101 W South St · Nokomis, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$118,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 3-bedroom home with plenty of room for your family. Flooring has been updated throughout home. Featuring a beautiful staircase, stained glass window, large front porch. Kitchen is updated with modern appliances, countertops, and cabinets. Large closets in every bedroom. Custom blinds. Water heater new 2024. Also features an above ground pool with deck. Nice corner location near park.
Key facts
- 6,119 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Carport (2 cars); Combination of garage, detached parking, and carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Built as residential single family
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Deck; Gravel road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Full unfinished basement with sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#547 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Nokomis CUSD 22 (town): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #241 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Elem School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #457 of 2,056 statewide, top 24%, 284 students, 0% FRL); Nokomis Jr/Sr High Sch (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #218 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 312 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($822 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Montgomery County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $119k implies a 230% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.96%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $116,970
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 W South St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 3,342 (0%) | 1mo | $115,500 | $35 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $78,819
- Equity at exit
- $107,115
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.64×
- Total profit
- $221,041
- Equity at exit
- $230,997
Cash invested: $33,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62075
- Home prices YoY
- 15.1%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,273 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$112 /mo · $1,343/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $221
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $288 | -5% $255 | +0% $221 | +5% $187 | +10% $154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $120 | -5% $171 | +0% $221 | +5% $271 | +10% $321 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $281 | -0.5pp $251 | base $221 | +0.5pp $190 | +1.0pp $159 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,725
- Closing costs
- $3,567
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-04-29historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-31$118,900 Active
-
2026-02-19price $124,900
-
2025-11-25price $129,900
-
2025-10-02$136,900 Active
-
2025-10-02historical
-
1998-08-01soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,343 · $112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,021 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$678/yr (+$57/mo · 50.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,278
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,660
- − Property taxes
- −$1,343
- − Insurance
- −$594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,222
- − Management
- −$1,222
- − Depreciation
- −$3,459
- Taxable income
- $777
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$187
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,464/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nokomis CUSD 22
- NCES district ID
- 1728560
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,673
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7132
- State rank
- #241 of 620 in IL
Livability — Nokomis
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #547
- US rank
- #11441
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nokomis, IL
- City population
- 3,180
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,180
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,471 people
- By 2030
- 26,410 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 24,233 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 21,948 · -20.1%
- By 2075
- 16,686 · -39.3%
- By 2100
- 11,369 · -58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Asian 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.1% · R 71.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+14.2 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 25.27%
- Current HPI
- 192.84
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+230.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — CIBR
- 2026-04-29 Contingent — CIBR
- 2026-03-31 Listed $118,900 CIBR
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $124,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-02 Listed $136,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-02 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,343 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…