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115 Victory St
B- Composite 67.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

115 Victory St · Oak Hill, WV 25901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,060 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1940

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bed 1 bath home This home is in need of extensive repair! Would be a great flip or rental home. Right behind advance autoparts in oak Hill, very close to everything! Nice neighborhood Has a nice backyard and nice paved driveway! Asking $35,000 obo! Can do rent to own with $5,000 down! The address is 115 victory Street oak Hill wv

Key facts

  • Backyard
  • Paved driveway
  • Nice neighborhood

Tags

BACKYARDPAVED DRIVEWAYNICE NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $584 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#181 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Fayette County Schools (suburban): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #51 of 55 in WV (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Oak Hill Middle School (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #104 of 109 statewide, top 96%, 656 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $34,475 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.96%
Cap rate
26.33%
Cash-on-cash
71.56%
DSCR
4.18
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,460
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
226 Ridgewood Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,014 (-4%) 2mo $125,000 $123 76
503 Hidden Valley Dr 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-2%) 11mo $95,000 $91 69
229 Center St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,016 (-4%) 8mo $175,000 $172 65
225 Ridgewood Ave 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,064 (+0%) 17mo $190,000 $179 62
112 Butler St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,078 (+2%) 4mo $75,000 $70 62
6 Coleman Cir 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-6%) 1mo $169,000 $169 59
110 Huff St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,060 (0%) 19mo $47,000 $44 52
203 Highlawn Park Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-9%) 11mo $135,000 $141 48
601 25th St 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,104 (+4%) 22mo $220,000 $199 46
1018 Elizabeth St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,152 (+9%) 18mo $162,000 $141 42
233 W Martin Ave 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,120 (+6%) 20mo $170,000 $152 39
101 White St 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,024 (-3%) 20mo $50,000 $49 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.2%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$31,560
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
75.2%
Equity multiple
8.70×
Total profit
$75,451
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25901

Home prices YoY
-16.7%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,035 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $419/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$584

Break-even live

Break-even rent $295
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $604 -5% $594 +0% $584 +5% $574 +10% $565
Rent -10% $503 -5% $544 +0% $584 +5% $625 +10% $666
Rate -1.0pp $602 -0.5pp $593 base $584 +0.5pp $575 +1.0pp $566

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $35,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$419 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$419 · $35/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,417
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$419
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$993
− Management
−$993
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$6,858
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,646
After-tax cash flow
$5,367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayette County Schools
NCES district ID
5400300
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$35,293
Composite
19.77/100
National rank
#8706
State rank
#51 of 55 in WV

Livability — Oak Hill

Score
62/100
State rank
#181
US rank
#16601

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oak Hill, WV
City population
260
Population (ZIP)
10,225

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,745 people
By 2030
39,758 · -4.8%
By 2040
35,751 · -14.4%
By 2050
32,223 · -22.8%
By 2075
24,307 · -41.8%
By 2100
16,671 · -60.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Black 6% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.1% · R 69.8% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-39.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -41.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+2.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.08%
Current HPI
190.177
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $35,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $419 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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