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2126-2128 Olive St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 70.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • Schools +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

2126-2128 Olive St · Cedar Falls, IA 50613
6 bd · 4.5 ba · 3,160 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1900 8,712 sqft lot $87/sqft · 80% below area Est $411k · 33% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Updated and really well cared for up-down duplex. (2)- 4 bedroom units. Great location within walking distance to UNI campus. Lots of room for rent income increases - current rents total $2400/mo.

Key facts

  • Up-down duplex
  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • 8 parking spots

Tags

UP-DOWN DUPLEXWALKING DISTANCE TO UNI CAMPUS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pad with about 8 open parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income property)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding; Lot approximately 66 x 132 (0.2 acres); Zoned R-2

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Two units each with 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two bathrooms in each unit
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $275,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$411,081) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $311/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
  • Recommended offer: $267k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.1% in Cedar Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#60 in IA, #1,357 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • Cedar Falls Community School District (urban): math 76% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #45 of 289 in IA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 66% / reading 71%, grade B+, #266 of 616 statewide, top 43%, 453 students, 45% FRL); Peet Junior High School (math 79% / reading 80%, grade A+, #35 of 246 statewide, top 16%, 670 students, 27% FRL); Cedar Falls High School (math 74% / reading 78%, grade A-, #75 of 336 statewide, top 23%, 1,302 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 387 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,095/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 1514% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $266,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.01%
Cash-on-cash
9.71%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$411,081
List price
$275,000
Delta
-33.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-8,070
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$31,286
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50613

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
387
Price-to-rent
14.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,095 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$266 /mo · $3,186/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$650
Net cashflow
$623

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,307
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $779 -5% $701 +0% $623 +5% $545 +10% $467
Rent -10% $378 -5% $501 +0% $623 +5% $745 +10% $867
Rate -1.0pp $761 -0.5pp $693 base $623 +0.5pp $552 +1.0pp $479

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,095

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $275,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $275,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $275,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $275,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 30 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $275,000 Active 29 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    price $275,000 196-char remark
  19. 2026-05-01
    listed $299,000 Active 196-char remark
  20. 2025-11-01
    historical
  21. 2025-10-31
    listed
  22. 2025-07-29
    listed
  23. 2025-07-29
    historical
  24. 2023-09-03
    listed
  25. 2023-08-30
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,186 · $266/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,752 · $313/mo
Expected delta
+$566/yr (+$47/mo · 17.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,140
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$3,186
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,971
− Management
−$2,971
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable income
$3,232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$776
After-tax cash flow
$6,698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cedar Falls Community School District
NCES district ID
1906510
Math proficiency
76% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$53,634
Composite
65.93/100
National rank
#443
State rank
#45 of 289 in IA

Livability — Cedar Falls

Score
81/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#1357

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cedar Falls, IA
County
Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
City population
43,867
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
Population (ZIP)
43,867
Household income
$78,503
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
1514.0

Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
139,716 people
By 2030
142,853 · +2.2%
By 2040
147,843 · +5.8%
By 2050
153,247 · +9.7%
By 2075
167,977 · +20.2%
By 2100
177,320 · +26.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Italian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -175.51%
Current HPI
169.0591
Rent YoY
▲ 1.97%
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $275,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $299,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-11-01 Rental Removed BUILDIUM
  • 2025-10-31 Listed for Rent BUILDIUM
  • 2025-07-29 Listed for Rent BUILDIUM
  • 2025-07-29 Rental Removed BUILDIUM
  • 2023-09-03 Listed for Rent BUILDIUM
  • 2023-08-30 Rental Removed BUILDIUM

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,186 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…