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808 S Chestnut St
C- Composite 51.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

808 S Chestnut St · Friend, NE 68359
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,074 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1913 0.34 ac lot $63/sqft · 39% below area Est $211k · 39% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity in the heart of Friend! This 2 bed, 2 bath home offers over 2,000 sq ft of living space on a spacious lot. With its generous layout and classic character, this property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value with updates and personal touches. Convenient small-town location with plenty of potential!

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1913

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($484/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#85 in NE, #3,558 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Friend Public Schools (rural): math 60% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #102 of 245 in NE (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saline County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,308 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.33%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$211,445
List price
$130,000
Delta
-38.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
718 2nd St 0.43mi 2/1.0 2,050 (-1%) 12mo $61,500 $30 64
302 4th St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,171 (+5%) 10mo $270,000 $124 59
514 5th St 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (-11%) 8mo $205,000 $111 59
1311 E 3rd St 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,809 (-13%) 17mo $212,000 $117 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-18,541
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-13,019
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68359

Home prices YoY
-8.6%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,063 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $763/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,012
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-05
    days on market $130,000 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 80 DOM
  8. 2026-05-14
    price $145,000 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in the heart of Friend! This 2 bed, 2 bath home offers over 2,000 sq ft of living space on a spacious lot. With its generous layout and classic character, this property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value with updates and personal touches. Convenient small-town location with plenty of potential!

  9. 2026-04-30
    price $160,000 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in the heart of Friend! This 2 bed, 2 bath home offers over 2,000 sq ft of living space on a spacious lot. With its generous layout and classic character, this property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value with updates and personal touches. Convenient small-town location with plenty of potential!

  10. 2026-03-06
    listed $180,000 New 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in the heart of Friend! This 2 bed, 2 bath home offers over 2,000 sq ft of living space on a spacious lot. With its generous layout and classic character, this property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value with updates and personal touches. Convenient small-town location with plenty of potential!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$763 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,249 · $187/mo
Expected delta
+$1,486/yr (+$124/mo · 194.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,757
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$763
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,021
− Management
−$1,021
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$1,761
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$423
After-tax cash flow
$907/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Friend Public Schools
NCES district ID
3100096
Math proficiency
60% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$53,195
Composite
49.07/100
National rank
#4426
State rank
#102 of 245 in NE

Livability — Friend

Score
76/100
State rank
#85
US rank
#3558

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Friend, NE
Population (ZIP)
1,512

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,242 people
By 2030
15,610 · +2.4%
By 2040
16,553 · +8.6%
By 2050
17,915 · +17.5%
By 2075
22,924 · +50.4%
By 2100
28,426 · +86.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.2) · D 32.8% · R 66.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-37.8pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -33.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.2 2020: R+28.5 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+5.9 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.91%
Current HPI
211.775
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-19.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $145,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $160,000 GPRMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $180,000 GPRMLS

Property tax history

-4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $763 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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