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200 Myndi St 🌊 Lakefront
C Composite 58.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

200 Myndi St · Sulphur Springs, TX 75482
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,016 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1978 0.37 ac lot $79/sqft · 41% below area Est $269k · 41% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special located at 200 Myndi Circle in Sulphur Springs! This property offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. Featuring a den that provides additional living space or flexibility for a home office, game room, or second living area. Conveniently located near Helm Lake #2, offering a peaceful setting while still being close to town amenities. Property is being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.

Key facts

  • 0.37 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1978

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.3% in Sulphur Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#350 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Sulphur Springs ISD (town): math 46% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 66 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hopkins County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.89%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$269,232
List price
$160,000
Delta
-40.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
121 Lewis St 0.12mi 3/2.0 2,086 (+4%) 4mo $275,000 $132 85
1429 College St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,980 (-2%) 15mo $269,000 $136 77
107 Charles St 0.22mi 3/2.0 2,000 (-1%) 16mo $239,900 $120 75
221 Marianne Cir 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,911 (-5%) 12mo $319,900 $167 73
1429 Live Oak St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,803 (-11%) 9mo $285,000 $158 68
124 Lou St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,841 (-9%) 4mo $225,000 $122 66
1905 College St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,887 (-6%) 13mo $242,000 $128 56
200 Jill Ln 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,826 (-9%) 10mo $269,000 $147 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-14,237
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
0.9%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,850
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75482

Active inventory
378
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,722 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$272 /mo · $3,263/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$182

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,491
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $273 -5% $228 +0% $182 +5% $137 +10% $92
Rent -10% $46 -5% $114 +0% $182 +5% $250 +10% $318
Rate -1.0pp $263 -0.5pp $223 base $182 +0.5pp $141 +1.0pp $99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
213 Helm Ln Sulphur Springs, TX 3.0 2.5 2084 $2,000 $0.96 44d 1 0.11mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $160,000 Active 93 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    days on market $160,000 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $160,000 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $160,000 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $160,000 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Investor special located at 200 Myndi Circle in Sulphur Springs! This property offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. Featuring a den that provides additional living space or flexibility for a home office, game room, or second living area. Conveniently located near Helm Lake #2, offering a peaceful setting while still being close to town amenities. Property is being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.

  16. 2026-04-16
    price $165,000 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Investor special located at 200 Myndi Circle in Sulphur Springs! This property offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. Featuring a den that provides additional living space or flexibility for a home office, game room, or second living area. Conveniently located near Helm Lake #2, offering a peaceful setting while still being close to town amenities. Property is being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.

  17. 2026-03-11
    listed $170,000 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Investor special located at 200 Myndi Circle in Sulphur Springs! This property offers great potential for investors or buyers looking for their next project. Featuring a den that provides additional living space or flexibility for a home office, game room, or second living area. Conveniently located near Helm Lake #2, offering a peaceful setting while still being close to town amenities. Property is being sold AS-IS. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.

  18. 2006-02-03
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,263 · $272/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,263 · $272/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,659
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$3,263
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,653
− Management
−$1,653
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$326
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$78
After-tax cash flow
$2,268/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sulphur Springs ISD
NCES district ID
4841820
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,871
Composite
36.33/100
National rank
#4692
State rank
#323 of 826 in TX

Livability — Sulphur Springs

Score
70/100
State rank
#350
US rank
#7665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sulphur Springs, TX
County
Hopkins County · 26,483 people
City population
26,483
Metro
Sulphur Springs, TX
Population (ZIP)
26,483
Household income
$69,970
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
543.0

Population outlook (Hopkins County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,107 people
By 2030
38,867 · +2.0%
By 2040
40,009 · +5.0%
By 2050
40,448 · +6.1%
By 2075
40,669 · +6.7%
By 2100
37,234 · -2.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hopkins

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.4% · R 82.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -44.7pp · 2024: -64.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.6 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+44.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.79%
Current HPI
156.0526
Rent YoY
Metro
Sulphur Springs, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $160,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $170,000 NTREIS
  • 2006-02-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,263 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…