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4511 Waldorf Rd
C Composite 56.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

4511 Waldorf Rd · Delton, MI 49046
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 867 sqft · Manufactured public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1970 4.38 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits on this 4.38-acre parcel offering a beautiful, private setting with a trailer that is affixed to the property and winterized. The trailer is being sold as-is and currently has no appliances or heat source. The property is improved with an existing septic system and 2-inch well; however, buyers are responsible for verifying all information and conducting any desired inspections. An excellent opportunity for recreational use, future improvements, or investment. Additionally, two adjacent parcels/listings are also available for purchase, providing the potential to expand your acreage and privacy. Shared easement from the road to each parcel.

Key facts

  • 2 inch well
  • Expand your acreage
  • Recreational use

Tags

EXISTING SEPTIC SYSTEM2 INCH WELLRECREATIONAL USEINVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYEXPAND YOUR ACREAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Propane water heater
  • Home design: Residential property; Other architectural style
  • Construction: Built in 1970; Aluminum siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Primary bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Basement present (other type)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 0.8% in Delton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#374 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Delton Kellogg Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #300 of 540 in MI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 171 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Barry County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.61%
Cash-on-cash
8.28%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-3,886
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$12,524
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49046

Active inventory
60
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,119 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$193

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $262 -5% $228 +0% $193 +5% $159 +10% $124
Rent -10% $105 -5% $149 +0% $193 +5% $237 +10% $282
Rate -1.0pp $243 -0.5pp $219 base $193 +0.5pp $167 +1.0pp $141

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    status $100,000 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    remarks 665-char remark
  11. 2026-06-09
    listed $100,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,431
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,074
− Management
−$1,074
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$771
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$185
After-tax cash flow
$2,132/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Delton Kellogg Schools
NCES district ID
2611910
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$53,057
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6538
State rank
#300 of 540 in MI

Livability — Delton

Score
68/100
State rank
#374
US rank
#9793

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,944

Population outlook (Barry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,601 people
By 2030
59,185 · -0.7%
By 2040
57,121 · -4.2%
By 2050
53,139 · -10.8%
By 2075
42,814 · -28.2%
By 2100
29,357 · -50.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 6% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Barry

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.3) · D 32.1% · R 66.4% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-24.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -34.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.3 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+18.1 2008: R+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -201.69%
Current HPI
234.6646
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $100,000 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…