809 12th St SW · Massillon, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Why rent when you can become a homeowner? Cute bungalow in Massillon awaiting its new owner. This home has hardwood floors and tons of potential. Home features 2 beds downstairs, and third bedroom upstairs. Basement was previously finished and could be refinished as well, offering a potential additional living space. The lot is large, home also features extra driveway space. This is the perfect starter home or investment property! Being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- Large lot
- Extra driveway space
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (2.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (2.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.9% in Massillon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#306 in OH, #4,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Massillon City (urban): math 43% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #487 of 656 in OH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $115k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.56%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $143,038
- List price
- $114,900
- Delta
- -19.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809 12th St SW | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,248 (0%) | 1mo | $117,000 | $94 | 94 |
| 1521 Tremont Ave SW | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,224 (-2%) | 1mo | $138,000 | $113 | 82 |
| 726 Warren St SW | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+6%) | 3mo | $203,500 | $154 | 76 |
| 1115 Borden Ave SW | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $104 | 76 |
| 104 12th St NW | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,236 (-1%) | 0mo | $152,000 | $123 | 72 |
| 43 14th St NW | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,221 (-2%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $123 | 70 |
| 804 15th St SW | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,148 (-8%) | 0mo | $169,680 | $148 | 70 |
| 1290 Patriot Pl SW | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,312 (+5%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $198 | 66 |
| 2003 Main Ave W | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,260 (+1%) | 3mo | $156,000 | $124 | 62 |
| 404 Pike Ave SW | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,310 (+5%) | 0mo | $62,000 | $47 | 60 |
| 621 Geiger Ave SW | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-8%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $137 | 52 |
| 431 5th St SW | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,396 (+12%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $97 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-10,836
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $577
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44647
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,119 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $122
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 15th St SW Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 308 Erie St S Unit 17 Massillon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $635 | $0.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 308 Erie St S Unit 17 Massillon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $625 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 111 Maple Ave SE Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 450 South Ave SE Massillon, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,236 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 610 Wellman Ave SE Unit 610 Wellman 2nd Floor Massillon, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $625 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
Why rent when you can become a homeowner? Cute bungalow in Massillon awaiting its new owner. This home has hardwood floors and tons of potential. Home features 2 beds downstairs, and third bedroom upstairs. Basement was previously finished and could be refinished as well, offering a potential additional living space. The lot is large, home also features extra driveway space. This is the perfect starter home or investment property! Being sold AS IS.
-
2026-04-28price $114,900 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
Why rent when you can become a homeowner? Cute bungalow in Massillon awaiting its new owner. This home has hardwood floors and tons of potential. Home features 2 beds downstairs, and third bedroom upstairs. Basement was previously finished and could be refinished as well, offering a potential additional living space. The lot is large, home also features extra driveway space. This is the perfect starter home or investment property! Being sold AS IS.
-
2026-04-22$134,900 Active 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
Why rent when you can become a homeowner? Cute bungalow in Massillon awaiting its new owner. This home has hardwood floors and tons of potential. Home features 2 beds downstairs, and third bedroom upstairs. Basement was previously finished and could be refinished as well, offering a potential additional living space. The lot is large, home also features extra driveway space. This is the perfect starter home or investment property! Being sold AS IS.
-
2005-04-11soldstatus $71,500
-
2005-04-08soldstatus $71,500 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Cute Bunglow with 3 bed rooms. Replacement windows. Vinyl siding. Hardwood floors thru-out. Kitchen appliances, shed.
-
2005-01-20$74,900 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Cute Bunglow with 3 bed rooms. Replacement windows. Vinyl siding. Hardwood floors thru-out. Kitchen appliances, shed.
-
1999-11-06historical
-
1999-07-08$78,900
-
1996-06-24soldstatus $58,200
-
1996-05-23$58,200
-
1994-04-28soldstatus $48,900
-
1994-03-14$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,334 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,563 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$229/yr (+$19/mo · 17.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,334
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,074
- − Management
- −$1,074
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable loss
- −$410
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$98
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,565/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Massillon City
- NCES district ID
- 3904435
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,094
- Composite
- 39.54/100
- National rank
- #3941
- State rank
- #487 of 656 in OH
Livability — Massillon
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #4928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Massillon, OH
- County
- Stark County · 272,865 people
- City population
- 65,858
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,117
- Household income
- $67,140
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 231.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 373,708 people
- By 2030
- 371,245 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 361,331 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 345,290 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 302,669 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 238,870 · -36.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.61%
- Current HPI
- 207.6115
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+130.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $114,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-22 Listed $134,900 MLSNOW
- 2005-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
- 2005-04-08 Sold (MLS) $71,500 MLSNOW
- 2005-01-20 Listed $74,900 MLSNOW
- 1999-11-06 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1999-07-08 Listed $78,900 MLSNOW
- 1996-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $58,200 Public Records
- 1996-05-23 Listed $58,200 MLSNOW
- 1994-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $48,900 Public Records
- 1994-03-14 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,334 · -8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…