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1246 Prendergast Ave
C+ Composite 63.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1246 Prendergast Ave · Jamestown, NY 14701
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,954 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1930 Est $149k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Two and a half story with an extra finished room in the attic , a basement and one car garage . Bathroom has a walk in shower on second floor and a half bath on first floor . Updated gas boiler for heat , new hot water tank , updated electric , appliances can be either or . Beautiful fireplace all hardwood floors and both natural and painted woodwork throughout the house , kitchen updated in 2015 front porch updated in 2022.

Key facts

  • New hot water tank
  • Updated gas boiler
  • Updated electric

Tags

FINISHED ROOM IN ATTICWALK IN SHOWERUPDATED GAS BOILERNEW HOT WATER TANKUPDATED ELECTRICHARDWOOD FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 16.8% in Jamestown — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
  • Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Carlyle C Ring Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 385 students, 74% FRL); George Washington Middle School (math 14% / reading 29%, grade F, #660 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 469 students, 86% FRL); Jamestown High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,315 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 60% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
8.38%
Cash-on-cash
7.46%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$148,504
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
71 Newton Ave 0.19mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,916 (-2%) 7mo $158,900 $83 73
44 Spruce St 0.23mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,902 (-3%) 5mo $149,000 $78 72
346 Crossman St 0.44mi 4/1.5 1,894 (-3%) 10mo $22,000 $12 66
252 Fulton St 0.43mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,961 (+0%) 11mo $10,000 $5 64
601 Stowe St 0.60mi 4/2.5 1,867 (-4%) 2mo $142,500 $76 59
93 Falconer St 0.52mi 4/1.5 2,180 (+12%) 1mo $54,000 $25 55
130 Marvin Pkwy 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,839 (-6%) 6mo $274,392 $149 48
11 Bowen St 0.69mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,825 (-7%) 4mo $30,000 $16 46
104 Falconer St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,672 (-14%) 1mo $35,000 $21 42
137 Weeks St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,769 (-10%) 10mo $150,000 $85 42
820 Lafayette St 0.71mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,705 (-13%) 3mo $18,200 $11 38
42 Campbell Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,762 (-10%) 9mo $137,690 $78 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-6,064
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$12,168
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14701

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
315
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,431 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$242 /mo · $2,906/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,166
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $277 -5% $243 +0% $209 +5% $175 +10% $141
Rent -10% $96 -5% $152 +0% $209 +5% $265 +10% $322
Rate -1.0pp $269 -0.5pp $239 base $209 +0.5pp $178 +1.0pp $146

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    remarks 430-char remark
  9. 2026-06-12
    listed $120,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,906 · $242/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,906 · $242/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,169
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$2,906
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,374
− Management
−$1,374
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$704
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$169
After-tax cash flow
$2,338/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jamestown City School District
NCES district ID
3615630
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$32,240
Composite
30.69/100
National rank
#6176
State rank
#553 of 590 in NY

Livability — Jamestown

Score
69/100
State rank
#470
US rank
#8213

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jamestown, NY
County
Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
City population
38,461
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,461
Household income
$49,685
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.93%
Current HPI
259.402
Rent YoY
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+155.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $120,000 FSBO.com
  • 2000-05-23 Listed $47,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,906 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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