231 E Central · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$53,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home. This home features a new roof, with a spacious kitchen and bathroom. Long term tenant. Sold as is.
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Spacious bathroom
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($873 rent vs $53k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 59 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($29k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.66%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $41,070
- List price
- $53,000
- Delta
- 29.05%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241 E Weber St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (-2%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $61 | 85 |
| 3377 Lagrange St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,030 (+3%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $78 | 72 |
| 3319 Franklin Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 958 (-4%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $47 | 70 |
| 125 E Oakland St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,088 (+9%) | 4mo | $18,000 | $17 | 67 |
| 235 Bronson Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+11%) | 2mo | $48,000 | $43 | 66 |
| 17 W Pearl St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 966 (-3%) | 2mo | $16,900 | $17 | 65 |
| 2743 Elm St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (-7%) | 3mo | $68,000 | $74 | 64 |
| 358 E Manhattan Blvd | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,032 (+4%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $63 | 62 |
| 3118 Elm St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,140 (+14%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $44 | 60 |
| 40 E Oakland St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,110 (+11%) | 4mo | $53,000 | $48 | 57 |
| 3550 Wersell Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,054 (+6%) | 3mo | $48,000 | $46 | 55 |
| 150 W Park St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,124 (+13%) | 4mo | $12,000 | $11 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $13,991
- Equity at exit
- $7,902
- IRR
- 31.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $43,543
- Equity at exit
- $4,582
Cash invested: $14,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43608
- Home prices YoY
- -21.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $873 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$278
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $572/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$183
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $372 | -5% $357 | +0% $342 | +5% $327 | +10% $312 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $273 | -5% $308 | +0% $342 | +5% $377 | +10% $411 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $369 | -0.5pp $356 | base $342 | +0.5pp $328 | +1.0pp $314 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,250
- Closing costs
- $1,590
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 Dexter St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,005 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 227 Everett St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $850 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3010 Warsaw St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $525 | $0.65 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 329 Mettler St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $975 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 420 Everett St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $975 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2807 Chestnut St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $495 | $0.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 340 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 683 | $775 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 524 E Hudson St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $825 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 333 E Lake St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $495 | $0.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 225 Palmer St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $895 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 405 E Manhattan Blvd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3439 Jeannette Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3474 Maher St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,125 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 426 Beacon St Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 809 | $882 | $1.09 | 15d | 10 | 1.15mi |
| 3405 Beaumont Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $745 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 409 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $880 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 425 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $725 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 625 Virginia St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 625 Virginia St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3950 Woodhaven Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $745 | $0.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4013 Caroline Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $800 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2115 Collingwood Blvd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $765 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 630 Mulberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 626 Walnut St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $995 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $53,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $53,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $53,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $53,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $53,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $53,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $53,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $53,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $53,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $53,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $53,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $53,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $53,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $53,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $53,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $53,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $53,000 132-char remark
Show marketing remark (132 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home. This home features a new roof, with a spacious kitchen and bathroom. Long term tenant. Sold as is.
-
2026-02-21$58,000 Active 132-char remark
Show marketing remark (132 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home. This home features a new roof, with a spacious kitchen and bathroom. Long term tenant. Sold as is.
-
2025-10-14price $25,000 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
CUTE 1 STORY, 2 BED, NATURAL WOODWORK THROUGHOUT, 1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY, GARAGE,with new roof, new siding, furnace & paint YARD AND MORE! GREAT RENTAL OR OWNER OCCUPANT!
-
2025-10-14price $46,000
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
CUTE 1 STORY, 2 BED, NATURAL WOODWORK THROUGHOUT, 1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY, GARAGE,with new roof, new siding, furnace & paint YARD AND MORE! GREAT RENTAL OR OWNER OCCUPANT!
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2023-05-01soldstatus $46,000 Closed
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2023-04-28soldstatus $46,000
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2023-04-25status Pending
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2023-02-16$49,000 Active
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2023-01-27historical
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2022-09-21price $49,000
-
2022-08-13$55,000 Active
-
2022-03-09soldstatus $54,500
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2003-06-06soldstatus $25,000 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
CUTE 1 STORY, 2 BED, NATURAL WOODWORK THROUGHOUT, 1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY, GARAGE,with new roof, new siding, furnace & paint YARD AND MORE! GREAT RENTAL OR OWNER OCCUPANT!
-
2003-04-07$27,900 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
CUTE 1 STORY, 2 BED, NATURAL WOODWORK THROUGHOUT, 1ST FLOOR LAUNDRY, GARAGE,with new roof, new siding, furnace & paint YARD AND MORE! GREAT RENTAL OR OWNER OCCUPANT!
-
1994-09-30soldstatus $11,000
-
1988-07-29soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $572 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $699 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$128/yr (+$11/mo · 22.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,477
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,969
- − Property taxes
- −$572
- − Insurance
- −$265
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$838
- − Management
- −$838
- − Depreciation
- −$1,542
- Taxable income
- $3,454
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$829
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,276/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,593
- Household income
- $29,275
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 911.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% White 25% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.73%
- Current HPI
- 139.4964
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.89%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+341.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $53,000 NORIS
- 2026-02-21 Listed $58,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $25,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $46,000 NORIS
- 2023-05-01 Sold (MLS) $46,000 NORIS
- 2023-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 2023-04-25 Pending — NORIS
- 2023-02-16 Listed $49,000 NORIS
- 2023-01-27 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2022-09-21 Price Changed $49,000 NORIS
- 2022-08-13 Listed $55,000 NORIS
- 2022-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
- 2003-06-06 Sold (MLS) $25,000 NORIS
- 2003-04-07 Listed $27,900 NORIS
- 1994-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
- 1988-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $572 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…