17740 Chilkat Ct · Anchorage, AK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Cash flow +4.8/30.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$395,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated on a large lot in a quiet, desirable Eagle River neighborhood, this home features 1,144 SF on the main floor plus an additional 1,144 SF partially finished basement. Includes a 2-car garage, RV parking, and large storage shed. The backyard showcases a unique Swiss Family Robinson-style tree house surrounded by mature trees. Conveniently located within walking distance to dwntwn Eagle rive
Key facts
- Rv parking
- Large lot
- Storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Not attached (detached); Built in 1975
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Shingle (asphalt) roof; Paved road access
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Private yard; Landscaping; Outdoor storage; View
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Trash compactor; Laminate counters; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 total bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Trash compactor; Basement; CO detector(s); Smoke detector(s); Family room; Fireplace; Window coverings; Laminate counters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $395k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-957 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (42.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (46.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (46.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Homestead Elementary (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #43 of 156 statewide, top 32%, 306 students, 17% FRL); Gruening Middle School (math 42% / reading 60%, grade C, #5 of 36 statewide, top 11%, 589 students, 17% FRL); Chugiak High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #17 of 61 statewide, top 32%, 905 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools average 18% FRL vs 38% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.53% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.39%
- DSCR
- 0.54
- GRM
- 15.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $465,233
- List price
- $395,000
- Delta
- -15.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17340 Meadow Creek Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,108 (-3%) | 4mo | $355,000 | $320 | 78 |
| 10141 Colville St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-1%) | 6mo | $359,900 | $319 | 75 |
| 17527 Baronoff Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,284 (+12%) | 2mo | $349,000 | $272 | 72 |
| 17206 Foothill Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (0%) | 10mo | $359,900 | $315 | 72 |
| 18645 Second St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+3%) | 1mo | $389,900 | $332 | 65 |
| 17415 Palos Verdes Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-13%) | 4mo | $367,900 | $368 | 64 |
| 18706 Second St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (-4%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $353 | 62 |
| 10222 Chandalar St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 8mo | $370,000 | $367 | 60 |
| 18633 First St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (-4%) | 6mo | $398,880 | $365 | 57 |
| 18727 First St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,124 (-2%) | 10mo | $380,000 | $338 | 57 |
| 18114 N Parkview Terrace Loop | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-10%) | 9mo | $355,000 | $344 | 44 |
| 18306 Gavin Cir | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (+14%) | 13mo | $390,000 | $299 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-117,459
- Equity at exit
- $58,896
- IRR
- -23.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.33×
- Total profit
- $-147,633
- Equity at exit
- $34,152
Cash invested: $110,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alaska
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99577
- Home prices YoY
- -12.5%
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 15.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,105 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,071
- Tax from tax record
- −$385 /mo · $4,616/yr
- Insurance
- −$165
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$442
- Net cashflow
- $-957
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-734 | -5% $-846 | +0% $-957 | +5% $-1,069 | +10% $-1,181 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,124 | -5% $-1,041 | +0% $-957 | +5% $-874 | +10% $-791 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-758 | -0.5pp $-857 | base $-957 | +0.5pp $-1,060 | +1.0pp $-1,164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,750
- Closing costs
- $11,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17423 Coronado St #7 Eagle River, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,395 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 17139 Coronado St Unit 3 Eagle River, AK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 17032 Easy St Eagle River, AK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,500 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 11527 Heritage Ct Apt 2 Eagle River, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 11712 Galloway Loop #30 Eagle River, AK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1471 | $2,350 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 12332 End St Eagle River, AK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,505 | $2.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 400-char remark
-
2026-05-14$395,000 Active 400-char remark
-
2022-02-28soldstatus
-
2022-01-08status Pending
-
2022-01-04status Active
-
2021-12-18status Pending
-
2021-12-17$330,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,616 · $385/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,658 · $388/mo
- Expected delta
- +$42/yr (+$4/mo · 0.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,265
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,126
- − Property taxes
- −$4,616
- − Insurance
- −$1,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,021
- − Management
- −$2,021
- − Depreciation
- −$11,491
- Taxable loss
- −$18,986
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,557
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,932/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anchorage School District
- NCES district ID
- 0200180
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,447
- Composite
- 37.0/100
- National rank
- #4523
- State rank
- #6 of 21 in AK
Livability — Anchorage
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anchorage, AK
- County
- Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
- City population
- 218,117
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,477
- Household income
- $136,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 315.0
Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,993 people
- By 2030
- 321,771 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 335,493 · +6.5%
- By 2050
- 352,799 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 414,771 · +31.7%
- By 2100
- 474,485 · +50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 3% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
- 2016→2024 swing
- +27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.27%
- Current HPI
- 254.3511
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.45%
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+19.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — AKMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $395,000 AKMLS
- 2022-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-01-08 Pending — AKMLS
- 2022-01-04 Relisted — AKMLS
- 2021-12-18 Pending — AKMLS
- 2021-12-17 Listed $330,000 AKMLS
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,616 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…