2767 W 1st #12 · Santa Ana, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,888
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Conveniently located near the intersection of Fairview St and W 1st St in the heart of Santa Ana, this home offers easy access to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. The community is close to local parks including Jerome Park and Cesar Chavez Park, as well as nearby schools within the Santa Ana Unified School District. Residents enjoy quick access to the 22 Freeway for an easy commute throughout Orange County, with additional retail centers, restaurants, and services just minutes away. * Interior photos have been edited with AI for furniture removal.
Key facts
- Close to local parks
- Nearby schools
- 4.6 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $938 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 2.5% in Santa Ana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#871 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Santa Ana Unified (urban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #329 of 517 in CA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Greenville Fundamental Elementary (math 32% / reading 36%, grade F, #755 of 1,571 statewide, top 49%, 907 students, 66% FRL); Gonzalo Felicitas Mendez Fundamental Intermediate (1,293 students, 76% FRL); Valley High (math 15% / reading 38%, grade F, #804 of 1,170 statewide, top 69%, 2,197 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.53%
- DSCR
- 2.49
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,669
- List price
- $119,888
- Delta
- 39.94%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $40,352
- Equity at exit
- $17,876
- IRR
- 36.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.34×
- Total profit
- $112,207
- Equity at exit
- $10,366
Cash invested: $33,569 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92703
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,236 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $938
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,021 | -5% $979 | +0% $938 | +5% $897 | +10% $855 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $761 | -5% $850 | +0% $938 | +5% $1,026 | +10% $1,115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $998 | -0.5pp $969 | base $938 | +0.5pp $907 | +1.0pp $875 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,972
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3200 W 5th St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 769 | $2,978 | $3.87 | 0d | 9 | 0.36mi |
| 1905 W Myrtle St Unit 3 Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,350 | $3.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2701 W McFadden Ave Unit 108 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,295 | $4.78 | 26d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2701 W McFadden Ave Apt 107 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,095 | $4.36 | 26d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2701 W McFadden Ave Unit 84 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,360 | $4.92 | 26d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2701 W McFadden Ave Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,228 | $4.64 | 16d | 3 | 0.73mi |
| 2701 W McFadden Ave Unit 18 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,385 | $4.97 | 0d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3900 W 5th St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $2,175 | $2.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1610 N King St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 808 | $1,790 | $2.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 0167 Santa Ana, CA | — | 1.0 | 386 | $1,830 | $4.74 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Apt 247 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,215 | $4.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 0136 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,055 | $3.98 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 109 Santa Ana, CA | — | 1.0 | 386 | $1,940 | $5.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 340 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,180 | $4.22 | 26d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 146 Santa Ana, CA | — | 1.0 | 386 | $1,895 | $4.91 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 130 Santa Ana, CA | — | 1.0 | 386 | $1,855 | $4.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 0133 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,180 | $4.22 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 0251 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,185 | $4.23 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 0161 Santa Ana, CA | — | 1.0 | 386 | $1,885 | $4.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 901 S Harbor Blvd Unit 0307 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $2,260 | $4.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1806 N Fairview St Unit Q Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 693 | $2,526 | $3.65 | 26d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4200 W 1st St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 714 | $2,239 | $3.13 | 0d | 5 | 1.13mi |
| 3630 Westminster Ave Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $2,508 | $3.60 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2111 W 17th St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 756 | $2,410 | $3.19 | 0d | 7 | 1.15mi |
| 1500 N Harbor Blvd Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $2,575 | $3.30 | 16d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 225 S Newhope St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 822 | $1,863 | $2.27 | 0d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 1307 W 9th St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 440 | $1,400 | $3.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 623 N Bristol St Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $2,300 | $3.25 | 26d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 631 N Bristol St #66 Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $2,500 | $3.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2417 W Stanford St Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,200 | $4.57 | 26d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1114 W Santa Ana Blvd Santa Ana, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 725 | $2,700 | $3.72 | 45d | 4 | 1.41mi |
| 1214 W Brook St Apt E Santa Ana, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,750 | $3.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 27 events
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2026-06-21days on market $119,888 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $119,888 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $119,888 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,888 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,888 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,888 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,888 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $119,888 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,888 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,888 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,888 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $119,888 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,888 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,888 Active 77 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,888 Active 76 DOM
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2026-03-16$119,888 Active 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
Conveniently located near the intersection of Fairview St and W 1st St in the heart of Santa Ana, this home offers easy access to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences. The community is close to local parks including Jerome Park and Cesar Chavez Park, as well as nearby schools within the Santa Ana Unified School District. Residents enjoy quick access to the 22 Freeway for an easy commute throughout Orange County, with additional retail centers, restaurants, and services just minutes away. * Interior photos have been edited with AI for furniture removal.
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2024-07-23historical
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2024-05-15price $99,900
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2024-05-13$109,900 Active
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2024-04-17historical
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2023-12-18price $109,900
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2023-09-19price $117,500
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2023-08-07price $118,500
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2023-05-12price $119,900
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2023-04-19$129,900 Active
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2023-04-19$129,900 Active
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2023-04-19historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,834
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$599
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,147
- − Management
- −$2,147
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $9,940
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,386
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,871/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minor maintenance and repairs. The highest-ROI updates would be painting the exterior siding and replacing the ceiling fan to enhance curb appeal and add value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental.
- Both Replace the ceiling fan — Improves air circulation and adds a modern touch.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Replace the ceiling fan — Improves air circulation and adds a modern touch. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Ana Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0635310
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,752
- Composite
- 26.7/100
- National rank
- #7152
- State rank
- #329 of 517 in CA
Livability — Santa Ana
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #871
- US rank
- #23502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Santa Ana, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 288,255
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,447
- Household income
- $84,437
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1835.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 19% Asian 16% White 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 72%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 47% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 17% English-only · Spanish 68% Vietnamese 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -666.61%
- Current HPI
- 458.1824
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Listed $119,888 CRMLS
- 2024-07-23 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-05-15 Price Changed $99,900 CRMLS
- 2024-05-13 Listed $109,900 CRMLS
- 2024-04-17 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2023-12-18 Price Changed $109,900 CRMLS
- 2023-09-19 Price Changed $117,500 CRMLS
- 2023-08-07 Price Changed $118,500 CRMLS
- 2023-05-12 Price Changed $119,900 CRMLS
- 2023-04-19 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2023-04-19 Listed $129,900 CRMLS
- 2023-04-19 Listed $129,900 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…