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806 W Broadway Blvd
D Composite 40.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.6/15.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

806 W Broadway Blvd · Johnston City, IL 62951
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,416 sqft · SingleFamily · 72 Days on market
Built 1976 0.41 ac lot $92/sqft · 13% above area Est $115k · 13% over ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 806 W Broadway Blvd in Johnston City—a nice 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering space, comfort, and a layout designed for everyday living. Sitting on two lots, this property gives you rare in-town space for entertaining, pets, gardening, or future possibilities. Inside, you’ll find an open living, dining, and kitchen area that creates a bright, welcoming feel and makes gatherings easy. Just off the main living space is a sunroom overlooking the backyard, perfect for relaxing, hobbies, a play area, or enjoying natural light year-round. The attached 2-car garage adds convenience and storage, while the additional lot expands your options for outdoor living or future use. Located in the Johnston City School District, you’re just minutes from local shopping, dining, and quick access to Marion and I-57, making commuting simple while still enjoying small-town living. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for extra space in town, this home checks the boxes. Schedule your private showing today and see all this Johnston City property has to offer!

Key facts

  • Two lots
  • 0.41 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

TWO LOTSSUNROOM OVERLOOKING BACKYARDATTACHED 2 CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (9.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#670 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Johnston City CUSD 1 (town): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #556 of 620 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,048 (9.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.67%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$114,802
List price
$129,900
Delta
13.15%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
905 Marilyn Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,460 (+3%) 1mo $187,900 $129 78
404 W 9th St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,431 (+1%) 7mo $165,800 $116 74
805 W 9th St 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,546 (+9%) 9mo $50,000 $32 72
1304 Hazel St St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,460 (+3%) 6mo $190,000 $130 67
714 W 5th St 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,250 (-12%) 1mo $130,000 $104 66
605 Follis Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-5%) 5mo $164,000 $122 66
1200 Joy Ln 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+6%) 9mo $275,000 $183 60
403 W 8th St 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,560 (+10%) 7mo $210,000 $135 56
1202 Joy Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,607 (+14%) 8mo $275,000 $171 53
304 W 10th St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,216 (-14%) 7mo $150,000 $123 48
1402 Trout Ave 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,222 (-14%) 11mo $120,000 $98 40
110 W 7th St 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,221 (-14%) 9mo $64,500 $53 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-12,079
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$886
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62951

Home prices YoY
-25.8%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,170 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $572/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $991
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $129,900 Under Contract 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Under Contract 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Under Contract 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Under Contract 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Under Contract 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,900 Under Contract 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Under Contract 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Under Contract 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Under Contract 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Under Contract 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $129,900 Under Contract 60 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,900 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 56 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 55 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 54 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 53 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,900 Active 52 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    price $129,900 1109-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1109 chars)

    Welcome to 806 W Broadway Blvd in Johnston City—a nice 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering space, comfort, and a layout designed for everyday living. Sitting on two lots, this property gives you rare in-town space for entertaining, pets, gardening, or future possibilities. Inside, you’ll find an open living, dining, and kitchen area that creates a bright, welcoming feel and makes gatherings easy. Just off the main living space is a sunroom overlooking the backyard, perfect for relaxing, hobbies, a play area, or enjoying natural light year-round. The attached 2-car garage adds convenience and storage, while the additional lot expands your options for outdoor living or future use. Located in the Johnston City School District, you’re just minutes from local shopping, dining, and quick access to Marion and I-57, making commuting simple while still enjoying small-town living. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for extra space in town, this home checks the boxes. Schedule your private showing today and see all this Johnston City property has to offer!

  19. 2026-04-21
    price $134,900 1109-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1109 chars)

    Welcome to 806 W Broadway Blvd in Johnston City—a nice 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering space, comfort, and a layout designed for everyday living. Sitting on two lots, this property gives you rare in-town space for entertaining, pets, gardening, or future possibilities. Inside, you’ll find an open living, dining, and kitchen area that creates a bright, welcoming feel and makes gatherings easy. Just off the main living space is a sunroom overlooking the backyard, perfect for relaxing, hobbies, a play area, or enjoying natural light year-round. The attached 2-car garage adds convenience and storage, while the additional lot expands your options for outdoor living or future use. Located in the Johnston City School District, you’re just minutes from local shopping, dining, and quick access to Marion and I-57, making commuting simple while still enjoying small-town living. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for extra space in town, this home checks the boxes. Schedule your private showing today and see all this Johnston City property has to offer!

  20. 2026-04-07
    listed $139,900 Active 1109-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1109 chars)

    Welcome to 806 W Broadway Blvd in Johnston City—a nice 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering space, comfort, and a layout designed for everyday living. Sitting on two lots, this property gives you rare in-town space for entertaining, pets, gardening, or future possibilities. Inside, you’ll find an open living, dining, and kitchen area that creates a bright, welcoming feel and makes gatherings easy. Just off the main living space is a sunroom overlooking the backyard, perfect for relaxing, hobbies, a play area, or enjoying natural light year-round. The attached 2-car garage adds convenience and storage, while the additional lot expands your options for outdoor living or future use. Located in the Johnston City School District, you’re just minutes from local shopping, dining, and quick access to Marion and I-57, making commuting simple while still enjoying small-town living. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for extra space in town, this home checks the boxes. Schedule your private showing today and see all this Johnston City property has to offer!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$572 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,760 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$1,188/yr (+$99/mo · 207.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,046
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$572
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,124
− Management
−$1,124
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$478
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$115
After-tax cash flow
$1,815/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnston City CUSD 1
NCES district ID
1720550
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,813
Composite
10.81/100
National rank
#9765
State rank
#556 of 620 in IL

Livability — Johnston City

Score
64/100
State rank
#670
US rank
#13707

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnston City, IL
City population
5,381
Population (ZIP)
5,381

Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,553 people
By 2030
70,090 · +0.8%
By 2040
70,345 · +1.1%
By 2050
69,394 · -0.2%
By 2075
63,590 · -8.6%
By 2100
51,154 · -26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% English 2%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Williamson

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.8) · D 30.0% · R 68.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-24.0pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -38.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.8 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+41.2 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+14.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.65%
Current HPI
111.1728
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $129,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $134,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $139,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $572 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…