Multi-family
70 Houston St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Here's a great opportunity to own a well kept 2/2 double in South Buffalo! Located on a quiet street, this home has 2 units, both occupied by long term tenants. Each unit has a spacious eat-in kitchen with traditional built in shelves and cupboard, formal dining room, two bedrooms, hardwood floors, and a bonus space on each level. The upper unit has a great balcony looking out to the street, and the lower has a covered porch. Seller is also selling 65 Hayden B1602564 and is willing to offer a bundle price of $285,000 for both properties. Showings begin 4/30 and negotiations begin 5/6 at 3pm. Open Houses are Thursday 5/1 from 4-6, and Saturday 5/3 from 11-1.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- New flooring
- Full basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit multifamily with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Owner pays trash collection and water; rent includes trash collection and water; Operating expenses include insurance, maintenance, professional management, and water/sewer; Both units are leased (Unit 1 rent $1,235, lease expires January 31, 2027; Unit 2 rent $1,000, lease expires November 30, 2026)
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking available
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: 2-story residential 2-unit building; Existing construction
- Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Block and stone foundation; Built as existing (year built details: existing)
- Exterior features: Open porch; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Unit 1 includes oven/range, refrigerator, microwave, eat-in kitchen, formal dining room; Unit 2 includes eat-in kitchen, formal dining room
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units
- Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (total 2 full bathrooms)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Thermal windows; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $790 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.59%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $223,236
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 Houston St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,106 (0%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $71 | 91 |
| 39 Trowbridge St | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 2,157 (+2%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $83 | 80 |
| 889 Tifft St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 2,112 (+0%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $99 | 75 |
| 50 Macamley St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 2,328 (+10%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $62 | 75 |
| 81 Melrose St | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 2,116 (+0%) | 5mo | $264,000 | $125 | 65 |
| 44 Trowbridge St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,908 (-9%) | 15mo | $225,000 | $118 | 65 |
| 89 Melrose St | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 2,038 (-3%) | 7mo | $318,000 | $156 | 58 |
| 116 Melrose St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 2,001 (-5%) | 8mo | $223,000 | $111 | 53 |
| 165 Lockwood Ave | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 1,865 (-11%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $105 | 44 |
| 169 Altruria St | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,958 (-7%) | 8mo | $241,000 | $123 | 44 |
| 137 Lockwood Ave | 0.63mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,936 (-8%) | 13mo | $204,000 | $105 | 41 |
| 183 Lockwood Ave | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 1,858 (-12%) | 12mo | $197,500 | $106 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $32,252
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.83×
- Total profit
- $146,660
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,456 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $568/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $790
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $895 | -5% $842 | +0% $790 | +5% $738 | +10% $685 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $596 | -5% $693 | +0% $790 | +5% $887 | +10% $984 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $883 | -0.5pp $837 | base $790 | +0.5pp $742 | +1.0pp $693 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,456 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,228 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,228 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,456 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 901 S Park Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1729 | $1,600 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $185,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 383-char remark
-
2026-06-07$185,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $568 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,847 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,279/yr (+$107/mo · 225.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,472
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$568
- − Insurance
- −$1,592
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,358
- − Management
- −$2,358
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $6,852
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,645
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,428
- Household income
- $70,963
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.29%
- Current HPI
- 402.5053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.62%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+760.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $185,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2025-08-01 Sold (MLS) $150,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-05-08 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2025-04-28 Listed $139,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-12-11 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2024-10-17 Price Changed $174,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-07-22 Listed $184,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2016-01-19 Sold (MLS) $52,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-11-14 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2015-10-05 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2015-09-28 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2015-06-25 Listed $59,900 WNYREIS
- 2011-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2010-06-17 Sold (MLS) $20,000 WNYREIS
- 2010-05-05 Listed $21,500 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $568 · +77.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…