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586 Wyoming Ave Duplex
B+ Composite 76.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$161,000

586 Wyoming Ave · Buffalo, NY 14215
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,379 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1940 4,550 sqft lot Est $190k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Well-maintained 2-family home offering a great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors! Each apartment features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath, with spacious living and dining rooms providing comfortable living space. The property includes a full basement and walk-up attic, offering plenty of storage options. Exterior features include vinyl siding, a long driveway for off-street parking, and a large mostly fenced yard. Recent improvements include a hot water tank replaced in 2024, glass block windows in the basement, and rebuilt front stairs, along with additional updates completed over time. Tenant occupied (tenant willing to stay), making this a convenient income-producing property with

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Glass block windows
  • Vinyl siding

Tags

FULL BASEMENTWALK-UP ATTICVINYL SIDINGLONG DRIVEWAYMOSTLY FENCED YARDGLASS BLOCK WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $161k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $974 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $487/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $161k).
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,641/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2873% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $161k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $161,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.55%
Cash-on-cash
25.92%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$190,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
586 Wyoming Ave 0.00mi 4/2.0 2,379 (0%) 1mo $148,000 $62 99
40 Ruspin Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 2,351 (-1%) 2mo $307,000 $131 67
96 Sussex St 0.23mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,152 (-10%) 4mo $255,000 $118 65
495 Norfolk Ave 0.31mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,254 (-5%) 11mo $295,000 $131 63
475 Norfolk Ave 0.33mi 4/2.0 2,068 (-13%) 8mo $105,000 $51 56
213 Jewett Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 2,154 (-10%) 3mo $116,000 $54 53
44 Freeman St 0.60mi 4/2.0 2,182 (-8%) 9mo $144,000 $66 51
35 Erskine Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 2,135 (-10%) 4mo $170,000 $80 49
329 Jewett Ave 0.42mi 4/4.0 2,053 (-14%) 8mo $165,000 $80 43
47 Weston Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 2,052 (-14%) 8mo $230,000 $112 39
18 Phyllis Ave 0.70mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,134 (-10%) 8mo $138,000 $65 39
210 Carl St 0.73mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,112 (-11%) 7mo $220,000 $104 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$29,919
Equity at exit
$24,006
10-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$82,378
Equity at exit
$13,920

Cash invested: $45,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14215

Home prices YoY
-30.0%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
237
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,641 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$844
Tax est. 1.5%
$201 /mo · $2,415/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$555
Net cashflow
$974

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,408
Max offer price $161,000
Occupancy floor 58%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,641

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,250
Closing costs
$4,830
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1914 $1,350 $0.71 14d 1 0.36mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,997 $2.93 1d 10 1.01mi
175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2000 $2,500 $1.25 14d 1 1.15mi
59 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2521 $1,250 $0.50 23d 1 1.18mi
85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2193 $3,750 $1.71 14d 1 1.23mi
563 Humboldt Pkwy Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2004 $1,200 $0.60 23d 1 1.24mi
202 Summit Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2000 $2,400 $1.20 23d 1 1.27mi
24 Custer St Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 14d 1 1.32mi
73 Inter Park Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 2080 $1,300 $0.62 14d 1 1.34mi
91 W Humboldt Pkwy Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 3017 $3,400 $1.13 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-03-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-18
    listed $161,000 Active
  3. 2020-12-17
    soldstatus $70,000
  4. 2012-03-12
    soldstatus $23,000
  5. 2004-09-15
    soldstatus $37,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,692
− Mortgage interest
−$9,019
− Property taxes
−$2,415
− Insurance
−$805
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,535
− Management
−$2,535
− Depreciation
−$4,684
Taxable income
$9,699
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,328
After-tax cash flow
$9,357/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
42,524
Household income
$44,955
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
2873.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.29%
Current HPI
295.2966
Rent YoY
▲ 0.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+329.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $161,000 WNYREIS
  • 2020-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2012-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
  • 2004-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $252 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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