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17740 Chilkat Ct
F Composite 33.68
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +4.8/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$395,000

17740 Chilkat Ct · Anchorage, AK 99577
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1975 0.27 ac lot $345/sqft · 70% above area Est $465k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Situated on a large lot in a quiet, desirable Eagle River neighborhood, this home features 1,144 SF on the main floor plus an additional 1,144 SF partially finished basement. Includes a 2-car garage, RV parking, and large storage shed. The backyard showcases a unique Swiss Family Robinson-style tree house surrounded by mature trees. Conveniently located within walking distance to dwntwn Eagle rive

Key facts

  • Rv parking
  • Large lot
  • Storage shed

Tags

LARGE LOTEAGLE RIVER NEIGHBORHOODRV PARKINGSTORAGE SHEDTREE HOUSEMATURE TREES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Not attached (detached); Built in 1975
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Shingle (asphalt) roof; Paved road access
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Private yard; Landscaping; Outdoor storage; View

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Trash compactor; Laminate counters; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 total bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Trash compactor; Basement; CO detector(s); Smoke detector(s); Family room; Fireplace; Window coverings; Laminate counters

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $395k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-957 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (42.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (46.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $211k (46.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Homestead Elementary (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #43 of 156 statewide, top 32%, 306 students, 17% FRL); Gruening Middle School (math 42% / reading 60%, grade C, #5 of 36 statewide, top 11%, 589 students, 17% FRL); Chugiak High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #17 of 61 statewide, top 32%, 905 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools average 18% FRL vs 38% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $210,538 (46.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.53%
Cap rate
3.38%
Cash-on-cash
-10.39%
DSCR
0.54
GRM
15.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$465,233
List price
$395,000
Delta
-15.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17340 Meadow Creek Dr 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,108 (-3%) 4mo $355,000 $320 78
10141 Colville St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,128 (-1%) 6mo $359,900 $319 75
17527 Baronoff Ave 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,284 (+12%) 2mo $349,000 $272 72
17206 Foothill Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,144 (0%) 10mo $359,900 $315 72
18645 Second St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,176 (+3%) 1mo $389,900 $332 65
17415 Palos Verdes Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-13%) 4mo $367,900 $368 64
18706 Second St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,092 (-4%) 1mo $385,000 $353 62
10222 Chandalar St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-12%) 8mo $370,000 $367 60
18633 First St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,092 (-4%) 6mo $398,880 $365 57
18727 First St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,124 (-2%) 10mo $380,000 $338 57
18114 N Parkview Terrace Loop 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,032 (-10%) 9mo $355,000 $344 44
18306 Gavin Cir 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,304 (+14%) 13mo $390,000 $299 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-31.6%
Equity multiple
-0.06×
Total profit
$-117,459
Equity at exit
$58,896
10-year hold
IRR
-23.6%
Equity multiple
-0.33×
Total profit
$-147,633
Equity at exit
$34,152

Cash invested: $110,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alaska
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; security deposits capped; courts moderate-paced.

ZIP-level market 99577

Home prices YoY
-12.5%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
242
Price-to-rent
15.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,105 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,071
Tax from tax record
$385 /mo · $4,616/yr
Insurance
$165
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$442
Net cashflow
$-957

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,317
Max offer price $225,870
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-734 -5% $-846 +0% $-957 +5% $-1,069 +10% $-1,181
Rent -10% $-1,124 -5% $-1,041 +0% $-957 +5% $-874 +10% $-791
Rate -1.0pp $-758 -0.5pp $-857 base $-957 +0.5pp $-1,060 +1.0pp $-1,164

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,750
Closing costs
$11,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17423 Coronado St #7 Eagle River, AK 2.0 1.0 805 $1,395 $1.73 24d 1 0.75mi
17139 Coronado St Unit 3 Eagle River, AK 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 45d 1 0.82mi
17032 Easy St Eagle River, AK 1.0–2.0 1.0 884 $1,500 $1.70 44d 1 0.93mi
11527 Heritage Ct Apt 2 Eagle River, AK 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 44d 1 1.12mi
11712 Galloway Loop #30 Eagle River, AK 3.0 2.5 1471 $2,350 $1.60 21d 1 1.20mi
12332 End St Eagle River, AK 2.0 1.0 730 $1,505 $2.06 14d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 400-char remark
  2. 2026-05-14
    listed $395,000 Active 400-char remark
  3. 2022-02-28
    soldstatus
  4. 2022-01-08
    status Pending
  5. 2022-01-04
    status Active
  6. 2021-12-18
    status Pending
  7. 2021-12-17
    listed $330,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,616 · $385/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,658 · $388/mo
Expected delta
+$42/yr (+$4/mo · 0.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,265
− Mortgage interest
−$22,126
− Property taxes
−$4,616
− Insurance
−$1,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,021
− Management
−$2,021
− Depreciation
−$11,491
Taxable loss
−$18,986
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,557
After-tax cash flow
$-6,932/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anchorage School District
NCES district ID
0200180
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$76,447
Composite
37.0/100
National rank
#4523
State rank
#6 of 21 in AK

Livability — Anchorage

Score
78/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2553

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anchorage, AK
County
Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
City population
218,117
Metro
Anchorage, AK
Population (ZIP)
28,477
Household income
$136,900
Rent vs Own
19.7% rent · 80.3% own
Severe rent burden
315.0

Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,993 people
By 2030
321,771 · +2.2%
By 2040
335,493 · +6.5%
By 2050
352,799 · +12.0%
By 2075
414,771 · +31.7%
By 2100
474,485 · +50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 3% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage

2024 margin
D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
2016→2024 swing
+27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.27%
Current HPI
254.3511
Rent YoY
▲ 6.45%
Metro
Anchorage, AK
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+19.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending AKMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $395,000 AKMLS
  • 2022-02-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-01-08 Pending AKMLS
  • 2022-01-04 Relisted AKMLS
  • 2021-12-18 Pending AKMLS
  • 2021-12-17 Listed $330,000 AKMLS

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,616 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…