3030 Angelique St · St. Joseph, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunityTenants would like to stayIncome of $725/monthOwner/broker
Key facts
- Quiet neighborhood
- Off-street parking
- 5,439 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.7% in St. Joseph — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Joseph (urban): math 28% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #241 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 70 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buchanan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.81%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,114
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 504 E Meadow Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (+0%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $155 | 84 |
| 3004 Messanie St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,138 (-14%) | 2mo | $124,900 | $110 | 66 |
| 3117 Sylvanie St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-15%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $170 | 63 |
| 3518 Lafayette St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,307 (-1%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $107 | 62 |
| 3416 Mitchell Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,348 (+2%) | 1mo | $147,000 | $109 | 60 |
| 2906 Lafayette St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,165 (-12%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $124 | 56 |
| 414 Birch St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (+8%) | 4mo | $279,900 | $196 | 56 |
| 3223 Penn St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-14%) | 1mo | $156,000 | $137 | 52 |
| 3214 Penn St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (+14%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $100 | 47 |
| 2623 Faraon St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,165 (-12%) | 3mo | $139,900 | $120 | 44 |
| 2807 Faraon St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,504 (+14%) | 1mo | $184,500 | $123 | 42 |
| 2406 Edmond St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,496 (+14%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $113 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-3,105
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $13,869
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64501
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,027 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $572/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $204
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $260 | -5% $232 | +0% $204 | +5% $176 | +10% $148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $122 | -5% $163 | +0% $204 | +5% $244 | +10% $285 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $253 | -0.5pp $229 | base $204 | +0.5pp $178 | +1.0pp $152 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3128 Midland St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $975 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 2408 Jules St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1616 S 25th St Saint Joseph, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2901 Frederick Ave Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 917 N 24th St Unit 1 St Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $925 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 303 S 13th St St Joseph, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-11$99,000 Active
-
2014-10-14soldstatus 86-char remark
Show marketing remark (86 chars)
Great investment opportunityTenants would like to stayIncome of $725/monthOwner/broker
-
2014-10-14soldstatus
Show marketing remark (86 chars)
Great investment opportunityTenants would like to stayIncome of $725/monthOwner/broker
-
2014-08-18$45,000 86-char remark
Show marketing remark (86 chars)
Great investment opportunityTenants would like to stayIncome of $725/monthOwner/broker
-
2013-04-15soldstatus
-
2012-12-18soldstatus 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Enclosed front porch, large living room, possible lower level rec room, lower level mostly finished, fenced backyard. Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. Cash transaction must include Deed Restriction language-Grantees or purchase may not re-sell, record additional conveyance document or transfer title within 60 days following Grantor's execution of Deed--Lockbox on back door.
-
2012-10-23$27,900 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Enclosed front porch, large living room, possible lower level rec room, lower level mostly finished, fenced backyard. Please allow 2-3 business days for seller response. Cash transaction must include Deed Restriction language-Grantees or purchase may not re-sell, record additional conveyance document or transfer title within 60 days following Grantor's execution of Deed--Lockbox on back door.
-
2003-08-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $572 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $960 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$388/yr (+$32/mo · 67.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,330
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$572
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$986
- − Management
- −$986
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $864
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$207
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,236/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Joseph
- NCES district ID
- 2927060
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,007
- Composite
- 27.99/100
- National rank
- #6853
- State rank
- #241 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Joseph
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Joseph, MO
- County
- Buchanan County · 32,150 people
- City population
- 44,382
- Metro
- St. Joseph, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,689
- Household income
- $46,731
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,041 people
- By 2030
- 88,401 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 86,220 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 83,603 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 76,750 · -13.8%
- By 2100
- 67,623 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.0) · D 35.2% · R 63.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -28.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.0 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.20%
- Current HPI
- 157.8706
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Joseph, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+254.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Listed $99,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-10-14 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-18 Listed $45,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-12-18 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-23 Listed $27,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-08-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $572 · +24.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…