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5818 Westover St
C+ Composite 62.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

5818 Westover St · Houston, TX 77033
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,219 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1950 6,403 sqft lot $135/sqft · 15% below area Est $191k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.

Key facts

  • Hvac system replaced
  • Convenient access
  • New sewage line

Tags

NEW SEWAGE LINEROOF REPLACEDHVAC SYSTEM REPLACEDCONVENIENT ACCESSMINUTES FROM HOUSTON ZOOMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN HOUSTON

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community:

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; One-story (first-floor living)
  • Construction: Built in 1950; Unknown exterior construction materials; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen:
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (13 x 11); Three additional first-floor bedrooms, each about 11 x 11
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas); Has heating and cooling
  • Interior features: 4 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility:

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-141 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (15.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mading El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 339 students, 96% FRL); Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,848/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,005 (15.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.37%
Cash-on-cash
7.40%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$190,628
List price
$165,000
Delta
-13.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5879 Belneath St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-2%) 1mo $95,000 $79 88
5842 Beldart St 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,185 (-3%) 1mo $194,700 $164 85
5831 Lyndhurst Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,212 (-1%) 2mo $105,000 $87 83
5822 Beldart St 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-2%) 2mo $217,000 $181 82
5962 Belcrest St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,172 (-4%) 2mo $175,000 $149 70
5835 Kenilwood Dr 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,275 (+5%) 2mo $108,000 $85 66
5602 Beldart St 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,173 (-4%) 3mo $160,000 $136 64
5707 Lyndhurst Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,329 (+9%) 1mo $200,000 $150 60
5639 Westover St 0.42mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,289 (+6%) 3mo $230,000 $178 59
5951 Willow Glen Dr 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,112 (-9%) 1mo $105,000 $94 57
7713 St Lo Rd 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,151 (-6%) 4mo $199,900 $174 49
6122 Beldart St 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (+8%) 3mo $199,000 $151 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.4%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-30,770
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-16,993
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77033

Home prices YoY
-16.3%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
345
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,848 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$241 /mo · $2,892/yr
Insurance
$69
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$-141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,027
Max offer price $140,005
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-48 -5% $-95 +0% $-141 +5% $-188 +10% $-235
Rent -10% $-287 -5% $-214 +0% $-141 +5% $-68 +10% $5
Rate -1.0pp $-58 -0.5pp $-100 base $-141 +0.5pp $-184 +1.0pp $-228

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5767 Belcrest St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1480 $1,790 $1.21 45d 1 0.17mi
5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1490 $2,250 $1.51 45d 1 0.40mi
5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX 4.0 1.0 1320 $1,700 $1.29 16d 1 0.50mi
5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1441 $1,750 $1.21 1d 1 0.56mi
5407 Thrush Dr Houston, TX 4.0 1.0 1407 $1,495 $1.06 15d 1 0.68mi
9509 Merle St Unit 9509A Houston, TX 4.0 2.5 1404 $1,500 $1.07 45d 1 0.81mi
5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,185 $1.36 45d 1 0.82mi
5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1300 $1,850 $1.42 26d 1 0.90mi
5036 Mallow St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1472 $2,050 $1.39 45d 1 0.93mi
5954 Doolittle Blvd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1371 $1,575 $1.15 45d 1 0.98mi
7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 996 $1,295 $1.30 45d 1 1.06mi
6419 Belarbor St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1240 $1,425 $1.15 45d 1 1.08mi
4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 45d 1 1.19mi
5408 Groveton St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1472 $1,983 $1.35 1d 1 1.23mi
4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,650 $1.42 45d 1 1.30mi
4723 Mallow St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1472 $1,850 $1.26 7d 1 1.34mi
8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1304 $2,250 $1.73 26d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-14
    listed $167,000 Active 790-char remark
  14. 2026-05-14
    historical
  15. 2026-05-09
    price $170,000
  16. 2026-03-24
    price $167,000
  17. 2026-03-05
    listed $173,000 Active
  18. 2019-02-04
    soldstatus
  19. 2018-11-19
    soldstatus Sold
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.

  20. 2018-11-19
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.

  21. 2018-11-19
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.

  22. 2018-11-14
    status Pending, Continue to Show
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.

  23. 2018-11-12
    listed $49,338 Active
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.

  24. 2018-02-27
    soldstatus
  25. 1996-11-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,892 · $241/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,020 · $252/mo
Expected delta
+$127/yr (+$11/mo · 4.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 95% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,179
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,892
− Insurance
−$5,944
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,774
− Management
−$1,774
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$4,248
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,020
After-tax cash flow
$-678/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,154
Household income
$38,071
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
1728.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 39%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.49%
Current HPI
212.6472
Rent YoY
▲ 5.45%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+234.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $165,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $167,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $170,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $167,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $173,000 HARMLS
  • 2019-02-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-11-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-11-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-11-19 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2018-11-14 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-11-12 Listed $49,338 HARMLS
  • 2018-02-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-11-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,892 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…