418 W 5th St · Concordia, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Walk in closets
- Large storage room
- Upgraded bathrooms
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public utilities
- Home design: Single-family onsite-built home
- Construction: Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Two levels; Crawl space foundation; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Cellar basement; Storage structure on property
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#65 in KS, #3,995 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
- Concordia (town): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #117 of 169 in KS (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Concordia Elementary (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #388 of 684 statewide, top 61%, 459 students, 59% FRL); Concordia Middle (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #37 of 219 statewide, top 19%, 187 students, 56% FRL); Concordia Jr-Sr High (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #233 of 327 statewide, top 71%, 485 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 38% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cloud County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $130k implies a 896% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.54%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,456
- Equity at exit
- $19,309
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $8,626
- Equity at exit
- $11,197
Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66901
- Home prices YoY
- -7.0%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,238 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$679
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $573/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $198
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,375
- Closing costs
- $3,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,500 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,500 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,500 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,500 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,500 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,500 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-04-10price $129,500
-
2026-04-06status Active
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2025-12-22status Active
-
2025-12-21price $134,500
-
2025-09-25status Pending
-
2025-09-25status Active
-
2025-09-25historical
-
2025-09-23status Pending
-
2025-08-24$139,900 Active
-
2024-09-20$27,500
-
2001-08-01soldstatus
-
2001-06-01soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $573 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,826 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,253/yr (+$104/mo · 218.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,861
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,254
- − Property taxes
- −$573
- − Insurance
- −$648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,189
- − Management
- −$1,189
- − Depreciation
- −$3,767
- Taxable income
- $241
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$58
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,312/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Concordia
- NCES district ID
- 2005100
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,933
- Composite
- 24.27/100
- National rank
- #7716
- State rank
- #117 of 169 in KS
Livability — Concordia
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #65
- US rank
- #3995
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Concordia, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,134
Population outlook (Cloud County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,922 people
- By 2030
- 8,683 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 8,241 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 7,904 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 7,252 · -18.7%
- By 2100
- 6,474 · -27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% English 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cloud
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.9% · R 79.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.4pp · 2024: -60.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.6 2020: R+54.8 2016: R+55.1 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+42.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -14.08%
- Current HPI
- 187.4137
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+896.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $129,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-22 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-21 Price Changed $134,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-25 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-25 Relisted — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-25 Listing Removed — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-23 Pending — SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-24 Listed $139,900 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-20 Listed $27,500 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $573 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…