536 Stone Gate Dr · Burnside, KY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this 2022 manufactured home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, tucked away in a peaceful and secluded setting. The spacious primary suite features a walk-in closet and a private bath complete with a step-in shower and relaxing soaking tub. Inside, you'll find a comfortable living room with a built-in bookshelf, a functional kitchen, and a separate utility room for added convenience. A brand-new hot water heater provides extra peace of mind. The sellers have also added 22 tons of stone, creating a prepared area ideal for a future detached garage, storage building, or additional outdoor use. Step outside and enjoy the quiet surroundings, including your own fire pit—per
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Private bath
- Soaking tub
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 0.7 acre
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured house; Single-story (manufactured)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built area approximately 1,216
- Exterior features: Fire pit; Secluded, wooded lot with many trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary on first floor
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bedroom on the first floor; Walk-in closet(s); Ceiling fan(s); Soaking tub
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Main level laundry; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $145k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.0% in Burnside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#141 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Pulaski County (town): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #17 of 165 in KY (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Burnside Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #255 of 676 statewide, top 42%, 432 students, 84% FRL); Southern Middle School (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D+, #32 of 217 statewide, top 15%, 941 students, 68% FRL); Southwestern High School (math 33% / reading 43%, grade F, #55 of 254 statewide, top 22%, 1,265 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 56% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 117 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.41%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $46,698
- Equity at exit
- $83,876
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.21×
- Total profit
- $130,433
- Equity at exit
- $146,189
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42519
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $183
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Foxwood Dr Burnside, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,500 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $145,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$145,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$120
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$29
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,224/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This property requires extensive renovations and repairs across all systems and areas, making it a significant investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen — No photos of the kitchen
- Major bathrooms — No photos of the bathrooms
- Major roof — No photos of the roof
- Major exterior — No photos of the exterior
- Major flooring — No photos of the flooring
- Major interior walls/paint — No photos of the interior walls/paint
- Major windows — No photos of the windows
- Major foundation/structure — No photos of the foundation/structure
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos of the HVAC/mechanicals
- Major landscaping/curb appeal — No photos of the landscaping/curb appeal
Value-add opportunities
- Both Kitchen renovation — A fully functional kitchen is essential for both resale and rental
- Both Bathroom renovation — Upgraded bathrooms are crucial for both resale and rental
- Both Roof replacement — A new roof is necessary for both resale and rental
- Both Exterior painting and landscaping — Aesthetic improvements enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants
- Both HVAC system upgrade — A reliable HVAC system is essential for both resale and rental
- Both Structural repairs — Structural integrity is critical for both resale and rental
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen · No photos of the kitchen | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathrooms · No photos of the bathrooms | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · No photos of the roof | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior · No photos of the exterior | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · No photos of the flooring | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · No photos of the interior walls/paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · No photos of the windows | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| foundation/structure · No photos of the foundation/structure | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No photos of the HVAC/mechanicals | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping/curb appeal · No photos of the landscaping/curb appeal | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 10 items | $150,000–500,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Kitchen renovation — A fully functional kitchen is essential for both resale and rental ↑
- Both Bathroom renovation — Upgraded bathrooms are crucial for both resale and rental ↑
- Both Roof replacement — A new roof is necessary for both resale and rental ↑
- Both Exterior painting and landscaping — Aesthetic improvements enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants ↑
- Both HVAC system upgrade — A reliable HVAC system is essential for both resale and rental ↑
- Both Structural repairs — Structural integrity is critical for both resale and rental ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County
- NCES district ID
- 2104950
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,366
- Composite
- 39.69/100
- National rank
- #3906
- State rank
- #17 of 165 in KY
Livability — Burnside
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #141
- US rank
- #6774
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,800
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,414 people
- By 2030
- 65,828 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 65,972 · +0.9%
- By 2050
- 65,108 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 61,647 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 53,613 · -18.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.2) · D 16.9% · R 82.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -55.4pp · 2024: -65.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.7 2016: R+66.7 2012: R+60.5 2008: R+55.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.19%
- Current HPI
- 358.2137
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $145,000 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
-3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $36 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…