated 2-Bedroom Home in a Convenient Location Move-in ready and beautifully updated! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home features a fresh modern feel with a new kitchen, updated bathroom, new flooring, and fresh paint throughout. Enjoy extra storage and with a full basement, plus a detached garage for added convenience. Perfectly located close to shopping, hospitals, restaurants, and expressway access, making commuting and daily errands quick and easy. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment opportunity, this home offers comfort, convenience, and value all in one package.
-
2026-05-15$59,500 Active 631-char remark
Show marketing remark (631 chars)
Charming Updated 2-Bedroom Home in a Convenient Location Move-in ready and beautifully updated! This inviting 2-bedroom, 1-bath home features a fresh modern feel with a new kitchen, updated bathroom, new flooring, and fresh paint throughout. Enjoy extra storage and with a full basement, plus a detached garage for added convenience. Perfectly located close to shopping, hospitals, restaurants, and expressway access, making commuting and daily errands quick and easy. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a great investment opportunity, this home offers comfort, convenience, and value all in one package.
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2011-03-08soldstatus $9,000 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Great investment opportunity or starter home. Features a detached garage, fenced yard, full basement and breakfast area. Hardwood floors in living room and has newer vinyl siding.
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2010-12-14$11,000 179-char remark
Show marketing remark (179 chars)
Great investment opportunity or starter home. Features a detached garage, fenced yard, full basement and breakfast area. Hardwood floors in living room and has newer vinyl siding.
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2010-12-06historical
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2010-12-06historical
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2010-12-06historical
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2005-07-15$59,900
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2005-07-15historical
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2005-07-15$59,900
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2004-11-04$59,900
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2004-11-04historical
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2004-11-04$59,900
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2004-07-22$64,900
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2004-07-22historical
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2004-07-22$64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,539 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,539 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$1,539
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,007
- − Management
- −$1,007
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $4,085
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$980
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,693/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,347
- Household income
- $44,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1293.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.84%
- Current HPI
- 130.1152
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.35%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-8.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $59,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $59,500 REALCOMP
- 2011-03-08 Sold (MLS) $9,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-12-14 Listed $11,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-07-15 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-07-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-07-15 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-11-04 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-11-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-11-04 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-07-22 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-07-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-07-22 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,539 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…