4511 Waldorf Rd · Delton, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits on this 4.38-acre parcel offering a beautiful, private setting with a trailer that is affixed to the property and winterized. The trailer is being sold as-is and currently has no appliances or heat source. The property is improved with an existing septic system and 2-inch well; however, buyers are responsible for verifying all information and conducting any desired inspections. An excellent opportunity for recreational use, future improvements, or investment. Additionally, two adjacent parcels/listings are also available for purchase, providing the potential to expand your acreage and privacy. Shared easement from the road to each parcel.
Key facts
- 2 inch well
- Expand your acreage
- Recreational use
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Propane water heater
- Home design: Residential property; Other architectural style
- Construction: Built in 1970; Aluminum siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Primary bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Basement present (other type)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 0.8% in Delton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#374 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Delton Kellogg Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #300 of 540 in MI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 171 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Barry County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.28%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-3,886
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $12,524
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49046
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,119 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $262 | -5% $228 | +0% $193 | +5% $159 | +10% $124 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $105 | -5% $149 | +0% $193 | +5% $237 | +10% $282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $243 | -0.5pp $219 | base $193 | +0.5pp $167 | +1.0pp $141 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19status $100,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 665-char remark
-
2026-06-09$100,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,431
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,074
- − Management
- −$1,074
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $771
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$185
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,132/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Delton Kellogg Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2611910
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,057
- Composite
- 29.35/100
- National rank
- #6538
- State rank
- #300 of 540 in MI
Livability — Delton
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #9793
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,944
Population outlook (Barry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,601 people
- By 2030
- 59,185 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 57,121 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 53,139 · -10.8%
- By 2075
- 42,814 · -28.2%
- By 2100
- 29,357 · -50.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Barry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.3) · D 32.1% · R 66.4% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -34.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.3 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+18.1 2008: R+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.69%
- Current HPI
- 234.6646
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-08 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-08 Listed $100,000 SW Michigan MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…