7301 Cr 321 · Blanket, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled on a peaceful tract just outside Brownwood, this property offers the charm of country living with mature trees, seasonal wildflowers, a small creek, and plenty of room to create your ideal outdoor lifestyle. Features include a cellar, partial fencing, and ample space for a garden, barn, chicken coop, or other hobby farm pursuits. The existing home needs significant TLC and could be renovated or replaced with a new build. Whether you're seeking a slower pace, room to roam, or the opportunity to create a semi-homestead, this property offers endless potential in a beautiful rural setting. * * Room Dimensions are estimates and should be verified by buyer.
Key facts
- 4.73 acre lot
- Parking
- Listed 11 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,023 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
- Blanket ISD (rural): math 20% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #1,046 of 1,141 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 142 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.29%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $34,073
- Equity at exit
- $60,081
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $98,067
- Equity at exit
- $87,228
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76432
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,675 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,366/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $360
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $445 | -5% $403 | +0% $360 | +5% $318 | +10% $275 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $228 | -5% $294 | +0% $360 | +5% $426 | +10% $493 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $436 | -0.5pp $398 | base $360 | +0.5pp $321 | +1.0pp $282 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $150,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 668-char remark
-
2026-06-08$150,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,366 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,745 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,379/yr (+$115/mo · 100.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,366
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,608
- − Management
- −$1,608
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $2,002
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$480
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,843/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blanket ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4810380
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,678
- Composite
- 26.43/100
- National rank
- #12649
- State rank
- #1046 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Blanket
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #1023
- US rank
- #18174
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,376
Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,381 people
- By 2030
- 38,288 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 38,120 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 38,227 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 39,362 · +2.6%
- By 2100
- 39,171 · +2.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 24% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Brown
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.9) · D 12.7% · R 86.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -61.5pp · 2024: -73.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.9 2020: R+72.6 2016: R+74.5 2012: R+71.7 2008: R+61.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Current HPI
- 107.4171
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Coming Soon $150,000 HARMLS
- 2003-09-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,366 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…