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C Composite 59.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

None · Fort Walton Beach, FL 32548
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1954 7,405 sqft lot Est $205k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Needs TOTAL renovation. Sold 'as is' Appliances and inside debris has been removed. Yard has been partially cleared. The lot is narrow but very long. Rear access from back of lot. Location is super close to the beach and downtown. Build new or rebuild. Lots of potential for this location!

Key facts

  • Lots of potential
  • Build new
  • Rear access

Tags

REAR ACCESSCLOSE TO BEACHCLOSE TO DOWNTOWNPARTIALLY CLEARED YARDBUILD NEWLOTS OF POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Subdivision: OCEAN CITY

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Florida Cottage style; Single-story
  • Construction: Built in 1954
  • Exterior features: Private yard with lawn pump; Yard building; Covered patio; Chain link fencing; Level lot; City street frontage; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: First-floor kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the first floor)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Washer/dryer hookup; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (0.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (0.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 0.9% in Fort Walton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#111 in FL, #1,628 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Elliott Point Elementary School (math 38% / reading 51%, grade F, #1,288 of 2,144 statewide, top 62%, 597 students, 70% FRL); Fort Walton Beach High School (math 54% / reading 58%, grade C, #131 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 1,620 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 36% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 341 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $49k; list at $160k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,919 (0.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.76%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,440
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
105 Magnolia Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (0%) 0mo $185,000 $193 95
52 NE Laurie Dr 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,000 (+4%) 5mo $425,000 $425 52
348 NE Gardner Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,052 (+10%) 3mo $225,000 $214 51
40 NE Laurie Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,012 (+5%) 12mo $289,900 $286 47
79 NE Laurie Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,032 (+8%) 10mo $259,000 $251 41
48 NE Laurie Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,102 (+15%) 9mo $200,000 $181 31
21 SE Birch St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+14%) 20mo $137,610 $126 18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-17,222
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-10,809
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32548

Home prices YoY
-31.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
341
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,589 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,063/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,364
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 Magnolia Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,700 $1.54 13d 1 0.02mi
128 Elm Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 21d 1 0.11mi
208 Oak St SE Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1008 $1,650 $1.64 21d 1 0.15mi
36 Alder Ave SE #3 Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1061 $1,800 $1.70 43d 1 0.18mi
133 Alder Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1031 $1,500 $1.45 43d 1 0.18mi
111 Chicago Ave SE Unit 1 Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $1,025 $1.86 21d 1 0.19mi
159 Scottwood Dr SE Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,400 $1.27 43d 1 0.22mi
102 Chicago Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,200 $2.00 43d 1 0.24mi
102 Chicago Ave SE Unit 102-1 Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $1,150 $1.77 13d 1 0.24mi
308 Miracle Strip Pkwy SE Unit 1 Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 625 $1,450 $2.32 43d 1 0.46mi
22 Laurie Dr NE Fort Walton Beach, FL 3.0 1.5 1064 $1,800 $1.69 21d 1 0.47mi
165 Brooks St SE Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,850 $2.06 13d 1 0.54mi
330 Bluefish Dr #103 Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 43d 1 0.76mi
101 Church Ave SE Unit 105 Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 875 $1,397 $1.60 43d 1 0.77mi
101 Church Ave SE Unit 204 Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 945 $1,676 $1.77 43d 1 0.77mi
103 Church Ave SE Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 21d 1 0.78mi
115 Hughes St NE Unit D2 Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1066 $1,900 $1.78 21d 1 0.94mi
140 Opp Blvd NE Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 896 $1,750 $1.95 43d 1 1.00mi
146 Alabama Ave NW Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,250 $1.67 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    listed $160,000 Active
  2. 2011-04-01
    soldstatus $49,000
  3. 2011-04-01
    soldstatus $49,000
  4. 2010-10-25
    listed $79,000
  5. 2010-10-25
    listed $79,000
  6. 2007-08-14
    listed $145,900
  7. 2005-07-18
    soldstatus $139,900
  8. 2005-07-15
    soldstatus $139,900
  9. 2005-07-15
    soldstatus $139,900
  10. 2005-06-11
    listed $139,900
  11. 2005-06-11
    listed $139,900
  12. 2004-05-05
    historical
  13. 2004-04-20
    listed $89,900
  14. 2004-04-20
    listed $89,900
  15. 2000-11-02
    soldstatus $59,000
  16. 2000-10-31
    soldstatus $59,000
  17. 2000-09-13
    listed $62,900
  18. 1977-01-01
    soldstatus $5,939

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,063 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,063 · $172/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,070
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$2,063
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,526
− Management
−$1,526
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$461
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$111
After-tax cash flow
$2,244/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okaloosa
NCES district ID
1201380
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,601
Composite
51.62/100
National rank
#1705
State rank
#12 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Walton Beach

Score
80/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#1628

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Walton Beach, FL
County
Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
City population
59,301
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,774
Household income
$65,342
Rent vs Own
42.0% rent · 58.0% own
Severe rent burden
889.0

Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
235,133 people
By 2030
253,483 · +7.8%
By 2040
289,537 · +23.1%
By 2050
322,954 · +37.3%
By 2075
399,624 · +70.0%
By 2100
425,311 · +80.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -123.88%
Current HPI
274.8418
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2594.1% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $160,000 ECAR
  • 2011-04-01 Sold (MLS) $49,000 ECAR
  • 2011-04-01 Sold (MLS) $49,000 NAMLS
  • 2010-10-25 Listed $79,000 ECAR
  • 2010-10-25 Listed $79,000 NAMLS
  • 2007-08-14 Listed $145,900 ECAR
  • 2005-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
  • 2005-07-15 Sold (MLS) $139,900 ECAR
  • 2005-07-15 Sold (MLS) $139,900 NAMLS
  • 2005-06-11 Listed $139,900 ECAR
  • 2005-06-11 Listed $139,900 NAMLS
  • 2004-05-05 Listing Removed NAMLS
  • 2004-04-20 Listed $89,900 NAMLS
  • 2004-04-20 Listed $89,900 ECAR
  • 2000-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 2000-10-31 Sold (MLS) $59,000 ECAR
  • 2000-09-13 Listed $62,900 ECAR
  • 1977-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $5,939 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,063 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…