352 E Belt Line Rd · Wilmer, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Conveniently located off of I-45 and Beltline Rd. Easy access to downtown Dallas. This home has recently been used as a residential lease, but there is currently no tenant in place at this time. The zoning has been changed to C1-Restricted Commercial, however because it has been a residential property and occupied as such as a residential lease, it can be sold for residential, residential lease, or as a commercial dwelling. This makes this home a great investment.
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 830 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-805/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (6.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.8% in Wilmer — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,054 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 830 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 830 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.52%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $178,316
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- 5.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 Wilmer Heights Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+1%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $168 | 69 |
| 102 1st St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,012 (-2%) | 19mo | $88,000 | $87 | 69 |
| 415 Johnson St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 957 (-7%) | 4mo | $99,500 | $104 | 67 |
| 309 Redbud Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,098 (+7%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $181 | 45 |
| 211 Wilmer Heights Dr | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (-14%) | 18mo | $189,000 | $213 | 37 |
| 202 Wilmer Heights Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 884 (-14%) | 22mo | $179,900 | $204 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.73% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $25,938
- Equity at exit
- $92,828
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $89,606
- Equity at exit
- $149,484
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75172
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,662 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,721/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $-67
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6000 S Interstate Highway 45 Wilmer, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $1,522 | $1.54 | 1d | 13 | 0.45mi |
| 5900 S Interstate Highway 45 Wilmer, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $1,549 | $1.57 | 1d | 8 | 0.48mi |
| 409 Dewitt St Wilmer, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 1d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 301 Mars Rd Wilmer, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,596 | $1.65 | 1d | 24 | 0.95mi |
| 1223 Maple St Wilmer, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1381 | $1,935 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 830 DOM
-
2025-06-17price $189,000 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Conveniently located off of I-45 and Beltline Rd. Easy access to downtown Dallas. This home has recently been used as a residential lease, but there is currently no tenant in place at this time. The zoning has been changed to C1-Restricted Commercial, however because it has been a residential property and occupied as such as a residential lease, it can be sold for residential, residential lease, or as a commercial dwelling. This makes this home a great investment.
-
2025-05-12status Active 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Conveniently located off of I-45 and Beltline Rd. Easy access to downtown Dallas. This home has recently been used as a residential lease, but there is currently no tenant in place at this time. The zoning has been changed to C1-Restricted Commercial, however because it has been a residential property and occupied as such as a residential lease, it can be sold for residential, residential lease, or as a commercial dwelling. This makes this home a great investment.
-
2025-05-10historical 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Conveniently located off of I-45 and Beltline Rd. Easy access to downtown Dallas. This home has recently been used as a residential lease, but there is currently no tenant in place at this time. The zoning has been changed to C1-Restricted Commercial, however because it has been a residential property and occupied as such as a residential lease, it can be sold for residential, residential lease, or as a commercial dwelling. This makes this home a great investment.
-
2025-05-06price $199,000 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Conveniently located off of I-45 and Beltline Rd. Easy access to downtown Dallas. This home has recently been used as a residential lease, but there is currently no tenant in place at this time. The zoning has been changed to C1-Restricted Commercial, however because it has been a residential property and occupied as such as a residential lease, it can be sold for residential, residential lease, or as a commercial dwelling. This makes this home a great investment.
-
2025-04-07price $215,000 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Conveniently located off of I-45 and Beltline Rd. Easy access to downtown Dallas. This home has recently been used as a residential lease, but there is currently no tenant in place at this time. The zoning has been changed to C1-Restricted Commercial, however because it has been a residential property and occupied as such as a residential lease, it can be sold for residential, residential lease, or as a commercial dwelling. This makes this home a great investment.
-
2025-01-09price $221,000 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Conveniently located off of I-45 and Beltline Rd. Easy access to downtown Dallas. This home has recently been used as a residential lease, but there is currently no tenant in place at this time. The zoning has been changed to C1-Restricted Commercial, however because it has been a residential property and occupied as such as a residential lease, it can be sold for residential, residential lease, or as a commercial dwelling. This makes this home a great investment.
-
2024-09-26price $229,000 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Conveniently located off of I-45 and Beltline Rd. Easy access to downtown Dallas. This home has recently been used as a residential lease, but there is currently no tenant in place at this time. The zoning has been changed to C1-Restricted Commercial, however because it has been a residential property and occupied as such as a residential lease, it can be sold for residential, residential lease, or as a commercial dwelling. This makes this home a great investment.
-
2024-07-22price $242,000 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Conveniently located off of I-45 and Beltline Rd. Easy access to downtown Dallas. This home has recently been used as a residential lease, but there is currently no tenant in place at this time. The zoning has been changed to C1-Restricted Commercial, however because it has been a residential property and occupied as such as a residential lease, it can be sold for residential, residential lease, or as a commercial dwelling. This makes this home a great investment.
-
2024-02-19$249,000 Active 472-char remark
Show marketing remark (472 chars)
Conveniently located off of I-45 and Beltline Rd. Easy access to downtown Dallas. This home has recently been used as a residential lease, but there is currently no tenant in place at this time. The zoning has been changed to C1-Restricted Commercial, however because it has been a residential property and occupied as such as a residential lease, it can be sold for residential, residential lease, or as a commercial dwelling. This makes this home a great investment.
-
2004-09-10soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,721 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,721 · $310/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,943
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$3,721
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,595
- − Management
- −$1,595
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$4,000
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$960
- After-tax cash flow
- $154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 28.41/100
- National rank
- #6763
- State rank
- #559 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wilmer
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1054
- US rank
- #18696
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilmer, TX
- City population
- 5,873
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,873
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% Black 31% White 22% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 46%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.73%
- Current HPI
- 221.1676
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-24.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-17 Price Changed $189,000 NTREIS
- 2025-05-12 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-05-10 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-05-06 Price Changed $199,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-07 Price Changed $215,000 NTREIS
- 2025-01-09 Price Changed $221,000 NTREIS
- 2024-09-26 Price Changed $229,000 NTREIS
- 2024-07-22 Price Changed $242,000 NTREIS
- 2024-02-19 Listed $249,000 NTREIS
- 2004-09-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,721 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…