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210 Savannah Ave
D Composite 42.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

210 Savannah Ave · East Dublin, GA 31027
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1971 0.30 ac lot Est $144k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained 1,380 sq ft single-story, stick-built home (1971) situated on approximately 0.30 acres with city water and sewer. This 3-bedroom, 2-full-bath home offers a functional layout with wood plank flooring throughout, standard ceilings, and a brick and vinyl exterior. The kitchen features painted cabinets, Formica countertops, and includes a refrigerator, gas stove, and dishwasher. Laundry hookups are conveniently located in the mudroom (washer and dryer not included). Exterior features include concrete parking from the road, a one-bay covered carport, an additional rear carport, and a covered front porch. A major highlight is the approximately 1,500 sq ft detached outbuilding, off

Key facts

  • Painted cabinets
  • City water
  • Wood plank flooring

Tags

CITY WATERCITY SEWERWOOD PLANK FLOORINGBRICK AND VINYL EXTERIORPAINTED CABINETSFORMICA COUNTERTOPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($373/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (18.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#326 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Laurens County (rural): math 45% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #42 of 174 in GA (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Laurens Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #147 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 552 students, 85% FRL); East Laurens High School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 648 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 55% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 55 units permitted in Laurens County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Laurens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $140k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,891 (18.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.95%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$143,520
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
216 Broad St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,484 (+8%) 13mo $120,700 $81 50
108 Sunset Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,204 (-13%) 12mo $194,000 $161 46
120 Pinecone Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+6%) 16mo $152,000 $104 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-20,736
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-15,685
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31027

Home prices YoY
-7.6%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,139 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $921/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$239
Net cashflow
$31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,100
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $110 -5% $71 +0% $31 +5% $-9 +10% $-48
Rent -10% $-59 -5% $-14 +0% $31 +5% $76 +10% $121
Rate -1.0pp $101 -0.5pp $67 base $31 +0.5pp $-5 +1.0pp $-42

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
99 Celia Dr Unit 2 East Dublin, GA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,195 $0.92 44d 1 0.45mi
103 Celia Dr East Dublin, GA 3.0 1.0 936 $950 $1.01 44d 1 0.50mi
113 Lakeview Dr East Dublin, GA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,250 $0.93 44d 1 0.79mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-14
    price $139,900
  3. 2026-02-24
    price $144,900
  4. 2026-02-03
    price $149,900
  5. 2026-02-03
    price $150,000
  6. 2026-01-14
    listed $165,000 New
  7. 2018-10-22
    soldstatus $50,000
  8. 2010-02-02
    soldstatus $57,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$921 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,287 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$366/yr (+$31/mo · 39.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,667
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$921
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,093
− Management
−$1,093
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$2,047
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$491
After-tax cash flow
$864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Laurens County
NCES district ID
1301890
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$38,220
Composite
35.06/100
National rank
#5030
State rank
#42 of 174 in GA

Livability — East Dublin

Score
62/100
State rank
#326
US rank
#17266

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Dublin, GA
Population (ZIP)
10,879

Population outlook (Laurens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,685 people
By 2030
44,056 · -3.6%
By 2040
40,270 · -11.9%
By 2050
36,094 · -21.0%
By 2075
26,275 · -42.5%
By 2100
17,160 · -62.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Laurens

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.7) · D 33.5% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -32.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.7 2020: R+28.2 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+22.7 2008: R+21.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.67%
Current HPI
202.153
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+143.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $139,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $144,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $149,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $150,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $165,000 GAMLS
  • 2018-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2010-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $921 · +28.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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