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409 Main St
B Composite 72.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$94,900

409 Main St · Crescent City, IL 60928
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,364 sqft · SingleFamily · 30 Days on market
Built 1960 6,098 sqft lot Est $112k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

What a surprise this little place is! Right downtown, this house has 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a huge eat-in kitchen. Needs a little TLC, but it is worth a look. All appliances stay...electric range, refrigerator, washer and dryer. 2 car garage and a nice, shaded lawn. Seller willing to leave some furniture. Very economical living!

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Special service area: No
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community has curbs, sidewalks and paved streets

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Garage owned; Total parking for four vehicles; Two garage spaces; Additional off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Curbs and sidewalks; Paved street; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 120

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Eating area / table space
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (includes a half bath); Two additional bedrooms on main level (11 x 11 and 12 x 11) with window coverings
  • Flooring: Carpet in living room and bedrooms; Vinyl flooring in kitchen and foyer; Other flooring in utility room
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom (in master bedroom)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Five total rooms; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Utility room on main level (13 x 8)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#822 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Crescent Iroquois CUSD 249 (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #305 of 919 in IL (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Iroquois County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Iroquois County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $95k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $93,476 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.17%
Cash-on-cash
10.27%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$111,848
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
410 N Colfax St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,356 (-1%) 2mo $45,000 $33 81
202 N Grant St 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,456 (+7%) 8mo $120,000 $82 77
208 Union St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-10%) 22mo $160,000 $130 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$20,482
Equity at exit
$36,878
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$59,728
Equity at exit
$52,684

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60928

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,256/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $813
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $94,900 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,900 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,900 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    listed $94,900 Active
  17. 2016-06-03
    soldstatus $29,000 Closed Sale 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    What a surprise this little place is! Right downtown, this house has 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a huge eat-in kitchen. Needs a little TLC, but it is worth a look. All appliances stay...electric range, refrigerator, washer and dryer. 2 car garage and a nice, shaded lawn. Seller willing to leave some furniture. Very economical living!

  18. 2016-06-01
    soldstatus $9,667
  19. 2016-05-16
    status Pending 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    What a surprise this little place is! Right downtown, this house has 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a huge eat-in kitchen. Needs a little TLC, but it is worth a look. All appliances stay...electric range, refrigerator, washer and dryer. 2 car garage and a nice, shaded lawn. Seller willing to leave some furniture. Very economical living!

  20. 2016-05-06
    listed $33,900 New 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    What a surprise this little place is! Right downtown, this house has 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a huge eat-in kitchen. Needs a little TLC, but it is worth a look. All appliances stay...electric range, refrigerator, washer and dryer. 2 car garage and a nice, shaded lawn. Seller willing to leave some furniture. Very economical living!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,256 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,705 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$449/yr (+$37/mo · 35.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,205
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$1,256
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$1,285
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$308
After-tax cash flow
$2,421/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crescent Iroquois CUSD 249
NCES district ID
1700323
Math proficiency
30% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$54,136
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#8963
State rank
#305 of 919 in IL

Livability — Crescent City

Score
62/100
State rank
#822
US rank
#16204

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crescent City, IL
Population (ZIP)
509

Population outlook (Iroquois County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,826 people
By 2030
25,771 · -3.9%
By 2040
23,589 · -12.1%
By 2050
21,523 · -19.8%
By 2075
17,998 · -32.9%
By 2100
14,979 · -44.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Iroquois

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 78.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -57.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.3 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+44.7 2008: R+29.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.89%
Current HPI
128.1668
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+179.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $94,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-03 Sold (MLS) $29,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,667 Public Records
  • 2016-05-16 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-06 Listed $33,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+45.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,256 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…