5818 Westover St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.95%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.
Key facts
- Hvac system replaced
- Convenient access
- New sewage line
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security:
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; One-story (first-floor living)
- Construction: Built in 1950; Unknown exterior construction materials; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (13 x 11); Three additional first-floor bedrooms, each about 11 x 11
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning (electric and gas); Has heating and cooling
- Interior features: 4 total rooms
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-141 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (15.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $140k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mading El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 339 students, 96% FRL); Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Sterling H S (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,421 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,848/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.40%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,628
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -13.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5879 Belneath St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-2%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $79 | 88 |
| 5842 Beldart St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,185 (-3%) | 1mo | $194,700 | $164 | 85 |
| 5831 Lyndhurst Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (-1%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $87 | 83 |
| 5822 Beldart St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-2%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $181 | 82 |
| 5962 Belcrest St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,172 (-4%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $149 | 70 |
| 5835 Kenilwood Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,275 (+5%) | 2mo | $108,000 | $85 | 66 |
| 5602 Beldart St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,173 (-4%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $136 | 64 |
| 5707 Lyndhurst Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,329 (+9%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $150 | 60 |
| 5639 Westover St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,289 (+6%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $178 | 59 |
| 5951 Willow Glen Dr | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (-9%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $94 | 57 |
| 7713 St Lo Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,151 (-6%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $174 | 49 |
| 6122 Beldart St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+8%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $151 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-30,770
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-16,993
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77033
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,848 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$241 /mo · $2,892/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $-141
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-48 | -5% $-95 | +0% $-141 | +5% $-188 | +10% $-235 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-287 | -5% $-214 | +0% $-141 | +5% $-68 | +10% $5 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-58 | -0.5pp $-100 | base $-141 | +0.5pp $-184 | +1.0pp $-228 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5767 Belcrest St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,790 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,250 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,700 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5818 Glenhurst Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5407 Thrush Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1407 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 9509 Merle St Unit 9509A Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,185 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 26d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5036 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1472 | $2,050 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5954 Doolittle Blvd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,575 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7918 Jutland Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 996 | $1,295 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6419 Belarbor St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,425 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4918 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5408 Groveton St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,983 | $1.35 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4810 Wilmington St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $1,650 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4723 Mallow St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 7d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8107 Calhoun Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1304 | $2,250 | $1.73 | 26d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$167,000 Active 790-char remark
-
2026-05-14historical
-
2026-05-09price $170,000
-
2026-03-24price $167,000
-
2026-03-05$173,000 Active
-
2019-02-04soldstatus
-
2018-11-19soldstatus Sold
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.
-
2018-11-19soldstatus
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.
-
2018-11-19soldstatus
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.
-
2018-11-14status Pending, Continue to Show
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.
-
2018-11-12$49,338 Active
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
Handyman Special. Investment Special. Property has good bones but is definitely a fixer upper. Property needs work including AC and roof.
-
2018-02-27soldstatus
-
1996-11-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,892 · $241/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,020 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- +$127/yr (+$11/mo · 4.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 95% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,179
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,892
- − Insurance
- −$5,944
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,774
- − Management
- −$1,774
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$4,248
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,020
- After-tax cash flow
- $-678/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,154
- Household income
- $38,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1728.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 212.6472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+234.4% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $165,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $167,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $170,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $167,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $173,000 HARMLS
- 2019-02-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-11-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-11-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-11-19 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2018-11-14 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-11-12 Listed $49,338 HARMLS
- 2018-02-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1996-11-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,892 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…