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4331 Highland Park Dr
D Composite 41.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$19,900

4331 Highland Park Dr · Meridian, MS 39307
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,287 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1948 630 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special. This home will make a great home for a first time homeowner or great for investment property. Being Sold ''AS IS''

Key facts

  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located across from Highland Park; directions: Off 8th Street onto 39th Avenue, left on Highland Park Drive

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Metal roof; Storage structure on property

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $867 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#141 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Meridian Public Schools (town): math 13% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #109 of 130 in MS (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $19,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.39%
Cap rate
58.60%
Cash-on-cash
186.81%
DSCR
9.31
GRM
1.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$10,296
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1523 48th Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 1,167 (-9%) 2mo $25,000 $21 65
2010 39th Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 1,316 (+2%) 20mo $11,000 $8 64
3715 19th Ct 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,107 (-14%) 4mo $8,500 $8 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
10.34×
Total profit
$52,041
Equity at exit
$2,967
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
21.91×
Total profit
$116,533
Equity at exit
$1,721

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39307

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,272 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax est. 1.5%
$25 /mo · $298/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$867

Break-even live

Break-even rent $174
Max offer price $19,900
Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,975
Closing costs
$597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1426 50th Ave Meridian, MS 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,325 $0.83 43d 1 0.53mi
2619 17th St Meridian, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 43d 1 0.84mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $19,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 132-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $19,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,265
− Mortgage interest
−$1,115
− Property taxes
−$298
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,221
− Management
−$1,221
− Depreciation
−$579
Taxable income
$10,731
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,575
After-tax cash flow
$7,834/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Meridian Public Schools
NCES district ID
2802910
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,236
Composite
11.87/100
National rank
#9673
State rank
#109 of 130 in MS

Livability — Meridian

Score
64/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#14839

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Meridian, MS
City population
42,445
Population (ZIP)
15,636

Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,158 people
By 2030
72,770 · -3.2%
By 2040
67,309 · -10.4%
By 2050
61,797 · -17.8%
By 2075
49,790 · -33.8%
By 2100
39,797 · -47.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 26% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.34%
Current HPI
121.0078
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $19,900 EMR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…