7964 Lavergne Ave · Burbank, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
DON'T MISS OUT ON THIS BEAUTIFUL HOME IN BURBANK!!! This completely remodeled 2 story home features 4 bedrooms with a large master bedroom on main level. Spacious open layout, vaulted ceiling, recessed lighting, quartz countertops & hardwood floors throughout, large formal dining room/bonus room, beautiful staircase leading to large loft area with balcony. Huge backyard with concrete patio, perfect for entertaining! New roof, furnace, central air & water heater. THIS HOME IS MOVE IN READY!!!
Key facts
- Private driveway
- Large backyard
- Pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $384k (4.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $384k (4.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.3% in Burbank — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#132 in IL, #2,422 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Reavis Twp Hsd 220 (suburban): math 18% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #420 of 620 in IL (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Richard Byrd Elementary School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,627 of 2,056 statewide, top 81%, 230 students, 0% FRL); Liberty Junior High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #517 of 665 statewide, top 79%, 1,190 students, 0% FRL); Reavis High School (math 18% / reading 21%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 1,986 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $265k; list at $400k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.97%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $395,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7964 Lavergne Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,978 (0%) | 0mo | $410,000 | $207 | 98 |
| 7755 Lockwood Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,852 (-6%) | 3mo | $435,000 | $235 | 61 |
| 7746 S Kolmar Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 2,080 (+5%) | 3mo | $377,500 | $181 | 59 |
| 8001 S Kilpatrick Ave | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 | 2,121 (+7%) | 5mo | $357,000 | $168 | 58 |
| 7929 S Kilbourn Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,996 (+1%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $158 | 58 |
| 7624 Lockwood Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 1,850 (-6%) | 1mo | $369,900 | $200 | 56 |
| 8103 Long Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,784 (-10%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $188 | 54 |
| 7807 S Kenneth Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (-8%) | 1mo | $349,900 | $191 | 51 |
| 8210 Linder Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,807 (-9%) | 1mo | $387,000 | $214 | 49 |
| 8118 S Kolmar Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,745 (-12%) | 1mo | $390,000 | $223 | 46 |
| 7707 Linder Ave | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,064 (+4%) | 8mo | $382,500 | $185 | 45 |
| 5510 W 81st Pl | 0.70mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 1,917 (-3%) | 6mo | $400,000 | $209 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-52,963
- Equity at exit
- $59,626
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-30,567
- Equity at exit
- $34,576
Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60459
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,841 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,097
- Tax from tax record
- −$587 /mo · $7,038/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$807
- Net cashflow
- $184
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $410 | -5% $297 | +0% $184 | +5% $71 | +10% $-42 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-119 | -5% $32 | +0% $184 | +5% $336 | +10% $488 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $386 | -0.5pp $286 | base $184 | +0.5pp $80 | +1.0pp $-25 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,975
- Closing costs
- $11,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5330 W 86th St Burbank, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $4,100 | $1.78 | 0d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5212 Avery Pl Unit 1545958P Oak Lawn, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2195 | $3,548 | $1.62 | 12d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-04-20historical Contingent - No Showings
-
2026-03-29price $399,900
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2026-03-16$429,900 Active
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2019-12-31soldstatus $265,000
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2019-12-18soldstatus $265,000 Closed Sale 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT ON THIS BEAUTIFUL HOME IN BURBANK!!! This completely remodeled 2 story home features 4 bedrooms with a large master bedroom on main level. Spacious open layout, vaulted ceiling, recessed lighting, quartz countertops & hardwood floors throughout, large formal dining room/bonus room, beautiful staircase leading to large loft area with balcony. Huge backyard with concrete patio, perfect for entertaining! New roof, furnace, central air & water heater. THIS HOME IS MOVE IN READY!!!
-
2019-10-08historical Contingent 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT ON THIS BEAUTIFUL HOME IN BURBANK!!! This completely remodeled 2 story home features 4 bedrooms with a large master bedroom on main level. Spacious open layout, vaulted ceiling, recessed lighting, quartz countertops & hardwood floors throughout, large formal dining room/bonus room, beautiful staircase leading to large loft area with balcony. Huge backyard with concrete patio, perfect for entertaining! New roof, furnace, central air & water heater. THIS HOME IS MOVE IN READY!!!
-
2019-10-02$279,900 New 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
DON'T MISS OUT ON THIS BEAUTIFUL HOME IN BURBANK!!! This completely remodeled 2 story home features 4 bedrooms with a large master bedroom on main level. Spacious open layout, vaulted ceiling, recessed lighting, quartz countertops & hardwood floors throughout, large formal dining room/bonus room, beautiful staircase leading to large loft area with balcony. Huge backyard with concrete patio, perfect for entertaining! New roof, furnace, central air & water heater. THIS HOME IS MOVE IN READY!!!
-
2019-10-01historical
-
2019-09-03New
-
2019-08-27historical Contingent
-
2019-08-23historical
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2019-07-15New
-
2018-09-27soldstatus $125,000 Closed Sale
-
2018-09-05status Pending
-
2018-08-20status Reactivated
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2018-08-18status Reactivated
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2018-08-17$119,000 New
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2018-08-17historical
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2018-08-17historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,038 · $587/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,058 · $672/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,020/yr (+$85/mo · 14.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,092
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,401
- − Property taxes
- −$7,038
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,687
- − Management
- −$3,687
- − Depreciation
- −$11,633
- Taxable loss
- −$4,355
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,045
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,255/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Reavis Twp Hsd 220
- NCES district ID
- 1733270
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,732
- Composite
- 17.94/100
- National rank
- #8994
- State rank
- #420 of 620 in IL
Livability — Burbank
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #2422
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burbank, IL
- City population
- 28,822
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,822
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 44% Two or more races 21% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Armenian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 39% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Arabic 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.56%
- Current HPI
- 223.2294
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+236.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $399,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Listed $429,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-12-31 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2019-12-18 Sold (MLS) $265,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-08 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-02 Listed $279,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-03 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-27 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-23 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-15 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-27 Sold (MLS) $125,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-05 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-20 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-18 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-17 Listed $119,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2023): $7,038 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…