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8520 Alpine St
A- Composite 84.52
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$79,900

8520 Alpine St · Detroit, MI 48204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,237 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1955 3,920 sqft lot Est $98k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great single-family Ranch Home. Excellent for 1st time buyers or new investors, easy maintenance. Move Right In & enjoy affordable living in a Great Location just 10 min to Downtown. Rental Opportunity or move in for your next chapter. Cozy up on the covered porch & enjoy cool nights & rainy days. Experience Spring & Summers bike riding on the nearby Joe Louis Greenway literally just a short walk up the street. Plenty of space with 3 bedrms along with a bonus room (currently used as a 4th bedrm) & two full bathrooms, The Garage & Fenced Yard add convenience. This Affordable Brick home is Ready for you to Move-In & create a Home That Truly Reflects Your Style.

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Fenced yard
  • 3,920 sq ft lot

Tags

COVERED PORCHFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (approximately 1.5 car)
  • Utilities: Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 36 x 109 (0.09 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric and natural gas heating available; No cooling (no central air)
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Seven total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.39%
Cash-on-cash
18.22%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$97,723
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8801 Monica St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-5%) 1mo $120,000 $102 75
7007 Joy Rd 0.40mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-3%) 0mo $85,000 $71 71
8127 American St 0.27mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,317 (+6%) 8mo $29,000 $22 65
8070 Wisconsin St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-3%) 14mo $70,000 $58 62
7722 Wykes St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,148 (-7%) 4mo $40,000 $35 58
8843 Burnette St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-10%) 16mo $115,900 $103 56
5587 Oakman Blvd 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,168 (-6%) 11mo $165,000 $141 46
9015 Cloverlawn St 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,390 (+12%) 11mo $50,000 $36 45
8000 Normile St 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,329 (+7%) 14mo $165,000 $124 42
5333 Oakman Blvd 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,286 (+4%) 15mo $200,000 $156 41
8208 Kentucky St 0.50mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,067 (-14%) 10mo $84,500 $79 40
8145 Kentucky St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,082 (-12%) 15mo $50,000 $46 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.8%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$65,185
Equity at exit
$71,980
10-year hold
IRR
32.6%
Equity multiple
8.82×
Total profit
$175,014
Equity at exit
$155,228

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,163 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,524/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $733
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 43d 1 0.06mi
8544 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 17d 1 0.19mi
8230 Ohio St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,200 $0.89 16d 1 0.33mi
9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 24d 1 0.38mi
8143 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1370 $1,800 $1.31 1d 1 0.43mi
8762 Epworth St Unit 8768 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 24d 1 0.65mi
7424 Wykes St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.70mi
9353 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $999 $1.25 17d 1 0.75mi
8283 Pinehurst St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.95mi
9917 Woodside St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 43d 1 1.00mi
10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 43d 1 1.01mi
9789 Chenlot St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 5d 1 1.06mi
5398 Allendale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 24d 1 1.08mi
10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $985 $0.82 43d 1 1.08mi
10345 Crocuslawn Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 43d 1 1.10mi
5101 Oregon St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 43d 1 1.19mi
4915 Maplewood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1324 $1,100 $0.83 16d 1 1.25mi
9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 43d 1 1.26mi
5440 Milford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 43d 1 1.32mi
10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 43d 1 1.36mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 43d 1 1.36mi
12019 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $943 $0.94 5d 1 1.39mi
12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,423 $1.58 5d 1 1.39mi
9355 Ward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,327 $1.11 43d 1 1.43mi
4566 Seebaldt St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 22d 1 1.46mi
9376 Otsego St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 873 $1,396 $1.60 43d 1 1.48mi
4345 W Euclid St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 24d 1 1.50mi
4345 W Euclid St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 671-char remark
  11. 2026-06-04
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,524 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,524 · $127/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,960
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,524
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,117
− Management
−$1,117
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,002
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$721
After-tax cash flow
$3,356/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,524 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…