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4212 Christie Ln
C- Composite 53.32
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

4212 Christie Ln · Christiansburg, VA 24073
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1998 0.70 ac lot Est $156k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Charming 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home sits just inside town limits with beautiful mountain views only minutes from local Shopping and Restaurants. Open floor plan, New Gas Fire Place, Laminate Floors, Freshly Painted. Architectural Shingle Roof, Quality Landscaping with plenty of yard space. Transferable Home Warranty. Great Starter Home, Move-in Ready. Come see for yourself!

Key facts

  • 0.7 acre lot
  • Built 1998
  • Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Mobile home (detached); One story
  • Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Garden; Deck; Porch; Storm door(s); Fenced yard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Skylights; Window coverings; Gas log fireplace; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.8% in Christiansburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#53 in VA, #1,452 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F.
  • Montgomery County Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #47 of 131 in VA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Falling Branch Elementary (math 56% / reading 68%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 576 students, 52% FRL); Christiansburg Middle (math 38% / reading 63%, grade C, #226 of 342 statewide, top 67%, 752 students, 44% FRL); Christiansburg High (math 79% / reading 77%, grade A-, #80 of 319 statewide, top 25%, 1,116 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 323 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $152k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.79%
Cash-on-cash
8.92%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$155,736
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
155 Mount Pleasant Rd 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,552 (+3%) 17mo $160,000 $103 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-8,984
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$8,355
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24073

Home prices YoY
-26.2%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,887 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,173/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$396
Net cashflow
$374

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,413
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $179,900 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 661-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $179,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,173 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,475 · $123/mo
Expected delta
+$302/yr (+$25/mo · 25.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,641
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$1,173
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,811
− Management
−$1,811
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$1,636
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$393
After-tax cash flow
$4,101/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102520
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$46,618
Composite
53.6/100
National rank
#1440
State rank
#47 of 131 in VA

Livability — Christiansburg

Score
81/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#1452

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Christiansburg, VA
County
Montgomery County · 78,218 people
City population
29,677
Metro
Blacksburg-Christiansburg, VA
Population (ZIP)
29,677
Household income
$76,800
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
861.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,748 people
By 2030
110,301 · +4.3%
By 2040
115,652 · +9.4%
By 2050
119,651 · +13.1%
By 2075
126,005 · +19.2%
By 2100
129,771 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 47.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.9pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+1.3 2012: R+0.2 2008: D+4.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.98%
Current HPI
267.2504
Rent YoY
▲ 1.05%
Metro
Blacksburg-Christiansburg, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $179,900 NRVMLS
  • 2020-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records
  • 2020-10-09 Sold (MLS) $152,000 NRVMLS
  • 2020-06-13 Listed $149,900 NRVMLS
  • 2007-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,173 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…