117 Plain St · Rutland, VT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is part of a First Look program. It allows owner occupant buyers to have their offers negotiated on day 8 of being listed. "ALL offers must have POF for CASH offers and Lender PQ's for Financed offers. Cash offers require 10% EMD. Rehab Offers must have one rehab bid in hand pre-offer, no exceptions. "New RRE Rules for FINCEN. transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all-cash, privately financed or HELOC.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 79 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 4.3% in Rutland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#6 in VT, #1,410 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 90 units permitted in Rutland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rutland County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $125k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.64%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,765
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -41.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 River St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,118 (+4%) | 9mo | $195,000 | $174 | 65 |
| 28 Griswold Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-6%) | 22mo | $272,000 | $270 | 64 |
| 39 Forest St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,015 (-6%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $177 | 59 |
| 41 Griswold Dr | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,170 (+9%) | 18mo | $264,000 | $226 | 52 |
| 205 Dorr Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,091 (+2%) | 20mo | $87,000 | $80 | 50 |
| 131 Spruce St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,181 (+10%) | 21mo | $100,000 | $85 | 48 |
| 15 Chaplin Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 977 (-9%) | 7mo | $228,000 | $233 | 46 |
| 58 Cherry St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,006 (-6%) | 21mo | $170,000 | $169 | 45 |
| 167 Dorr Dr | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (-2%) | 23mo | $230,000 | $219 | 41 |
| 243 Coolidge Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 916 (-15%) | 7mo | $207,000 | $226 | 38 |
| 17 Marble Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 965 (-10%) | 17mo | $188,000 | $195 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $25,506
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $81,130
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05701
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,952 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,404/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $718
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $789 | -5% $754 | +0% $718 | +5% $683 | +10% $647 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $564 | -5% $641 | +0% $718 | +5% $795 | +10% $872 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $781 | -0.5pp $750 | base $718 | +0.5pp $686 | +1.0pp $653 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 Forest St Rutland, VT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,000 | $2.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 40 Cottage St Unit 3 Rutland, VT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 15 Kingsley Ct Apt 3 Rutland, VT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $124,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $124,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-03status Active 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
This property is part of a First Look program. It allows owner occupant buyers to have their offers negotiated on day 8 of being listed. "ALL offers must have POF for CASH offers and Lender PQ's for Financed offers. Cash offers require 10% EMD. Rehab Offers must have one rehab bid in hand pre-offer, no exceptions. "New RRE Rules for FINCEN. transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all-cash, privately financed or HELOC.
-
2026-04-02historical 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
This property is part of a First Look program. It allows owner occupant buyers to have their offers negotiated on day 8 of being listed. "ALL offers must have POF for CASH offers and Lender PQ's for Financed offers. Cash offers require 10% EMD. Rehab Offers must have one rehab bid in hand pre-offer, no exceptions. "New RRE Rules for FINCEN. transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all-cash, privately financed or HELOC.
-
2026-04-01$124,900 Active 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
This property is part of a First Look program. It allows owner occupant buyers to have their offers negotiated on day 8 of being listed. "ALL offers must have POF for CASH offers and Lender PQ's for Financed offers. Cash offers require 10% EMD. Rehab Offers must have one rehab bid in hand pre-offer, no exceptions. "New RRE Rules for FINCEN. transfers will be subject to reporting when buyers use entities or trusts to take title to residential real estate, when the transaction is all-cash, privately financed or HELOC.
-
2001-09-21soldstatus $54,900 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
CITY HOME PRICED RIGHT, 1 BEDROOM DOWN, 2UP, LARGE DEEP YARD FOR CHILDREN POOL IS NEGIOTABLE
-
2001-07-19$54,900 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
CITY HOME PRICED RIGHT, 1 BEDROOM DOWN, 2UP, LARGE DEEP YARD FOR CHILDREN POOL IS NEGIOTABLE
-
1987-03-25soldstatus $46,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,404 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,889 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$485/yr (+$40/mo · 34.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,404
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,874
- − Management
- −$1,874
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $7,019
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,685
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,933/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Rutland
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #1410
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rutland, VT
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,142
Population outlook (Rutland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,307 people
- By 2030
- 52,364 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 45,751 · -17.3%
- By 2050
- 39,627 · -28.4%
- By 2075
- 29,080 · -47.4%
- By 2100
- 20,673 · -62.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14% Romanian 6% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rutland
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.3) · D 51.3% · R 46.0% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.3pp toward R · 2008: 24.6pp · 2024: 5.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.3 2020: D+10.5 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+22.0 2008: D+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.90%
- Current HPI
- 288.4214
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+166.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — PrimeMLS
- 2026-04-02 Delisted — PrimeMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $124,900 PrimeMLS
- 2001-09-21 Sold (MLS) $54,900 PrimeMLS
- 2001-07-19 Listed $54,900 PrimeMLS
- 1987-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $46,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,404 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…