🏷️ Likely Rental
2126-2128 Olive St · Cedar Falls, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Updated and really well cared for up-down duplex. (2)- 4 bedroom units. Great location within walking distance to UNI campus. Lots of room for rent income increases - current rents total $2400/mo.
Key facts
- Up-down duplex
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 8 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad with about 8 open parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex (residential income property)
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding; Lot approximately 66 x 132 (0.2 acres); Zoned R-2
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Two units each with 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two bathrooms in each unit
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $311/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $267k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.1% in Cedar Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#60 in IA, #1,357 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Cedar Falls Community School District (urban): math 76% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #45 of 289 in IA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 66% / reading 71%, grade B+, #266 of 616 statewide, top 43%, 453 students, 45% FRL); Peet Junior High School (math 79% / reading 80%, grade A+, #35 of 246 statewide, top 16%, 670 students, 27% FRL); Cedar Falls High School (math 74% / reading 78%, grade A-, #75 of 336 statewide, top 23%, 1,302 students, 24% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 387 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,095/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 1514% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.71%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $411,081
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -33.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-8,070
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $31,286
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50613
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 387
- Price-to-rent
- 14.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,095 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$266 /mo · $3,186/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$650
- Net cashflow
- $623
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $779 | -5% $701 | +0% $623 | +5% $545 | +10% $467 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $378 | -5% $501 | +0% $623 | +5% $745 | +10% $867 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $761 | -0.5pp $693 | base $623 | +0.5pp $552 | +1.0pp $479 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 2 | $3,094 |
| #1 | 4 | 2 | $1,547 |
| #2 | 4 | 2 | $1,547 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,095 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $275,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $275,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $275,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $275,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $275,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $275,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $275,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $275,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $275,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $275,000 196-char remark
-
2026-05-01$299,000 Active 196-char remark
-
2025-11-01historical
-
2025-10-31
-
2025-07-29
-
2025-07-29historical
-
2023-09-03
-
2023-08-30historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,186 · $266/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,752 · $313/mo
- Expected delta
- +$566/yr (+$47/mo · 17.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$3,186
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,971
- − Management
- −$2,971
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $3,232
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$776
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,698/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cedar Falls Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1906510
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,634
- Composite
- 65.93/100
- National rank
- #443
- State rank
- #45 of 289 in IA
Livability — Cedar Falls
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #1357
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cedar Falls, IA
- County
- Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
- City population
- 43,867
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,867
- Household income
- $78,503
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1514.0
Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 139,716 people
- By 2030
- 142,853 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 147,843 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 153,247 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 167,977 · +20.2%
- By 2100
- 177,320 · +26.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Italian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -175.51%
- Current HPI
- 169.0591
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.97%
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
-8.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $275,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-01 Listed $299,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-11-01 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2025-10-31 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
- 2025-07-29 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
- 2025-07-29 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2023-09-03 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
- 2023-08-30 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,186 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…