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10747 Waterfield Rd 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 41.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$226,777

10747 Waterfield Rd · Jacksonville, FL 32210
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,429 sqft · Townhouse · 13 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 3,827 sqft lot $138/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The charming porch entry of the two-story Crescent plan leads into an airy kitchen with a center island and walk-in pantry, perfect for home chefs and entertaining guests. A dining area is just steps away, seamlessly connecting to a welcoming great room that completes the open-concept layout. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, including an impressive owner's suite featuring a large walk-in closet and a private bath with dual vanities. A conveniently located laundry area adds everyday ease. With thoughtful design and modern finishes, the Crescent offers both comfort and style. Conveniently situated near I-10 and I-295, the Villas at Bishop Oaks offers an easy commute to regional hotspots, including downtown Jacksonville, Jacksonville Naval Air Station, and Oakleaf Town Center, plus an abundance of prime shopping and dining options.

Key facts

  • Airy kitchen
  • Dining area
  • Porch entry

Tags

PORCH ENTRYAIRY KITCHENCENTER ISLANDWALK-IN PANTRYDINING AREAGREAT ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Townhouse; Lot size about 0.09 acres (approx. 356 m²); Road surface: Asphalt; Living area ~1429 square feet (builder provided)
  • Financial info: Total annual fees $1,660; Total monthly fees $138.33
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (Association name: X); Monthly HOA $138.33 (Quarterly fee $415); Association fee required; Community mailbox; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener (1 car)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Residential townhouse; Two levels; Under construction (projected completion 2026-06-22); Faces north; PUD zoning
  • Construction: New construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by WJHFL LLC (Model: CRESCENT)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Range hood; Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Open floorplan; Living room/dining room combo; Solid surface counters; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $226,777 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $234,356.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $227k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (3.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Westview K-8 (math 38% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,758 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 1,222 students, 63% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Edward H. White High School (math 31% / reading 25%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,538 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 49% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $183,003 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.56%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$234,356
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10702 Waterfield Rd 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,432 (+0%) 2mo $235,000 $164 96
10698 Waterfield Rd 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,432 (+0%) 2mo $224,990 $157 96
10700 Waterfield Rd 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,432 (+0%) 2mo $222,000 $155 96
10692 Waterfield Rd 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,429 (0%) 2mo $215,000 $150 95
5433 Arrow Ln 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,395 (-2%) 0mo $224,490 $161 89
5429 Arrow Ln 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,395 (-2%) 2mo $235,990 $169 88
5447 Arrow Ln 0.18mi 3/2.5 1,395 (-2%) 2mo $235,990 $169 86
5548 Arrow Ln 0.20mi 3/2.5 1,395 (-2%) 2mo $236,490 $170 85
5534 Arrow Ln 0.20mi 3/2.5 1,395 (-2%) 2mo $235,490 $169 85
5510 Arrow Ln 0.20mi 3/2.5 1,395 (-2%) 3mo $235,490 $169 85
5435 Arrow Ln 0.15mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,395 (-2%) 2mo $223,990 $161 83
5445 Arrow Ln 0.16mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,395 (-2%) 2mo $223,490 $160 82

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.8%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-45,069
Equity at exit
$34,943
10-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-52,908
Equity at exit
$20,263

Cash invested: $65,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32210

Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
441
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,830 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,229
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $798/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$138
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$-85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,938
Max offer price $219,262
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $47 -5% $-19 +0% $-85 +5% $-152 +10% $-218
Rent -10% $-230 -5% $-158 +0% $-85 +5% $-13 +10% $59
Rate -1.0pp $33 -0.5pp $-26 base $-85 +0.5pp $-146 +1.0pp $-208

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,589
Closing costs
$7,031
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10628 Waterfield Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1429 $1,900 $1.33 25d 1 0.15mi
4910 Samaritan Way Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $1,758 $1.82 4d 16 0.28mi
10281 Magnolia Hills Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1564 $1,900 $1.21 25d 1 0.50mi
9956 Somerset Grove Ln Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1168 $1,675 $1.43 25d 1 1.03mi
5437 Tellaro Ln Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1395 $1,795 $1.29 22d 1 1.05mi
5216 Brighton Park Ln Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1472 $1,795 $1.22 12d 1 1.09mi
5138 Sawmill Point Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1780 $1,820 $1.02 25d 1 1.17mi
5229 Walkers Ridge Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1497 $1,795 $1.20 25d 1 1.23mi
9732 Chirping Way Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,800 $1.28 6d 1 1.33mi
6560 Sandlers Preserve Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1824 $2,095 $1.15 9d 1 1.47mi
9541 103rd St Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1040 $1,668 $1.60 3d 21 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$138 · $1,656/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $226,777 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $226,777 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $226,777 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $226,777 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $226,777 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $226,777 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $226,777 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    The charming porch entry of the two-story Crescent plan leads into an airy kitchen with a center island and walk-in pantry, perfect for home chefs and entertaining guests. A dining area is just steps away, seamlessly connecting to a welcoming great room that completes the open-concept layout. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, including an impressive owner's suite featuring a large walk-in closet and a private bath with dual vanities. A conveniently located laundry area adds everyday ease. With thoughtful design and modern finishes, the Crescent offers both comfort and style. Conveniently situated near I-10 and I-295, the Villas at Bishop Oaks offers an easy commute to regional hotspots, including downtown Jacksonville, Jacksonville Naval Air Station, and Oakleaf Town Center, plus an abundance of prime shopping and dining options.

  9. 2026-06-08
    listed $226,990 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (862 chars)

    The charming porch entry of the two-story Crescent plan leads into an airy kitchen with a center island and walk-in pantry, perfect for home chefs and entertaining guests. A dining area is just steps away, seamlessly connecting to a welcoming great room that completes the open-concept layout. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, including an impressive owner's suite featuring a large walk-in closet and a private bath with dual vanities. A conveniently located laundry area adds everyday ease. With thoughtful design and modern finishes, the Crescent offers both comfort and style. Conveniently situated near I-10 and I-295, the Villas at Bishop Oaks offers an easy commute to regional hotspots, including downtown Jacksonville, Jacksonville Naval Air Station, and Oakleaf Town Center, plus an abundance of prime shopping and dining options.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$798 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,882 · $157/mo
Expected delta
+$1,084/yr (+$90/mo · 135.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,960
− Mortgage interest
−$13,128
− Property taxes
−$798
− Insurance
−$1,172
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,757
− Management
−$1,757
− HOA
−$1,656
− Depreciation
−$6,818
Taxable loss
−$5,125
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,230
After-tax cash flow
$205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This two-story townhouse is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a modern and well-maintained interior, a spacious kitchen, and a well-maintained exterior with landscaping. Potential buyers and tenants will appreciate the home's curb appeal and smart home features.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, high-end appliances can enhance the kitchen's functionality and appeal to potential buyers/tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, high-end appliances can enhance the kitchen's functionality and appeal to potential buyers/tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
65,729
Household income
$61,050
Rent vs Own
42.6% rent · 57.4% own
Severe rent burden
3605.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -314.81%
Current HPI
281.2688
Rent YoY
▲ 2.11%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $226,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $226,990 realMLS
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $226,990 Zillow

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $798 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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