1600 NE 1st Ave #2017 · Miami, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$440,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience modern urban living in this spacious 1-bed, 1-bath residence at Canvas Condo, located in Miami’s vibrant Arts & Entertainment District. This unit features floor to ceiling impact windows, an open kitchen with Italian cabinetry, quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, plus a generous private balcony. The oversized bathroom includes a soaking tub and sleek, contemporary finishes. Canvas offers resort-style amenities: 3 pools, a full-service fitness center, spa, racquetball court, yoga garden, media room, business center, and 24/7 concierge. Unbeatable location—minutes from Wynwood, Design District, Downtown, and Miami Beach. Pet-friendly building with
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Private balcony
- Oversized bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with size limit (maximum 20 lbs)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes amenities, trash, and water; Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, playground, pool, elevators
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking, one covered space; One-car carport
- Security: Secured lobby; Security/high-impact doors
- Utilities: Water included in association fee; Electric service (electric heating and cooling); Sewer and trash service included in association fee
- Home design: Condominium in a high-rise building; 37 total stories; Entry on level 20
- Construction: Block construction; New construction
- Exterior features: Heated pool; Security/high-impact doors; Lobby secured
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Trash compactor
- Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Bedroom on main level; Walk-in closet(s); Elevator access
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $440k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-173/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $437k (0.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $440k).
- Recommended offer: $387k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 869 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,841/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 2260% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 432 days — a 12% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 15339% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 432 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.14%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.52% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-73,637
- Equity at exit
- $74,950
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-97,613
- Equity at exit
- $54,290
Cash invested: $123,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33132
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 869
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,841 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,307
- Tax from tax record
- −$563 /mo · $6,760/yr
- Insurance
- −$183
- HOA
- −$785
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,017
- Net cashflow
- $-14
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $110,000
- Closing costs
- $13,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2900 Biscayne Blvd Miami, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1260 | $8,110 | $6.44 | 2d | 13 | 0.96mi |
| 555 NE 34th St Miami, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.5–4.0 | 2653 | $3,506 | $1.32 | 2d | 19 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $785 · $9,420/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymdoorman
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $440,000 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $440,000 Active 431 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $440,000 Active 430 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $440,000 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $440,000 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $440,000 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $440,000 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $440,000 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $440,000 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $440,000 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $440,000 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $440,000 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $440,000 Active 414 DOM
-
2025-09-30historical $2,800
-
2025-08-28price $2,800
-
2025-07-08$2,850
-
2025-06-19price $440,000
-
2025-04-08$460,000 Active
-
2023-07-17historical $2,550
-
2023-07-11price $2,550
-
2023-06-01historical
-
2023-05-22$420,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,760 · $563/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,760 · $563/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $58,096
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,647
- − Property taxes
- −$6,760
- − Insurance
- −$2,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,648
- − Management
- −$4,648
- − HOA
- −$9,420
- − Depreciation
- −$12,800
- Taxable loss
- −$7,026
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,686
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #2724
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 827,308
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,253
- Household income
- $109,109
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2260.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 39% White 29% Black 7% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 9% Dominican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Estonian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 50% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.52%
- Current HPI
- 294.3744
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.74%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-99.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-30 Rental Removed $2,800 MARMLS
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $2,800 MARMLS
- 2025-07-08 Listed for Rent $2,850 MARMLS
- 2025-06-19 Price Changed $440,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-08 Listed $460,000 MARMLS
- 2023-07-17 Rental Removed $2,550 MARMLS
- 2023-07-11 Price Changed $2,550 MARMLS
- 2023-06-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-05-22 Listed $420,000 MARMLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,760 · -8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…