310 Sampson St · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$14,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This single family home with 2-bedroom and 1-bath is full of potential. Central location close to parks, shops, schools, and restaurants. It's an opportunity not to be missed. Schedule your personal tour today!
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to schools
- Close to restaurants
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $862 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $14k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 75.7% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $103 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $447 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 75.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 247.92%
- DSCR
- 12.03
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,162
- List price
- $14,900
- Delta
- -82.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 N Buchanan St | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,507 (+5%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $43 | 82 |
| 519 Mudd Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,412 (-2%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $103 | 71 |
| 314 Monroe St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,360 (-6%) | 7mo | $194,900 | $143 | 59 |
| 123 Park Ave | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 | 1,613 (+12%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $96 | 54 |
| 305 N Magnolia St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,540 (+7%) | 22mo | $53,000 | $34 | 52 |
| 528 Lafayette St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,400 (-3%) | 20mo | $175,000 | $125 | 47 |
| 217 S Orange St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,490 (+4%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $67 | 44 |
| 126 Hayes Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (-6%) | 17mo | $146,500 | $109 | 32 |
| 412 S Sterling St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,650 (+15%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $85 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.92×
- Total profit
- $58,074
- Equity at exit
- $2,222
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 36.08×
- Total profit
- $146,356
- Equity at exit
- $1,288
Cash invested: $4,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70501
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,220 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$78
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $212/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $862
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,725
- Closing costs
- $447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 Hobson St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 319 Tissington St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $775 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 206 N Washington St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 615 Lafayette St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,350 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 109 Perth PL Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 117 Perth PL Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,625 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 114 Carlin St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1011 W Congress St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1181 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 124 E Main St Lafayette, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,380 | $1.75 | 13d | 7 | 0.86mi |
| 1114 W Congress St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 503 Joan St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 215 Versailles Blvd Unit 3 Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,675 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1312 W University Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,300 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1120 S Washington St Unit A Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 892 | $2,200 | $2.47 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1120 S Washington St Unit B Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $2,400 | $2.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 810 Fairmont Ln Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $992 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 908 Saint Charles St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 610 Sunset Dr Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 317 W University Ave Apt 4 Lafayette, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 213 General Gardner Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,750 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 215 Peggy St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 215 Peggy St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 300 General Mouton Ave #6 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 908 Lamar St Unit 108 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,025 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 330 General Mouton Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 228 Amelia St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1796 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 111 Sternberg Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 246 Paul Breaux Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 300 Roosevelt St Unit A Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,750 | $1.64 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 914 Saint Patrick St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 419 Saint Joseph St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 111 Dora St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $750 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 517 Saint Patrick St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
This single family home with 2-bedroom and 1-bath is full of potential. Central location close to parks, shops, schools, and restaurants. It's an opportunity not to be missed. Schedule your personal tour today!
-
2026-04-02price $14,900 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
This single family home with 2-bedroom and 1-bath is full of potential. Central location close to parks, shops, schools, and restaurants. It's an opportunity not to be missed. Schedule your personal tour today!
-
2026-02-23price $19,900 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
This single family home with 2-bedroom and 1-bath is full of potential. Central location close to parks, shops, schools, and restaurants. It's an opportunity not to be missed. Schedule your personal tour today!
-
2026-01-23$24,900 Active 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
This single family home with 2-bedroom and 1-bath is full of potential. Central location close to parks, shops, schools, and restaurants. It's an opportunity not to be missed. Schedule your personal tour today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $212 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $212 · $18/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,642
- − Mortgage interest
- −$835
- − Property taxes
- −$212
- − Insurance
- −$74
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,171
- − Management
- −$1,171
- − Depreciation
- −$433
- Taxable income
- $10,745
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,579
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,764/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,465
- Household income
- $33,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2089.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 81.2963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-40.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $14,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $19,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $24,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $212 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…