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1520 Martin Luther King Jr Ave
B+ Composite 75.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

1520 Martin Luther King Jr Ave · Ozark, AL 36360
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,552 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1980 0.45 ac lot $39/sqft · 42% below area Est $104k · 42% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home situated on nearly half an acre in Ozark, offering a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking for a project. The property is in need of major TLC, with some work already started, providing a head start for renovations. With solid potential and ample space, this home could be transformed into a great investment or personal residence. Being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • Built 1980
  • Listed 55 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 4.3% in Ozark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#224 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ozark City (town): math 11% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #99 of 129 in AL (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,103 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
16.62%
Cash-on-cash
36.90%
DSCR
2.64
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$104,116
List price
$59,900
Delta
-42.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.8%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$23,169
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
39.8%
Equity multiple
4.73×
Total profit
$62,591
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36360

Home prices YoY
-6.9%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,201 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,132/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$516

Break-even live

Break-even rent $549
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $550 -5% $533 +0% $516 +5% $499 +10% $482
Rent -10% $421 -5% $468 +0% $516 +5% $563 +10% $611
Rate -1.0pp $546 -0.5pp $531 base $516 +0.5pp $500 +1.0pp $484

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home situated on nearly half an acre in Ozark, offering a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking for a project. The property is in need of major TLC, with some work already started, providing a head start for renovations. With solid potential and ample space, this home could be transformed into a great investment or personal residence. Being sold as-is.

  2. 2026-04-17
    price $59,900 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home situated on nearly half an acre in Ozark, offering a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking for a project. The property is in need of major TLC, with some work already started, providing a head start for renovations. With solid potential and ample space, this home could be transformed into a great investment or personal residence. Being sold as-is.

  3. 2026-03-20
    listed $65,000 Active 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home situated on nearly half an acre in Ozark, offering a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking for a project. The property is in need of major TLC, with some work already started, providing a head start for renovations. With solid potential and ample space, this home could be transformed into a great investment or personal residence. Being sold as-is.

  4. 2022-06-16
    price $795

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,132 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,132 · $94/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,417
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$1,132
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,153
− Management
−$1,153
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$5,581
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,339
After-tax cash flow
$4,849/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ozark City
NCES district ID
0102640
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$39,155
Composite
19.67/100
National rank
#8733
State rank
#99 of 129 in AL

Livability — Ozark

Score
62/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#16855

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ozark, AL
City population
19,461
Population (ZIP)
19,461

Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,805 people
By 2030
45,176 · -3.5%
By 2040
41,523 · -11.3%
By 2050
37,575 · -19.7%
By 2075
28,931 · -38.2%
By 2100
22,172 · -52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dale

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -14.80%
Current HPI
198.6765
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending SAMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $59,900 SAMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $65,000 SAMLS
  • 2022-06-16 Price Changed $795 RENT.

Property tax history

+11.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,132 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…