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C- Composite 51.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,500

418 W 5th St · Concordia, KS 66901
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,460 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 191 Days on market
Built 1900 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Walk in closets
  • Large storage room
  • Upgraded bathrooms

Tags

REFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORSWALK IN CLOSETSUPGRADED BATHROOMSFULL-LENGTH SHOWER TOWERLARGE STORAGE ROOMSTAINLESS STEEL STOVE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public utilities
  • Home design: Single-family onsite-built home
  • Construction: Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Two levels; Crawl space foundation; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Range
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Cellar basement; Storage structure on property
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (4.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#65 in KS, #3,995 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Concordia (town): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #117 of 169 in KS (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Concordia Elementary (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #388 of 684 statewide, top 61%, 459 students, 59% FRL); Concordia Middle (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #37 of 219 statewide, top 19%, 187 students, 56% FRL); Concordia Jr-Sr High (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #233 of 327 statewide, top 71%, 485 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 38% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cloud County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $13k; list at $130k implies a 896% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.12%
Cash-on-cash
6.54%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-8,456
Equity at exit
$19,309
10-year hold
IRR
3.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$8,626
Equity at exit
$11,197

Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66901

Home prices YoY
-7.0%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,238 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$679
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $573/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$198

Break-even live

Break-even rent $988
Max offer price $129,500
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,375
Closing costs
$3,885
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,500 Active 191 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,500 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,500 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,500 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,500 Active 186 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,500 Active 185 DOM
  7. 2026-04-10
    price $129,500
  8. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  9. 2026-04-01
    historical
  10. 2025-12-22
    status Active
  11. 2025-12-21
    price $134,500
  12. 2025-09-25
    status Pending
  13. 2025-09-25
    status Active
  14. 2025-09-25
    historical
  15. 2025-09-23
    status Pending
  16. 2025-08-24
    listed $139,900 Active
  17. 2024-09-20
    listed $27,500
  18. 2001-08-01
    soldstatus
  19. 2001-06-01
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$573 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,826 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$1,253/yr (+$104/mo · 218.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,861
− Mortgage interest
−$7,254
− Property taxes
−$573
− Insurance
−$648
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,189
− Management
−$1,189
− Depreciation
−$3,767
Taxable income
$241
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$58
After-tax cash flow
$2,312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Concordia
NCES district ID
2005100
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$38,933
Composite
24.27/100
National rank
#7716
State rank
#117 of 169 in KS

Livability — Concordia

Score
75/100
State rank
#65
US rank
#3995

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Concordia, KS
Population (ZIP)
6,134

Population outlook (Cloud County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,922 people
By 2030
8,683 · -2.7%
By 2040
8,241 · -7.6%
By 2050
7,904 · -11.4%
By 2075
7,252 · -18.7%
By 2100
6,474 · -27.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% English 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cloud

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.9% · R 79.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.4pp · 2024: -60.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.6 2020: R+54.8 2016: R+55.1 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+42.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -14.08%
Current HPI
187.4137
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+896.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $129,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-22 Relisted SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-21 Price Changed $134,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-25 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-25 Relisted SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-25 Listing Removed SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-23 Pending SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-24 Listed $139,900 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-20 Listed $27,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $573 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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