736 E 305th St · Willowick, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to buy this cape cod style home built in 1958, located in Willowick, OH and sitting on a . 168 acre lot (49x150) with a detached garage. The interior has 864 sq. ft. with 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms plus a full basement.
Key facts
- 7,348 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1958
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes available (details withheld)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 car spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family property; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Construction: Built (year per assessor); Vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 49 x 150 feet
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air gas heating
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.4% in Willowick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#50 in OH, #706 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
- Willoughby-Eastlake City (suburban): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #434 of 656 in OH (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $863 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.93%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30404 Oakdale Rd | 0.17mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,123 (+2%) | 1mo | $248,500 | $221 | 80 |
| 518 E 305th St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,102 (-0%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $195 | 78 |
| 30424 Fern Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,014 (-8%) | 0mo | $201,000 | $198 | 77 |
| 30405 Vineyard Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-13%) | 1mo | $162,500 | $169 | 72 |
| 29306 Oakdale Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,116 (+1%) | 0mo | $222,900 | $200 | 71 |
| 30002 Barjode Rd | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,123 (+2%) | 2mo | $227,000 | $202 | 68 |
| 30545 Willow Ln | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (-2%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $167 | 67 |
| 29103 Barjode Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,116 (+1%) | 2mo | $188,000 | $168 | 65 |
| 882 Bayridge Blvd | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,192 (+8%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $210 | 61 |
| 29050 Edgewood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-5%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $200 | 58 |
| 30153 Truman Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 988 (-10%) | 1mo | $234,000 | $237 | 57 |
| 29070 W Willowick Dr | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (-8%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $217 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $5,136
- Equity at exit
- $18,608
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $46,724
- Equity at exit
- $10,790
Cash invested: $34,944 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44095
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,691 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$654
- Tax from tax record
- −$282 /mo · $3,384/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $347
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $418 | -5% $383 | +0% $347 | +5% $312 | +10% $277 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $214 | -5% $281 | +0% $347 | +5% $414 | +10% $481 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $410 | -0.5pp $379 | base $347 | +0.5pp $315 | +1.0pp $282 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,200
- Closing costs
- $3,744
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31621 N Marginal Dr Unit B Willowick, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 459 Clarmont Rd Willowick, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,875 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 679 Dickerson Rd Willowick, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 806 | $1,649 | $2.05 | 2d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 29103 Barjode Rd Willowick, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 20d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 29210 Green Dr Willowick, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 30446 Euclid Ave Wickliffe, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1044 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 30620 Euclid Ave Wickliffe, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 30050 Euclid Ave Unit A2 Wickliffe, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 29007 Foxboro St Willowick, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $1,550 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 360 E 326th St Willowick, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,447 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19status $124,800 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,800 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,800 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,800 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,800 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,800 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,800 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,800 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,800 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,800 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,800 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,800 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,800 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,800 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$124,800 Active
-
2005-09-14soldstatus $147,000
-
2005-07-04historical
-
2005-01-04$149,900
-
2004-12-23historical
-
2004-06-23$149,900
-
1998-04-08soldstatus $116,500
-
1998-03-09soldstatus $116,500
-
1998-01-27$114,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,384 · $282/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,384 · $282/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,291
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,991
- − Property taxes
- −$3,384
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,623
- − Management
- −$1,623
- − Depreciation
- −$3,631
- Taxable income
- $2,415
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$580
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,588/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Willoughby-Eastlake City
- NCES district ID
- 3904510
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,500
- Composite
- 42.96/100
- National rank
- #3110
- State rank
- #434 of 656 in OH
Livability — Willowick
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #706
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Willowick, OH
- County
- Lake County · 204,927 people
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,363
- Household income
- $71,543
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 590.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,022 people
- By 2030
- 228,151 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 221,018 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 212,754 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 200,309 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 183,315 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.78%
- Current HPI
- 171.8121
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+8.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $124,800 MLSNOW
- 2005-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-04 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2005-01-04 Listed $149,900 MLSNOW
- 2004-12-23 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2004-06-23 Listed $149,900 MLSNOW
- 1998-04-08 Sold (MLS) $116,500 MLSNOW
- 1998-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $116,500 Public Records
- 1998-01-27 Listed $114,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,384 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…