8068 30th Ave N · St. Petersburg, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTOR ALERT in Jungle Terrace. This block construction home has 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms and a large Family room that is not included in the square footage. This home has been in the same family for 35 years and is now ready for it's new owners to give it a new life. The deep lot (50 x 135) gives you ample to room to renovate and still have a beautiful back yard, or build your dream home. A new electrical panel was installed in 2024. You are in a NON FLOOD ZONE here. This neighborhood is close to shopping and multiple parks and you are in the thick of things for the annual Green Thumb Fest. You will absolutely love the convenience of living here! CASH ONLY. If you have have a vision, do
Key facts
- Large family room
- Deep lot
- Non flood zone
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.16 acres (50 x 135); Living area about 1,030 sq ft; Building area about 2,020 sq ft
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: No association indicated; Association approval not required
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces west; Fixer condition
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Concrete road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Terrazzo; Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Family room; Inside utility
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (21.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $240k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 318 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.45%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $350,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3019 Park St N | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,131 (+10%) | 12mo | $385,000 | $340 | 69 |
| 8135 31st Ave N | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 932 (-10%) | 18mo | $310,000 | $333 | 58 |
| 7999 36th Ave N | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,075 (+4%) | 22mo | $379,999 | $353 | 56 |
| 8262 26th Ave N | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,126 (+9%) | 13mo | $310,000 | $275 | 54 |
| 8014 27th Ave N | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,155 (+12%) | 10mo | $369,000 | $319 | 52 |
| 2515 Park St N | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 919 (-11%) | 12mo | $339,000 | $369 | 51 |
| 7931 36th Ave N | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,124 (+9%) | 10mo | $390,000 | $347 | 48 |
| 8013 22nd Ave N | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (-5%) | 22mo | $445,000 | $456 | 47 |
| 3312 74th St N | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 964 (-6%) | 0mo | $340,000 | $353 | 47 |
| 8101 23rd Ave N | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-8%) | 18mo | $280,000 | $294 | 46 |
| 7804 39th Ter N Unit 7804G | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 885 (-14%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $158 | 32 |
| 7865 38th Pl N | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 885 (-14%) | 16mo | $140,000 | $158 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-50,015
- Equity at exit
- $45,476
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-62,853
- Equity at exit
- $26,371
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33710
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 318
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,396 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $755/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$503
- Net cashflow
- $103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $276 | -5% $190 | +0% $103 | +5% $17 | +10% $-69 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-86 | -5% $9 | +0% $103 | +5% $198 | +10% $293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $257 | -0.5pp $181 | base $103 | +0.5pp $24 | +1.0pp $-56 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8086 28th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $2,200 | $2.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2500 Park St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1022 | $2,700 | $2.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 8036 25th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,600 | $2.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3501 Boca Ciega Dr N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $3,400 | $2.97 | 5d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2413 Park St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $2,339 | $2.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3451 79th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $2,500 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2153 75th Way N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $3,500 | $2.48 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3855 39th Ave N St Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1790 Russell Dr N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $2,800 | $2.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7600 16th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1243 | $2,200 | $1.77 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3000 70th Ln N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,600 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7045 30th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,595 | $1.93 | 9d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4653 78th Ln N St Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $2,695 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 6908 Stones Throw Cir N #10208 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 730 | $1,900 | $2.60 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7401 13th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $3,100 | $2.12 | 5d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7401 13th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $3,100 | $2.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6960 20th Ave N #501 St Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,995 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6810 Stones Throw Cir N #13203 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 905 | $2,100 | $2.32 | 5d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1308 70th St N Unit 1308 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2871 67th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $2,500 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1699 68th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $2,288 | $2.95 | 3d | 43 | 1.37mi |
| 9071 47th Ave N St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4390 68th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,950 | $2.26 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5217 81st St N #22 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4930 72nd St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,950 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5287 81st St N #26 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 5d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4801 71st St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,900 | $2.62 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 4801 71st St N St Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,900 | $2.62 | 19d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 5357 81st St N #14 Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $1,550 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02status $305,000 Pending 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $305,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $305,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-08$330,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $755 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,532 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,776/yr (+$148/mo · 235.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,753
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$755
- − Insurance
- −$1,525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,300
- − Management
- −$2,300
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$4,085
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$980
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,222/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Petersburg
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Petersburg, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 249,151
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,796
- Household income
- $78,611
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 542.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -547.31%
- Current HPI
- 405.0731
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.48%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Listed $330,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $755 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…